Posts Tagged 'field'

Biological modulation of shell δ13C in Mytilus galloprovincialis and Phorcus sp.: divergent responses between CO2 vents and laboratory mesocosms

table isotopes are fundamental proxies for deciphering past environmental conditions and carbon cycle perturbations. However, applying these geochemical tools with a forward-looking perspective can also help predict the resilience of marine biota in future acidified oceans. This study investigates carbon uptake and biomineralization pathways under reduced pH in two ecologically keystone calcifying species: the bivalve Mytilus galloprovincialis and the gastropod Phorcus sp. To unravel these mechanisms, we adopted a dual approach, comparing isotopic trajectories (δ13C) under strictly controlled laboratory mesocosms with observations from natural CO2 vent systems in Ischia, Italy. Our results reveal a striking discrepancy between settings. Under laboratory conditions, both species exhibited a significant depletion in shell δ13C as pH decreased, directly tracking seawater carbonate chemistry. Conversely, specimens from the volcanic vents displayed a paradoxical δ13C enrichment at low-pH sites (pH ~7.4). These divergent trajectories indicate that in complex natural environments, the geochemical signal of ocean acidification can be overridden by metabolic overprints and trophically driven vital processes. Consequently, while laboratory experiments are essential to isolate kinetic fractionation, natural analogues remain crucial to capture the biological resilience and complex ecological feedback of future oceans. Future research combining these geochemical trends with direct, in vivo physiological assessments will be essential to precisely constrain the underlying metabolic kinetics and refine predictive metabolic models.

Continue reading ‘Biological modulation of shell δ13C in Mytilus galloprovincialis and Phorcus sp.: divergent responses between CO2 vents and laboratory mesocosms’

Method for correcting the temperature dependence of field-type glass electrode pH sensors

Seawater pH measurement is essential for monitoring ocean acidification and its biogeochemical impacts. Glass electrode pH sensors are widely used for in situ applications due to their ease of operation, low power consumption, and no reagent requirements. However, their accuracy can be affected by temperature-dependent effects, particularly those associated with the internal reference solution. Conventional calibration methods based on the Nernst response do not explicitly account for temperature-induced variations in the internal solution, which may lead to systematic bias under conditions with large temperature gradients. In this study, a correction method is proposed to address temperature-dependent errors by modeling the internal pH (pHin). The model incorporates two primary temperature-dependent contributions: the intrinsic temperature dependence of the phosphate buffer and potential shifts caused by activity changes in saturated KCl. These effects are combined through the electrode response factor (fR), defined as the ratio of the observed electrode slope to the theoretical Nernst slope, to estimate pHin as a function of temperature and correct measured pH values to a reference temperature of 25 °C. Application of the method to vertical seawater profiles demonstrated a reduction in deviation from colorimetric reference measurements. The corrected results showed reduced temperature-dependent bias across depth. This approach provides a practical framework for improving the reliability of in situ glass electrode pH measurements under varying thermal conditions. The proposed method addresses equilibrium temperature-dependent effects of the internal solution but does not explicitly account for transient hysteresis, pressure effects, or long-term sensor drift.

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Giant kelp-associated variation in coastal seawater chemistry across contrasting sites in Chile and Tasmania

Background and Aims

Widespread shifts in seawater chemistry are occurring across spatial and temporal scales, with important consequences for coastal ecosystems. Giant kelp (Macrocystis pyrifera) forests elevate seawater pH and dissolved oxygen (DO) through photosynthesis, potentially providing short-term refugia from ocean acidification and deoxygenation. However, whether these effects persist across contrasting environmental settings remains unclear. Here, we assess how biological and oceanographic conditions regulate giant kelp-mediated modification of seawater chemistry across multiple sites.

Methodology

Hourly measurements of seawater pH, DO and temperature were collected during spring–summer 2022–23 using paired deployments inside and outside giant kelp forests at one site in central Chile and four sites in Tasmania, Australia. The influence of giant kelp density was also evaluated at two sites in southern Chile and three sites in Tasmania. An upwelling index was calculated for the central Chile site to assess the influence of regional oceanographic forcing on kelp-associated seawater chemistry patterns.

