Minimizing anthropogenic climate disruption in the coming century will likely require carbon dioxide removal (CDR) from Earth’s atmosphere in addition to deep and rapid cuts to greenhouse gas emissions. Ocean alkalinity enhancement — the modification of surface ocean chemistry to drive marine uptake of atmospheric CO2 — is seen as a potentially significant component of ocean-based CDR portfolios. However, there has been limited mechanistic exploration of the large-scale CDR potential of mineral-based ocean alkalinity enhancement, potential bottlenecks in alkalinity release, and the biophysical impacts of alkaline mineral feedstocks on marine ecology and the marine biological carbon pump. Here we a series of biogeochemical models to evaluate the gross CDR potential and environmental impacts of ocean alkalinity enhancement using solid mineral feedstocks. We find that natural alkalinity sources — basalt and olivine — lead to very low CDR efficiency while strongly perturbing marine food quality and fecal pellet production by marine zooplankton. Artificial alkalinity sources — the synthetic metal oxides MgO and CaO — are potentially capable of significant CDR with reduced environmental impact, but their deployment at scale faces major challenges associated with substrate limitation and process CO2 emissions during feedstock production. Taken together, our results highlight distinct challenges for ocean alkalinity enhancement as a CDR strategy and indicate that mineral-based ocean alkalinity enhancement should be pursued with caution.
Continue reading ‘A biogeochemical model of mineral-based ocean alkalinity enhancement: impacts on the biological pump and ocean carbon uptake’Posts Tagged 'mitigation'
A biogeochemical model of mineral-based ocean alkalinity enhancement: impacts on the biological pump and ocean carbon uptake
Published 14 April 2023 Science ClosedTags: biogeochemistry, chemistry, globalmodeling, methods, mitigation, modeling
Simulated carbon cycle and Earth system response to atmospheric CO2 removal
Published 12 April 2023 Science ClosedTags: chemistry, globalmodeling, mitigation, modeling
To project possible future climate change, it is important to understand Earth system response to CO2 removal, a potential key method to limit global warming. Previous studies examined some aspects of Earth system response to different scenarios of CO2 removal, but lacked a systematic analysis of the carbon cycle and climate system response in a consistent modeling framework. We expanded previous studies by using an Earth system model to examine the response of land and ocean carbon cycle, as well as a set of climate variables to idealized scenarios of atmospheric CO2 removal with different removal rates. In the scenarios considered, atmospheric CO2 increases at a rate of 1% per year to four times of its preindustrial level, and then decreases at a rate of 0.5%, 1%, and 2% per year to the preindustrial level. Simulation results show that a reduction of atmospheric CO2 induces CO2 release from both the ocean and terrestrial biosphere, and to keep atmospheric CO2 at a lower level requires the removal of anthropogenic CO2 not only from the atmosphere, but from the ocean and land carbon reservoirs as well. The response of many variables of the Earth system, including temperature, ocean heat content, sea level, deep ocean acidity, and permafrost area and carbon, lags the decrease in atmospheric CO2 ranging from a few years to many centuries. A few centuries after atmospheric CO2 returns to the preindustrial level, sea level is still substantially higher than the preindustrial level, and permafrost continues losing CO2 to the atmosphere. Our study demonstrates that to offset previous positive CO2 emissions by atmospheric CO2 removal does not mean to offset climate consequence of positive CO2 emissions. Rapid and deep reduction in CO2 emissions is key to prevent and limit increasing risks from further warming. Our study provides new insights into the carbon cycle and climate system response to CO2 removal, which would help to assess future climate change and the associated impacts.
Continue reading ‘Simulated carbon cycle and Earth system response to atmospheric CO2 removal’Comparison of the carbon cycle and climate response to artificial ocean alkalinization and solar radiation modification
Published 11 April 2023 Science ClosedTags: biogeochemistry, chemistry, globalmodeling, mitigation, modeling
Carbon dioxide removal and solar radiation modification (SRM) are two classes of proposed climate intervention methods. A thorough understanding of climate system response to these methods calls for a good understanding of the carbon cycle response. In this study, we used an Earth system model to examine the response of global climate and carbon cycle to artificial ocean alkalinization (AOA), a method of CO2 removal, and reduction in solar irradiance that represents the overall effect of solar radiation modification. In our simulations, AOA is applied uniformly over the global ice-free ocean under the RCP8.5 scenario to bring down atmospheric CO2 to the level of RCP4.5, and SRM is applied uniformly over the globe under the RCP8.5 scenario to bring down global mean surface temperature to the level of RCP4.5. Our simulations show that with the same goal of temperature stabilization, AOA and SRM cause fundamentally different perturbations of the ocean and land carbon cycle. By the end of the 21st century, relative to the simulation of RCP8.5, AOA-induced changes in ocean carbonate chemistry enhances global oceanic CO2 uptake by 983 PgC and increases global mean surface ocean pH by 0.42. Meanwhile, AOA reduces land CO2 uptake by 79 PgC and reduces atmospheric CO2 concentration by 426 × 10−6. By contrast, relative to the simulation of RCP8.5, SRM has a minor effect on the oceanic CO2 uptake and ocean acidification. SRM-induced cooling enhances land CO2 uptake by 140 PgC and reduces atmospheric CO2 concentration by 63 × 10−6. A sudden termination of SRM causes a rate of temperature change that is much larger than that of RCP8.5. A sudden termination of AOA causes a rate of temperature change that is comparable to that of RCP8.5 and a rate of ocean acidification that is much larger than that of RCP8.5.