Key Results

Hourly pH and DO were higher inside giant kelp forests than outside at the central Chile site and at one Tasmanian site. At these locations, stronger daytime pH–DO relationships indicated that photosynthetic carbon uptake exceeded night-time respiration, generating a net positive metabolic signal. In Tasmania, giant kelp density was positively associated with hourly pH and DO, whereas no such relationship was detected in southern Chile. At the central Chile site, kelp-associated effects intensified during a strong upwelling event, reducing the severity of low pH and DO conditions.

Conclusions

Giant kelp forests can locally buffer short-term fluctuations in seawater pH and DO, but this capacity is highly site-dependent and influenced by giant kelp density and environmental conditions. Overall, our findings suggest that continued loss of giant kelp forests in Tasmania may reduce their potential to provide short-term refugia, while in Chile the strength of kelp-mediated seawater chemistry modification is likely to remain strongly influenced by variability in upwelling and freshwater inputs.

Continue reading ‘Giant kelp-associated variation in coastal seawater chemistry across contrasting sites in Chile and Tasmania’

CARIMED (CARbon, tracers, and ancillary data In the MEDiterranean Sea): a ship-based data synthesis product – overview and quality control procedures

The Mediterranean Sea (MedSea) is highly sensitive to climate-driven changes in temperature, oxygen, and pH, among other variables. To better assess these long-term trends, we developed CARIMED (CARbon, tracers, and ancillary data In the MEDiterranean Sea), the first comprehensive, harmonised data synthesis product for the MedSea. CARIMED integrates hydrographic, inorganic carbon, transient tracer, and ancillary measurements from 46 research cruises spanning the period from 1976 to 2018, containing observations for the entire water column across all MedSea sub-basins. A substantial component of the data was retrieved from fragmented or locally archived historical records, thus consolidating previously inaccessible measurements. Following global synthesis approaches, CARIMED applies a quality-controlled, and bias-adjusted framework. A key adaptation was the secondary quality control (2QC) procedure, specifically tailored to the MedSea’s unique hydrography, utilising sub-basin divisions and supplementary checks (including statistical consistency assessments) to resolve complex, often contradictory, inter-cruise offsets. This rigorous process minimised systematic biases, yielding a dataset with improved consistency, and highlights the urgent need for adapted standard operating procedures and reference materials to address the MedSea biogeochemical particularities. CARIMED delivers two complementary, freely available products: the aggregated original cruise data product (https://doi.org/10.20350/digitalCSIC/17785, García-Ibáñez et al., 2025) and the final bias-adjusted data synthesis product (https://doi.org/10.25921/cp5b-zq67, Álvarez et al., 2025; hosted at https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/ocean-carbon-acidification-data-system/oceans/CARIMED/, last access: 26 June 2026). This essential resource establishes a new benchmark for assessing long-term biogeochemical trends, validating regional ocean models, and supporting climate-change mitigation and adaptation strategies in this rapidly changing semi-enclosed basin.

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Crustose coralline algae buffer shallow reef environments from dissolution

Ocean acidification threatens coral reefs by reducing seawater pH and carbonate saturation state. Crustose coralline algae are particularly vulnerable because their high-magnesium calcite skeletons dissolve more readily than coral aragonite skeletons. However, this dissolution may increase alkalinity and buffer reef-water chemistry. Here we show, using repeated low-tide observations and in situ incubations in a shallow reef system in the southern Great Barrier Reef, that reef-water pH varies by more than one unit over the day (7.47 – 8.61), reaching levels comparable to those projected for the end of this century. Nighttime respiration promotes dissolution of high-magnesium calcite produced by crustose coralline algae, increasing alkalinity and helping maintain seawater supersaturated with respect to aragonite. At the same time, isolated coral incubations experience a greater decline in pH and aragonite saturation state in the absence of this buffering effect. These findings suggest that high-magnesium calcite-producing communities may help partially buffer reefs against future acidification.

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Warming and acidification shape zooplankton community dynamics in Jiaozhou Bay: evidence from an Acid-Heat Vector Intensity Index

Highlights

  • Warming and coastal acidification shape Jiaozhou Bay zooplankton dynamics.
  • AHIvec summarizes monitoring-oriented surface temperature-pH departure.
  • GAMs showed nonlinear, zone-specific zooplankton response patterns.