Continue reading ‘Comparison of the carbon cycle and climate response to artificial ocean alkalinization and solar radiation modification’Are we ready for ocean acidification? A framework for assessing and advancing policy readiness
Published 29 March 2023 Science ClosedTags: education, mitigation, policy
Effective climate policy that addresses carbon dioxide emissions is essential to minimizing and addressing the impacts of ocean acidification (OA). Here we present a framework to assess the readiness of OA policy, using coral reefs as a focal system. Six dimensions encompass comprehensive preparation by ecosystems and societies for the impacts of OA and other anthropogenic hazards: (1) climate protection measures, (2) OA literacy, (3) area-based management, (4) research and development, (5) adaptive capacity of dependent sectors, and (6) policy coherence. We define standardized indicators, identify leading countries, and evaluate the case study of Australia, the country with the largest coral reef system. The framework provides a rubric for a government unit to self- assess strengths and weaknesses in policy preparedness and to prioritize future endeavors.
Continue reading ‘Are we ready for ocean acidification? A framework for assessing and advancing policy readiness’Assessing synergies and trade-offs of diverging Paris-compliant mitigation strategies with long-term SDG objectives
Published 24 March 2023 Science ClosedTags: mitigation, policy
Highlights
- The Paris Agreement and the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) are interlinked.
- Mitigation strategies chosen will affect how SDGs interact.
- Technological and nature-based mitigation pathways increase resource consumption.
- Mitigation strategies relying on behavioural changes limit potential SDG trade-offs.
- Anticipating interdependences supports the design of SDG and Paris-compatible policies.
Abstract
The Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) and the Paris Agreement are the two transformative agendas, which set the benchmarks for nations to address urgent social, economic and environmental challenges. Aside from setting long-term goals, the pathways followed by nations will involve a series of synergies and trade-offs both between and within these agendas. Since it will not be possible to optimise across the 17 SDGs while simultaneously transitioning to low-carbon societies, it will be necessary to implement policies to address the most critical aspects of the agendas and understand the implications for the other dimensions. Here, we rely on a modelling exercise to analyse the long-term implications of a variety of Paris-compliant mitigation strategies suggested in the recent scientific literature on multiple dimensions of the SDG Agenda. The strategies included rely on technological solutions such as renewable energy deployment or carbon capture and storage, nature-based solutions such as afforestation and behavioural changes in the demand side. Results for a selection of energy-environment SDGs suggest that some mitigation pathways could have negative implications on food and water prices, forest cover and increase pressure on water resources depending on the strategy followed, while renewable energy shares, household energy costs, ambient air pollution and yield impacts could be improved simultaneously while reducing greenhouse gas emissions. Overall, results indicate that promoting changes in the demand side could be beneficial to limit potential trade-offs.