Abstract

Ocean warming and coastal acidification often co-occur in nearshore embayments, yet their joint associations with zooplankton remain difficult to characterize because responses are frequently nonlinear and spatially heterogeneous. In this study, we developed an integrated quantitative framework for characterizing joint warming-acidification exposure in Jiaozhou Bay. Based on six cruises conducted at nine stations in May (spring) and August (summer) from 2022 to 2024, we characterized zooplankton communities using abundance, biomass, Shannon-Wiener diversity (H′), and Pielou’s evenness (J). We further introduced a joint-exposure indicator, the Acid-Heat Vector Intensity Index (AHIvec), which summarizes joint temperature-pH departure based on standardized anomalies of temperature and pH. Generalized additive models (GAMs) were then applied to examine nonlinear response patterns and zone-specific associations between environmental gradients and zooplankton community attributes. Within the 2022–2024 observation window, sea surface temperature was generally higher in 2024 than in 2022, whereas surface pH was generally lower; however, these patterns should be interpreted as short-term observations rather than formal long-term trend estimates. Zooplankton also showed pronounced spring-summer and spatial variability. Notably, abundance showed pronounced temporal variation and generally increased with temperature, whereas biomass peaked at intermediate temperatures (∼20–22 °C) and declined thereafter, indicating a mismatch between abundance and biomass. Although pH-related associations were weaker than temperature-related associations, they became more evident at the lower end of the observed pH range (approximately 7.7–7.9). The AHIvec gradient was associated with contrasting zone-specific patterns in zooplankton community attributes. Overall, recent temperature-pH variations were associated with changes in zooplankton abundance, biomass, and diversity in Jiaozhou Bay. The AHIvec + GAM framework provides a monitoring-oriented complement to direct temperature-pH analyses for characterizing joint exposure in coastal ecosystems.

Continue reading ‘Warming and acidification shape zooplankton community dynamics in Jiaozhou Bay: evidence from an Acid-Heat Vector Intensity Index’

Ocean acidification alters phytoplankton diversity and community structure in the coastal water of the East China Sea

Anthropogenic CO2 emissions and their continuous dissolution into seawater lead to seawater pCO2 rise and ocean acidification (OA). Phytoplankton groups are known to be differentially affected by carbonate chemistry changes associated with OA in different regions of contrasting physical and chemical features. To explore responses of phytoplankton to OA in the Chinese coastal waters, we conducted a mesocosm experiment in a eutrophic bay of the southern East China Sea under ambient (410 µatm, AC) and elevated (1000 µatm, HC) pCO2 levels. The HC condition stimulated phytoplankton growth and primary production during the initial nutrient-replete stage, while the community diversity and evenness in both pCO2 treatments were reduced during this stage due to the rapid nutrient consumption and diatom blooms, and the subsequent shift from diatoms to hetero-dinoflagellates led to a decline in primary production during the mid and later phases under nutrient depletion. HC treatment suppressed the diatom-to-dinoflagellate succession and enhanced the subsequent remineralization of organic matter, thereby facilitating smaller phytoplankton to dominant and sustaining primary production. Our findings indicate that, the impacts of OA on phytoplankton diversity in the coastal water of the southern East China Sea depend on availability of nutrients, with primary productivity and biodiversity of phytoplankton reduced in the eutrophicated coastal water.

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Localized biogeochemistry and seasonality govern carbonate chemistry in estuarine mangrove ecosystems

Sundarbans, the world’s largest contiguous mangrove ecosystem and representing shallow coastal Bay of Bengal of the Northern Ocean, faces dynamic climate variations, including ocean acidification. To delineate ocean acidification from natural pH variations, it is crucial to perform long-term measurements of multiple carbonate chemistry parameters such as pH, total alkalinity (TA), and dissolved nutrients, among others. In the present study, surface water carbonate chemistry parameters, including TA, pH, and dissolved nutrients (o-phosphate and silicate), were analysed monthly between 2014 and 2022 in three pre-defined stations, namely Stn1, Stn2, and Stn3, part of Sundarbans Biological Observatory Time Series (SBOTS) located in Sagar Island, the largest island of the Indian Sundarbans. The observed deviation from the linear TA-Salinity curve in the studied sites of SBOTS showed the influence of freshwater in modulating TA. Generalized Additive Model (GAM) revealed substantial seasonal variability in the controls on TA. During monsoon, salinity was a dominant driver of carbonate chemistry, consistent with enhanced freshwater discharge. In contrast, during the post-monsoon season, primary productivity as indicated by the relationship with Chla, dissolved silicate, was found to exert a stronger influence on TA variability. Multilinear regression (MLR) analysis of calculated pCO2 further supported these seasonal trends. Overall, the findings highlight the importance of season-specific assessments, highlighting the critical role of freshwater discharge in shaping estuarine carbonate dynamics. These insights are vital for predicting the vulnerability and response of mangrove estuaries under future climate change scenarios.

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Seasonal variations in the bulk density of planktic foraminiferal tests in response to oceanographic changes in the western North Pacific

Ocean acidification (OA) is a major component of ongoing global environmental change, yet its biological impacts on open-ocean calcifiers remain insufficiently quantified. Here, we investigate seasonal variability in the individual test density of the planktic foraminifer Globigerina bulloides in the western North Pacific. Test density was determined using high-resolution microfocus X-ray computed tomography, enabling micron-scale structural assessment. Time-series samples collected by sediment traps moored at 150 m and 540 m at station K2 (2008–2009) reveal pronounced seasonal variability, with test density reduced by ~ 20% during winter relative to other seasons. Seasonal reductions were associated with enhanced vertical mixing and positively correlated with mixed-layer pH, carbonate-ion concentration, and temperature. Additional plankton-tow samples collected between 2010 and 2016 further support a strong linkage between carbonate chemistry and calcification intensity. Multiple regression analysis shows that carbonate-ion concentration independently explains 46.6% of the variance in test density, whereas temperature accounts for only 0.25%, indicating that carbonate-ion availability exerts a dominant control on test density. Given the ongoing decline in carbonate-ion concentration in the North Pacific (~ 0.77 µmol kg−1 yr−1), our results imply an annual decrease of ~ 2 µg mm−3 in foraminiferal test density. Continued OA may therefore reduce biogenic CaCO3 shell density, potentially weakening the efficiency of the carbonate-based biological carbon pump. This study provides quantitative field-based evidence linking seasonal carbonate chemistry to shell density variability in open-ocean calcifiers.

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pH–salinity-driven regulation in carbon utilization kinetics of the intertidal seagrass Zostera japonica along China’s coastline

Highlights

  • We innovatively define two biophysical parameters (pH change rate and acceleration) of Zostera japonica photosynthesis.
  • pH change acceleration is sensitive to the regulation of carbon utilization pathways during Z. japonica photosynthesis.
  • A progressive pH–salinity-driven regulation mode of carbon utilization pathways in Z. japonica photosynthesis is summarized.
  • The impact of ocean acidification and alkalization on seagrass is characterized from a new biophysical standpoint.

Abstract

Seagrass carbon concentration mechanisms are modulated by seawater pH and salinity, yet their progressive regulation in photosynthetic inorganic carbon utilization pathways remain poorly characterized. This study novelly mathematically characterized first-order (pH change rate) and second-order (pH change acceleration) derivatives from pH-drift experiments in the intertidal seagrass Zostera japonica along China’s coastline. The pH change-based method effectively highlights the dissolved inorganic carbon (DIC) utilization and biomass accumulation of seagrass, while pH change acceleration is sensitive to the progressive switch of DIC utilization pathways during Z. japonica photosynthesis. As pH increases, six significant regulations emerge that have ecophysiological significance: a. primary regulation via reaching the CO2 compensation point; b. extracellular carbonic anhydrase (exCA) activity dropping to negligible levels; c. diminished efficiency of proton pump-mediated extracellular acidification in supplying CO2; d. regulation via reaching the bicarbonate saturation point; e. regulation via reaching the bicarbonate compensation point; and f. regulation via enhanced respiratory CO2 into seawater temporarily stimulating photosynthesis as a feedback. We summarize a progressive and universal pH–salinity-driven regulation mode reflecting different combinations of DIC utilization pathways and their respective intensities. Specifically, seawater pH modulates the mode’s fluctuating thresholds, while salinity governs the amplitude. Unexpectedly, elevated salinity serves as an effective stimulant for Z. japonica to maintain strong DIC utilization intensity in high pH (> 9.1) environments. Ocean acidification could increase pH change acceleration by 166%, enhancing carbon fixation, whereas artificial ocean alkalinity enhancement (Ca(OH)2 supplementation and olivine-seawater weathering) could reduce it by 165% and 105%, respectively, risking mortality of Z. japonica. Additionally, the salinity-dependent braking point (where acceleration drops to zero) serves as a critical threshold for seagrass photosynthesis and a new factor for transplantation-based restoration.