Continue reading ‘Assessing synergies and trade-offs of diverging Paris-compliant mitigation strategies with long-term SDG objectives’Ocean acidification as a governance challenge in the Mediterranean Sea: impacts from aquaculture and fisheries
Published 21 March 2023 Science ClosedTags: fisheries, mitigation, policy, review
Despite the progress in the international and regional governance efforts at the level of climate change, ocean acidification (OA) remains a global problem with profoundly negative environmental, social, and economical consequences. This requires extensive mitigation and adaptation effective strategies that are hindered by current shortcomings of governance. This multidisciplinary chapter investigates the risks of ocean acidification (OA) for aquaculture and fisheries in the Mediterranean Sea and its sub-basins and the role of regional adaptive governance to tackle the problem. The identified risks are based on the biological sensitivities of the most important aquaculture species and biogenic habitats and their exposure to the current and future predicted (2100) RCP 8.5 conditions. To link OA exposure and biological sensitivity, we produced spatially resolved and depth-related pH and aragonite saturation state exposure maps and overlaid these with the existing aquaculture industry in the coastal waters of the Mediterranean basin to demonstrate potential risk for the aquaculture in the future. We also identified fisheries’ vulnerability through the indirect effects of OA on highly sensitive biogenic habitats that serve as nursery and spawning areas, showing that some of the biogenic habitats are already affected locally under existing OA conditions and will be more severely impacted across the entire Mediterranean basin under 2100 scenarios. This provided a regional vulnerability assessment of OA hotspots, risks and gaps that created the baseline for discussing the importance of adaptive governance and recommendations for future OA mitigation/adaptation strategies. By understanding the risks under future OA scenarios and reinforcing the adaptability of the governance system at the science-policy interface, best informed, “situated” management response capability can be optimised to sustain ecosystem services.
Continue reading ‘Ocean acidification as a governance challenge in the Mediterranean Sea: impacts from aquaculture and fisheries’Restoration and coral adaptation delay, but do not prevent, climate-driven reef framework erosion of an inshore site in the Florida Keys
Published 9 February 2023 Science ClosedTags: chemistry, dissolution, mitigation, modeling, multiple factors, North Atlantic, regionalmodeling, temperature
For reef framework to persist, calcium carbonate production by corals and other calcifiers needs to outpace loss due to physical, chemical, and biological erosion. This balance is both delicate and dynamic and is currently threatened by the effects of ocean warming and acidification. Although the protection and recovery of ecosystem functions are at the center of most restoration and conservation programs, decision makers are limited by the lack of predictive tools to forecast habitat persistence under different emission scenarios. To address this, we developed a modelling approach, based on carbonate budgets, that ties species-specific responses to site-specific global change using the latest generation of climate models projections (CMIP6). We applied this model to Cheeca Rocks, an outlier in the Florida Keys in terms of high coral cover, and explored the outcomes of restoration targets scheduled in the coming 20 years at this site by the Mission: Iconic Reefs restoration initiative. Additionally, we examined the potential effects of coral thermal adaptation by increasing the bleaching threshold by 0.25, 0.5, 1 and 2˚C. Regardless of coral adaptative capacity or restoration, net carbonate production at Cheeca Rocks declines heavily once the threshold for the onset of annual severe bleaching is reached. The switch from net accretion to net erosion, however, is significantly delayed by mitigation and adaptation. The maintenance of framework accretion until 2100 and beyond is possible under a decreased emission scenario coupled with thermal adaptation above 0.5˚C. Although restoration initiatives increase reef accretion estimates, Cheeca Rocks will only be able to keep pace with future sea-level rise in a world where anthropogenic CO2 emissions are reduced. Present results, however, attest to the potential of restoration interventions combined with increases in coral thermal tolerance to delay the onset of mass bleaching mortalities, possibly in time for a low-carbon economy to be implemented and complementary mitigation measures to become effective.
Continue reading ‘Restoration and coral adaptation delay, but do not prevent, climate-driven reef framework erosion of an inshore site in the Florida Keys’Effect of seagrass cover loss on seawater carbonate chemistry: implications for the potential of seagrass meadows to mitigate ocean acidification
Published 7 February 2023 Science ClosedTags: abundance, algae, biological response, chemistry, laboratory, mesocosms, mitigation, otherprocess
Seagrass meadows are important marine ecosystems for mitigating ocean acidification because of their ability to raise the pH of seawater during the day. This ability may decrease as a result of the loss of these meadows, which is primarily caused by human activities and climate change. Here, we test the effect of seagrass cover loss on seawater carbonate chemistry to understand how the loss of seagrass meadows affects their ability to mitigate ocean acidification. pH, dissolved inorganic carbon (DIC), partial pressure of carbon dioxide (pCO2), and aragonite saturation state (ΩAr) were measured in experimental tidal pools with varying proportions of seagrass coverage: 0% (mimicking a complete loss of seagrass meadows); 1%–29% (mimicking the greatest loss of seagrass meadows); 30%–59% (mimicking a moderate loss of seagrass meadows); and 60%–100% (mimicking the lowest loss of seagrass meadows). It was found that as seagrass cover decreased, pH and ΩAr levels in seawater decreased proportionally during the day, while pCO2 and DIC increased. Additionally, correlation analysis showed a strong significant positive correlation between the seagrass cover and pH (rs = 0.9096, p < 0.0001) and ΩAr (rs = 0.9031, p < 0.0001), as well as a strong significant negative correlation between the seagrass cover and pCO2 (rs = −0.9068, p < 0.0001) and DIC (rs = −0.8947, p < 0.0001). These results imply that the 7% annual global loss in seagrass meadows may limit seagrass meadows’ ability to raise the pH of their surrounding seawater during the day, reducing their potential to mitigate ocean acidification. The study recommends that management strategies that minimize anthropogenic activities that cause seagrass loss be implemented in order for seagrass meadows to continue mitigating ocean acidification within their ecosystem and nearby ecosystems.