Continue reading ‘pH–salinity-driven regulation in carbon utilization kinetics of the intertidal seagrass Zostera japonica along China’s coastline’

Variation and influencing factors of water alkalinity in estuary-bay waters of Zhanjiang Bay, China

This study investigated the spatial distribution, seasonal variation, and drivers of surface seawater alkalinity (Alk) in Zhanjiang Bay (ZJB) using high-frequency seasonal sampling in the summers and winters of 2023. Surface Alk ranged from 525.3 to 2213.3 μmol·L−1, with mean values of 1373.1 ± 420.9 μmol·L−1 (summer, n = 28) and 1612.3 ± 343.7 μmol·L−1 (winter, n = 20). Spatially, Alk increased progressively from the estuary to the inner bay and further to the bay mouth, reflecting a typical dilution gradient. Correlation analyses showed that summer Alk was positively correlated with salinity (ρ = 0.706, p < 0.001), indicating that salinity changes associated with conservative mixing were a dominant control, whereas the weaker winter correlation (ρ = 0.473, p < 0.001) suggested that biological processes may play a more important role. Tidal forcing was significantly associated with diurnal Alk variations, particularly in the estuary and inner bay. In the estuary, high Alk occurred during high tide, consistent with tidal mixing; in the inner bay, elevated Alk was observed during low tide, suggesting a possible tidal pumping effect. These findings provide baseline data on Alk dynamics in a subtropical estuarine bay and contribute to understanding the carbonate system and buffering capacity in similar coastal systems. However, because measurements of dissolved inorganic carbon and pCO2 were unavailable, a quantitative assessment of carbon sink capacity requires further investigation.

Continue reading ‘Variation and influencing factors of water alkalinity in estuary-bay waters of Zhanjiang Bay, China’

Water mass-driven variations in primary production and bacterial respiration during the spring bloom in the Fram Strait

Highlights

  • Remote sensing indicates declining bloom in cold and developing bloom in warm water
  • Primary production peaks in polar and arctic surface water masses
  • Bacterial production is coupled to primary production despite thermal sensitivity
  • Oxygen-based community respiration is highest in warmer water masses
  • Oxygen-based and INT-based respiration estimates differ by an order of magnitude

Abstract

The Fram Strait is the primary oceanic gateway to the Arctic Ocean and has highly dynamic oceanographic conditions. Oceanographic conditions can shape community compositions, which is increasingly shown using molecular studies, but rate measurements remain scarce, especially for respiration in the Arctic Ocean. Here, we assessed primary production (PP), bacterial production (BP), bacterial abundances (BA), and community respiration (CR) using Winkler titrations and in vivo Iodo-Nitro-Tetrazolium (INT) reduction within the upper 50 m across water masses of the Fram Strait that had varying bloom conditions in spring 2021. We complemented in situ observations with remote sensing of sea surface temperature (SST) and chlorophyll-a (SSC) to infer bloom phenology in warm (θ>2°C), intermediate (2>θ>0°C), and cold (θ<0°C) waters using remote sensing machine-learning. In the cold, nutrient-rich surface waters, a subsiding spring bloom was associated with elevated PP, BP, and BA alongside a high temperature sensitivity (Q10) that indicates active microbial turnover. In contrast, the warm Atlantic-influenced waters exhibit a relatively lower PP but moderate cell-specific BP, suggesting bacterial maintenance metabolism under pre-bloom conditions. Notably, bacterial respiration (BR) estimates differed by 5- to 80-fold between the Winkler and in vivo INT methods. Although the true BR likely lies between these estimates, our results highlight the substantial microbial activity and underscore the need for more accurate BR measurements in Arctic studies.