Continue reading ‘Effect of seagrass cover loss on seawater carbonate chemistry: implications for the potential of seagrass meadows to mitigate ocean acidification’Oregon shellfish farmers: perceptions of stressors, adaptive strategies, and policy linkages
Published 3 February 2023 Science ClosedTags: fisheries, mitigation, policy, socio-economy
Highlights
- Interviews were conducted with fifteen (79%) of oyster farmers in Oregon.
- Farmers are most impacted by environmental, economic, and regulatory stressors.
- Shellfish farmers had matching adaptive strategies to address these stressors.
- Flexible aquaculture policies can help support these strategies.
Abstract
In the United States, domestic oyster aquaculture production is insufficient to meet national demand, thus creating a reliance on international oyster imports for consumption. West coast shellfish farmers are threatened by climate change, including ocean acidification as well as socioeconomic challenges such as labor availability. To expand and enhance United States oyster production, and support domestic food security and livelihoods, a better understanding of the limitations that oyster farmers’ experience, and corresponding pathways forward for adaptation is needed. Through semi-structured interviews conducted with commercial Oregon shellfish farmers, we assess the environmental, economic, social and regulatory stressors impacting oyster growing operations, and the corresponding adaptive strategies employed or envisioned by aquaculture farmers. We find farmers are most impacted by environmental stressors (nuisance species that interact with oysters or oyster habitat negatively), followed by regulatory and economic stressors (permitting and regulations and labor availability). Farmers perceived ocean acidification as a risk, but primarily at the oyster larva stage rather than the juvenile or adult grow-out stage. Examples of farmer-identified adaptive strategies included streamlining permitting and regulations, incentivizing employee retention, and having flexibility in culture type to avoid nuisance species and other environmental stressors. An increase in targeted outreach related to aquaculture policies and engagement with industry, scientists, managers, and policy-makers could facilitate policies that support these and other adaptive strategies.
Continue reading ‘Oregon shellfish farmers: perceptions of stressors, adaptive strategies, and policy linkages’Limits and CO2 equilibration of near-coast alkalinity enhancement
Published 18 January 2023 Science ClosedTags: chemistry, globalmodeling, mitigation, modeling
Ocean alkalinity enhancement (OAE) has recently gained attention as a potential method for carbon dioxide removal (CDR) at gigatonne (Gt) scale, with near-coast OAE operations being economically favorable due to proximity to mineral and energy sources. In this paper we study critical questions which determine the scale and viability of OAE. Which coastal locations are able to sustain a large flux of alkalinity at minimal pH and ΩArag (aragonite saturation) changes? What is the interference distance between adjacent OAE projects? How much CO2 is absorbed per unit of alkalinity added? How quickly does the induced CO2 deficiency equilibrate with the atmosphere? Choosing relatively conservative constraints on ΔpH or ΔOmega, we examine the limits of OAE using the ECCO LLC270 (0.3∘) global circulation model. We find that the sustainable OAE rate varies over 1–2 orders of magnitude between different coasts and exhibits complex patterns and non-local dependencies which vary from region to region. In general, OAE in areas of strong coastal currents enables the largest fluxes and depending on the direction of these currents, neighboring OAE sites can exhibit dependencies as far as 400 km or more. At these steady state fluxes most regional stretches of coastline are able to accommodate on the order of 10s to 100s of megatonnes of negative emissions within 300 km of the coast. We conclude that near-coastal OAE has the potential to scale globally to several Gt CO2 yr−1 of drawdown with conservative pH constraints, if the effort is spread over the majority of available coastlines. Depending on the location, we find a diverse set of equilibration kinetics, determined by the interplay of gas exchange and surface residence time. Most locations reach an uptake efficiency plateau of 0.6–0.8 mol CO2 per mol of alkalinity after 3–4 years, after which there is only slow additional CO2 uptake. Regions of significant downwelling (e.g., around Iceland) should be avoided by OAE deployments, as in such locations up to half of the CDR potential of OAE can be lost to bottom waters. The most ideal locations, reaching a molar uptake ratio of around 0.8, include North Madagascar, California, Brazil, Peru and locations close to the Southern Ocean such as Tasmania, Kerguelen and Patagonia, where the gas exchange appears to occur faster than the surface residence time. However, some locations (e.g., Hawaii) take significantly longer to equilibrate (up to 8–10 years) but can still eventually achieve high uptake ratios.
Continue reading ‘Limits and CO2 equilibration of near-coast alkalinity enhancement’Ocean acidification and aquacultured seaweeds: progress and knowledge gaps
Published 17 January 2023 Science ClosedTags: algae, biological response, mitigation, photosynthesis, physiology, review
This systematic review aimed to synthesise the existing studies regarding the effects of ocean acidification (OA) on seaweed aquaculture. Ocean acidification scenarios may increase the productivity of aquacultured seaweeds, but this depends on species-specific tolerance ranges. Conversely, seaweed productivity may be reduced, with ensuing economic losses. We specifically addressed questions on: how aquacultured seaweeds acclimatise with an increase in oceanic CO2; the effects of OA on photosynthetic rates and nutrient uptake; and the knowledge gaps in mitigation measures for seaweed farming in OA environments. Articles were searched by using Google Scholar, followed by Scopus and Web of Science databases, limiting the publications from 2001 to 2022. Our review revealed that, among all the OA-related studies on macroalgae, only a relatively small proportion (n < 85) have examined the physiological responses of aquacultured seaweeds. However, it is generally agreed that these seaweeds cannot acclimatise when critical biological systems are compromised. The existing knowledge gaps regarding mitigation approaches are unbalanced and have overly focused on monitoring and cultivation methods. Future work should emphasise effective and implementable actions against OA while linking the physiological changes of aquacultured seaweeds with production costs and profits.
Continue reading ‘Ocean acidification and aquacultured seaweeds: progress and knowledge gaps’Climate change amelioration by marine producers: does dominance predict impact?
Published 13 January 2023 Science ClosedTags: biological response, BRcommunity, chemistry, community composition, mitigation, multiple factors, North Pacific, otherprocess, phanerogams, photosynthesis, temperature
Climate change threatens biodiversity worldwide, and assessing how those changes will impact communities will be critical for conservation. Dominant primary producers can alter local-scale environmental conditions, reducing temperature via shading and mitigating ocean acidification via photosynthesis, which could buffer communities from the impacts of climate change. We conducted two experiments on the coast of southeastern Alaska to assess the effects of a common seaweed species, Neorhodomela oregona, on temperature and pH in field tide pools and tide pool mesocosms. We found that N. oregona was numerically dominant in this system, covering >60% of habitable space in the pools and accounting for >40% of live cover. However, while N. oregona had a density-dependent effect on pH in isolated mesocosms, we did not find a consistent effect of N. oregona on either pH or water temperature in tide pools in the field. These results suggest that the amelioration of climate change impacts in immersed marine ecosystems by primary producers is not universal and likely depends on species’ functional attributes, including photosynthetic rate and physical structure, in addition to abundance or dominance.
Continue reading ‘Climate change amelioration by marine producers: does dominance predict impact?’Chapter 10 – Carbonate chemistry, carbon cycle, and its sequestration in aquatic system
Published 12 January 2023 Science ClosedTags: chemistry, field, mitigation, review
Carbon is the universal currency used by biota to store and expend energy. Oceans act as a reservoir for almost 30% of the atmospheric carbon dioxide. The oceans store carbon in three forms: dissolved inorganic carbon (CO2 , HCO3−, and CO32−), dissolved organic carbon (both small and large organic molecules), and particulate organic carbon (live organisms or fragments of dead plants and animals). They also store it in the form of black carbon (BC). Carbon keeps on exchanging between the aquatic and terrestrial ecosystems via atmosphere. Inorganic carbon is absorbed and released at the interface of the ocean’s surface and surrounding air, through the process of diffusion. This exchange of inorganic carbon takes place only in the form of CO 2, which forms carbonate when dissolved in seawater. The formation of carbonate allows oceans to take up and store a much larger amount of carbon than would be possible if dissolved CO2 remained in that form. Carbon is also cycled through the ocean by the biological processes of photosynthesis, respiration, and decomposition of aquatic plants. The changes in the chemistry of the ocean due to acidification have a great impact on marine life as well as corals and foraminifera. Since the concentration of carbon dioxide has increased rapidly in the last few decades, it becomes crucial for us to fully understand the carbonate processes and the various source and sink of carbon in the aquatic system in order to mitigate the negative effects of global warming and climate change.