Continue reading ‘Water mass-driven variations in primary production and bacterial respiration during the spring bloom in the Fram Strait’

Unveiling carbonate dissolution in coastal sediments and its influence on seawater buffering capacity with δ13CDIC and 224Ra–228Th disequilibria

Organic carbon mineralization is generally recognized as the primary source of dissolved inorganic carbon (DIC) released from sediments in coastal seas. The CO2 accumulation or the formation of corrosive microenvironment induced by organic carbon degradation can promote the dissolution of calcium carbonate (CaCO3) in sediments, complicating the efficiency of carbon burial and total alkalinity (TA) inputs to aquatic environments. However, quantitative assessments of sediment CaCO3 dissolution and its impacts on the seawater carbonate remain poorly constrained. In this study, we selected typical high-productivity regions, mariculture farms, and applied the 224Ra–228Th disequilibrium approach to quantify the effluxes of DIC and TA across the sediment-water interface. Stable carbon isotopes of DIC (δ13CDIC) were employed to trace DIC sources in porewater. The results showed that CaCO3 dissolution in sediments accounted for 27–56 % of the benthic DIC efflux. Notably, a high contribution of CaCO3 dissolution did not coincide with strong organic carbon degradation across sites, suggesting that dynamic disturbance on sediments, which weakened the metabolic CO2 accumulation in porewater, was also a crucial factor affecting carbonate dissolution. According to the evaluation of the influence that benthic DIC and TA efflux exerted on the seawater CO2 content, the TA supplied by the CaCO3 dissolution was identified to enhance the carbonate buffering capacity of seawater and counteracted the acidification driven by organic matter remineralization. This indicates that CaCO3 dissolution in sediments should be involved in coastal carbon cycling and assessments on coastal ecosystem resilience under the risk of CO2 elevation.

Continue reading ‘Unveiling carbonate dissolution in coastal sediments and its influence on seawater buffering capacity with δ13CDIC and 224Ra–228Th disequilibria’

Carbonate chemistry in groundwater and rivers draining to the Baltic Sea: implications for coastal ocean acidification

Terrestrial inputs can alter total alkalinity (TA) and dissolved inorganic carbon (DIC) of the coastal ocean and modify seawater pH. Here, we first characterize the carbonate system in river and groundwater draining to the Baltic Sea using observations of TA, DIC, δ13C-DIC, and major ions across 6 countries and 17 beaches. We then assess whether submarine groundwater discharge (SGD) may impact coastal acidification. TA and DIC concentrations were about 2 times greater in groundwater than river water. 84% of the groundwater and 72% of river samples showed potential to acidify receiving Baltic Sea waters and degas CO2 due to low TA/DIC ratios. Mixing plots revealed non-conservative production of TA and DIC in subterranean estuaries. δ13C-DIC values imply that organic matter respiration was a main source of DIC to northern catchments, while calcium carbonate (CaCO3) dissolution was more important along the southeastern coast. Fresh SGD contributed only < 2% of TA and DIC, and 5–7% of Ca, Mg, and SO4 fluxes compared to river discharge when extrapolated to the entire Baltic Sea. However, unquantified total SGD (fresh groundwater plus recirculated seawater) water and chemical fluxes are likely higher. Overall, SGD can locally acidify the Baltic Sea and should be considered in regional carbon budgets.

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Distinct polar carbon regimes reveal hemispheric asymmetry in surface ocean pCO₂ regulation

Polar oceans play a major role in the global carbon cycle, absorbing a substantial fraction of human-emitted carbon dioxide and helping regulate Earth’s climate. Extreme conditions and seasonal sea-ice limit in situ observations, leaving major uncertainties in how carbon exchange varies across these regions. Consequently, the processes controlling surface ocean carbon at high latitudes remain poorly understood. Here we demonstrate that polar oceans exhibit a pronounced hemispheric asymmetry in the drivers of surface carbon variability. By combining machine learning with a data-driven regionalization of biogeochemical provinces, we reconstruct surface carbon patterns across both polar oceans over the period 1998-2022 and identify their dominant controls. Variability in the Southern Ocean is primarily governed by non-thermal processes linked to biological activity and wind-driven mixing, whereas in the Arctic Ocean thermodynamic forcing dominates in open waters and freshwater-driven stratification shapes the central basin. Polar oceans therefore do not operate as a single carbon regime. Instead, distinct mechanisms governing carbon cycling in each hemisphere are associated with opposing long-term pCO₂ trajectories, with weak or negative trends across much of the Southern Ocean but widespread increases throughout the Arctic.