Continue reading ‘Chapter 10 – Carbonate chemistry, carbon cycle, and its sequestration in aquatic system’Simulated impact of ocean alkalinity enhancement on atmospheric CO2 removal in the Bering Sea
Published 11 January 2023 Science ClosedTags: chemistry, field, mitigation, modeling, North Pacific, regionalmodeling
Abstract
Ocean alkalinity enhancement (OAE) has the potential to mitigate ocean acidification (OA) and induce atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) removal (CDR). We evaluate the CDR and OA mitigation impacts of a sustained point-source OAE of 1.67 × 1010 mol total alkalinity (TA) yr−1 (equivalent to 667,950 metric tons NaOH yr−1) in Unimak Pass, Alaska. We find the alkalinity elevation initially mitigates OA by decreasing pCO2 and increasing aragonite saturation state and pH. Then, enhanced air-to-sea CO2 exchange follows with an approximate e-folding time scale of 5 weeks. Meaningful modeled OA mitigation with reductions of >10 μatm pCO2 (or just under 0.02 pH units) extends 100–100,000 km2 around the TA addition site. The CDR efficiency (i.e., the experimental seawater dissolved inorganic carbon (DIC) increase divided by the maximum DIC increase expected from the added TA) after the first 3 years is 0.96 ± 0.01, reflecting essentially complete air-sea CO2 adjustment to the additional TA. This high efficiency is potentially a unique feature of the Bering Sea related to the shallow depths and mixed layer depths. The ratio of DIC increase to the TA added is also high (≥0.85) due to the high dissolved carbon content of seawater in the Bering Sea. The air-sea gas exchange adjustment requires 3.6 months to become (>95%) complete, so the signal in dissolved carbon concentrations will likely be undetectable amid natural variability after dilution by ocean mixing. We therefore argue that modeling, on a range of scales, will need to play a major role in assessing the impacts of OAE interventions.
Key Points
- We used regional ocean model to simulate single point-source ocean alkalinity enhancement in the Bering Sea
- The steady state carbon dioxide removal efficiency was near one in years 3+ of the simulation
- The meaningful modeled ocean acidification mitigation is confined to the region near the alkalinity addition
Plain Language Summary
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change suggests that carbon dioxide (CO2) removal (CDR) approaches will be required to stabilize the global temperature increase at 1.5–2°C. In this study, we simulated the climate mitigation impacts of adding alkalinity (equivalent to 667,950 metric ton NaOH yr−1) in Unimak Pass on the southern boundary of the Bering Sea. We found that adding alkalinity can accelerate the ocean CO2 uptake and storage and mitigate ocean acidification near the alkalinity addition. It takes about 3.6 months for the Ocean alkalinity enhancement impacted area to take up the extra CO2. The naturally cold and carbon rich water in the Bering Sea and the tendency of Bering Sea surface waters to linger near the ocean surface without mixing into the subsurface ocean both lead to high CDR efficiencies (>96%) from alkalinity additions in the Bering Sea. However, even with high efficiency, it would take >8,000 alkalinity additions of the kind we simulated to be operating by the year 2100 to meet the target to stabilize global temperatures within the targeted range.
Continue reading ‘Simulated impact of ocean alkalinity enhancement on atmospheric CO2 removal in the Bering Sea’Climate change impacts on the coral reefs of the UK Overseas Territory of the Pitcairn Islands: resilience and adaptation considerations
Published 3 January 2023 Science ClosedTags: biological response, calcification, corals, mitigation, multiple factors, review, South Pacific, temperature
The coral reefs of the Pitcairn Islands are in one of the most remote areas of the Pacific Ocean, and yet they are exposed to the impacts of anthropogenic climate change. The Pitcairn Islands Marine Protected Area was designated in 2016 and is one of the largest in the world, but the marine environment around these highly isolated islands remains poorly documented. Evidence collated here indicates that while the Pitcairn Islands’ reefs have thus far been relatively sheltered from the effect of warming sea temperatures, there is substantial risk of future coral decalcification due to ocean acidification. The projected acceleration in the rate of sea level rise, and the reefs’ exposure to risks from distant ocean swells and cold-water intrusions, add further uncertainty as to whether these islands and their reefs will continue to adapt and persist into the future. Coordinated action within the context of the Pitcairn Islands Marine Protected Area can help enhance the resilience of the reefs in the Pitcairn Islands. Options include management of other human pressures, control of invasive species and active reef interventions. More research, however, is needed in order to better assess what are the most appropriate and feasible options to protect these reefs.
Continue reading ‘Climate change impacts on the coral reefs of the UK Overseas Territory of the Pitcairn Islands: resilience and adaptation considerations’Differential gene expression analysis in the scallop Argopecten purpuratus exposed to altered pH and temperature conditions in an upwelling-influenced farming area
Published 13 December 2022 Science ClosedTags: biological response, fisheries, laboratory, mitigation, molecular biology, mollusks, multiple factors, physiology, South Pacific, temperature
Increased carbon dioxide in the atmosphere and its absorption across the ocean surface will alter natural variations in pH and temperature levels, occurring in coastal upwelling ecosystems. The scallop Argopecten purpuratus, one of the most economically important species farmed in northern Chile, has been shown to be vulnerable to these environmental drivers. However, the regulatory responses at the gene-level of scallops to these climate stressors remain almost unknown. Consequently, we used an orthogonal experimental design and RNAseq approach to analyze the acute effects of variability in pH and temperature on gene expression in the muscle tissue of A. purpuratus. In respect to control conditions (pH ~ 8.0/ 14 °C), the influence of low pH (~ 7.7) and temperature (14 °C) induced the activation of several genes associated with apoptotic signaling pathways and protein localization to plasma membrane. Elevated temperature (18 °C) and pH (~8.0) conditions increased the expression of transcripts associated with the activation of muscle contraction, regulation, and sarcomere organization effects on muscle tissue. In scallops exposed to low pH and elevated temperature, the genes expressed were differentially associated with the oxidation-reduction process, signal translation, and positive regulation of GTPase activity. These results indicated that the differentially expressed genes under the experimental conditions tested are mainly related to the mitigation of cellular damage and homeostasis control. Our results add knowledge about the function of the adductor muscle in response to stressors in scallops. Furthermore, these results could help in the identification of molecular biomarkers of stress necessary to be integrated into the aquaculture programs for the mitigation of climate change.
Continue reading ‘Differential gene expression analysis in the scallop Argopecten purpuratus exposed to altered pH and temperature conditions in an upwelling-influenced farming area’Promoting pinto abalone (Haliotis kamtschatkana) recovery in the Salish Sea: the effects of fluctuating temperature and elevated CO2 on survival, growth, and radula morphology
Published 12 December 2022 Science ClosedTags: biological response, fisheries, laboratory, mitigation, mollusks, morphology, mortality, multiple factors, North Pacific, temperature
Overharvesting of pinto abalone (Haliotis kamtschatkana) in the Salish Sea between 1959 and 1994 caused severe population declines. This led to the Washington Department of Fish and Wildlife classifying pinto abalone as a “species of concern.” The Puget Sound Restoration Fund (PSRF) is committed to help pinto abalone recover by outplanting juveniles at specific sites around the Salish Sea. Survival of outplanted individuals is different at each site, but it is not clear why. Differences in water chemistry parameters, such as temperature and pH, could explain the differences in survival, either through differences in the mean conditions or through short term exposure to more extreme conditions. Future ocean warming and acidification could make fluctuations in water chemistry parameters more severe. The goal of my thesis was to simulate in lab the outplanting of abalone post-sets in fluctuating temperature and elevated CO2 conditions. I utilized an ocean acidification system to create atmospheres that affect seawater pH. I hypothesized that temperature fluctuations and high dissolved CO2 (low pH) will negatively affect survival, growth, and shell and radula morphology. Fluctuating temperatures yielded lower survival and greater growth, determined by mean shell length, compared to constant temperature. High CO2 yielded comparable survival and smaller growth than low CO2. Traditional morphological analysis of the radula found that fluctuating temperatures caused the radula to grow in a more compact manner, with smaller teeth formed closer together. Geometric morphological analysis found that radula tooth orientation was not affected by any of the treatments. This is the first study to find any effects of water chemistry on abalone radula morphology. Overall, the presence of a single stressor was detrimental to pinto abalone post-sets. However, the combination of stressors performed similarly to the absence of stressors. This indicates that fluctuating temperature can mitigate the negative effects of high CO2, possibly by increasing metabolic rate. In support of pinto abalone recovery efforts, PSRF can utilize my findings to evaluate water chemistry parameters at their outplant sites. I recommend that pinto abalone be outplanted in areas around the Salish Sea that are characterized by near constant temperatures, around 10°C, and low dissolved CO2 (high pH around 8.2). Due to yearly, seasonal, and weekly changes in water chemistry conditions, constant conditions do not exist. Outplant sites with the smallest fluctuations in water chemistry parameters should be used. In addition, ocean warming and acidification are expected to occur in concert. My findings indicate pinto abalone post-sets should be able to survive and grow under future climate scenarios, when outplanted into both temperatures that fluctuate on weekly scales, from 10°C up to 14°C, and acidification within 0.2 pH units when these conditions occur together, not separately.
Continue reading ‘Promoting pinto abalone (Haliotis kamtschatkana) recovery in the Salish Sea: the effects of fluctuating temperature and elevated CO2 on survival, growth, and radula morphology’Transcriptome analysis of hepatopancreas in penaeus monodon under acute low pH stress
Published 1 December 2022 Science ClosedTags: biological response, crustaceans, fisheries, laboratory, mitigation, molecular biology, physiology
The decrease of seawater pH can affect the metabolism, acid-base balance, immune response and immunoprotease activity of aquatic animals, leading to aquatic animal stress, impairing the immune system of aquatic animals and weakening disease resistance, etc. In this study, we performed high-throughput sequencing analysis of the hepatopancreas transcriptome library of low pH stress penaeus monodon, and after sequencing quality control, a total of 43488612–56271828 Clean Reads were obtained, and GO annotation and KEGG pathway enrichment analysis were performed on the obtained Clean Reads, and a total of 395 DEGs were identified. we mined 10 differentially expressed and found that they were significantly enriched in the Metabolic pathways (ko01100), Biosynthesis of secondary metabolites (ko01110), Nitrogen metabolism (ko00910) pathways, such as PIGA, DGAT1, DGAT2, UBE2E on Metabolic pathways; UGT, GLT1, TIM genes on Biosynthesis of secondary metabolites; CA, CA2, CA4 genes on Nitrogen metabolism, are involved in lipid metabolism, induction of oxidative stress and inflammation in the muscular body of spot prawns. These genes play an important role in lipid metabolism, induction of oxidative stress and inflammatory response in the muscle of the shrimp. In summary, these genes provide valuable reference information for future breeding of low pH-tolerant shrimp.
Continue reading ‘Transcriptome analysis of hepatopancreas in penaeus monodon under acute low pH stress’Assessing the future carbon budget through the lens of policy-driven acidification and temperature targets
Published 21 November 2022 Science ClosedTags: globalmodeling, mitigation, modeling, policy, review
Basing a future carbon budget on warming targets is subject to uncertainty due to uncertainty in the relationship between carbon emissions and warming, and may not prevent dangerous change throughout the entire climate system. Here, we use a climate emulator to constrain a future carbon budget that is more representative by using a combination of both warming and ocean acidification targets. The warming targets considered are the Paris Agreement targets of 1.5 and 2°C; the acidification targets are -0.17 and -0.21 pH units informed by aragonite saturation states. Considering acidification targets in conjunction with warming targets is found to narrow the uncertainty in the future carbon budget, especially in situations where the acidification target is more stringent than, or of similar stringency to, the warming target. Considering a strict combination of the two more stringent targets (both targets of 1.5°C warming and -0.17 acidification must be met), the carbon budget ranges from -74.0 to 129.8PgC. This reduces uncertainty in the carbon budget from 286.2PgC to 203.8PgC (29%). Assuming an emissions rate held constant since 2021 (which is a conservative assumption), the budget towards both targets was either spent by 2019, or will be spent by 2026.
Continue reading ‘Assessing the future carbon budget through the lens of policy-driven acidification and temperature targets’Coral reef fishes in a multi-stressor world
Published 1 November 2022 Science ClosedTags: biological response, fish, mitigation, multiple factors, noise, oxygen, pathogens, predation, review, salinity, temperature, toxicants
Coral reef fishes and the ecosystems they support represent some of the most biodiverse and productive ecosystems on the planet yet are under threat as they face dramatic increases in multiple, interacting stressors that are largely intensified by anthropogenic influences, such as climate change. Coral reef fishes have been the topic of 875 studies between 1979 and 2020 examining physiological responses to various abiotic and biotic stressors. Here, we highlight the current state of knowledge regarding coral reef fishes’ responses to eight key abiotic stressors (i.e., pollutants, temperature, hypoxia and ocean deoxygenation, pH/CO2, noise, salinity, pressure/depth, and turbidity) and four key biotic stressors (i.e., prey abundance, predator threats, parasites, and disease) and discuss stressors that have been examined in combination. We conclude with a horizon scan to discuss acclimation and adaptation, technological advances, knowledge gaps, and the future of physiological research on coral reef fishes. As we proceed through this new epoch, the Anthropocene, it is critical that the scientific and general communities work to recognize the issues that various habitats and ecosystems, such as coral reefs and the fishes that depend on and support them, are facing so that mitigation strategies can be implemented to protect biodiversity and ecosystem health.
Continue reading ‘Coral reef fishes in a multi-stressor world’