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Climate change and ocean acidification outweigh local stressors in Mediterranean mussels: a multi-method convergence analysis

Highlights

  • Climate change explains ∼40% of biological stress variance in Mediterranean mussels.
  • Ocean acidification drives 67% of metal bioavailability changes via pH-metal speciation.
  • 64% of climate effects on biomarkers operate indirectly through metal bioaccumulation.
  • Multi-method convergence (LMG, GAM, SEM, Bayesian Networks) confirms stressor ranking.
  • Only SSP1-2.6 keeps biological stress below the chronic-stress threshold through 2050.

Abstract

Marine coastal ecosystems face concurrent pressure from climate change and anthropogenic contamination, yet their relative contributions to biological stress remain poorly quantified. Here we present a decade-long (2014–2023) biomonitoring study on Mytilus galloprovincialis in the Ligurian Sea (NW Mediterranean), integrating quarterly biomarker measurements, heavy metal bioaccumulation data (12 metals), and high-resolution oceanographic records at a control site (Gorgona Island Marine Protected Area) and an offshore regasification terminal.

Biological stress variance was partitioned using five complementary analytical frameworks — Lindeman–Merenda–Gold (LMG) variance decomposition, Hierarchical and Generalised Additive Models (HGAM/GAM), Structural Equation Modelling (SEM), and Bayesian Networks — applied to four biomarkers: DNA damage, lysosomal membrane stability, gill tissue integrity, and immune response. A campaign-specific T0 baseline normalisation isolated environmental signals from initial population variability.

Climate change emerged as the dominant driver, consistently explaining ∼40% of variance across all methods, significantly exceeding metal bioaccumulation (∼30%), terminal influence (∼13%), and seasonal effects (∼2%). Ocean acidification was the primary climate mechanism, influencing 67% of analysed metals. Causal mediation analysis revealed that 64% of the climate effect operates indirectly through enhanced metal bioaccumulation (Climate→Metals→Biomarkers), while 36% acts directly. Climate and biological stress indices co-varied strongly (ρ = 0.78, p < 0.001), with marine heatwaves coinciding with peak biomarker responses.

Under IPCC Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP) scenarios, the Biological Stress Index is projected to cross chronic-stress thresholds by 2035–2040 under the high-emission scenario (SSP5-8.5) and the intermediate-emission scenario (SSP2-4.5), with only the low-emission scenario (SSP1-2.6) maintaining stress below critical levels through 2050.

These findings challenge pollution-centric monitoring paradigms and demonstrate that CO2 mitigation now constitutes the highest-leverage intervention for marine invertebrate health in the Mediterranean.

Graphical abstract

This graphical abstract illustrates the main findings of a decade-long field study (2014–2023) on the effects of climate change and metal contamination on Mytilus galloprovincialis in the Ligurian Sea (NW Mediterranean). Three panels summarise the causal chain from environmental drivers to biological outcomes. The first panel depicts the key oceanographic trends recorded at the study site: ocean warming (+0.41°C/decade), acidification (−0.020 pH units/decade), deoxygenation, and a doubling of marine heatwave frequency after 2018. The second panel shows how pH decline enhances the bioavailability of 67% of the metals analysed, driving a predominantly indirect pathway (64%) from climate stressors to biological stress, mediated by metal bioaccumulation, as revealed by structural equation modelling and Bayesian network analysis. The final panel presents the four biomarkers used to compute the Biological Stress Index (BSI), its strong temporal correlation with the Climate Change Index (ρ = 0.78), and BSI projections to 2050 under three IPCC emission scenarios, showing that only SSP1-2.6 keeps BSI below the chronic-stress threshold throughout the projection period.

Continue reading ‘Climate change and ocean acidification outweigh local stressors in Mediterranean mussels: a multi-method convergence analysis’

Development of hypoxia and acidification during harmful algal blooms: dynamic multi-stressor conditions in NY, USA, estuaries

Highlights

  • Alexandrium blooms occurred with normoxic conditions and moderate pH (7.5-8.0).
  • Alexandrium blooms occurred with moderate pCO2 (400 – 1,000 µatm) and saturating conditions for aragonite.
  • Dinophysis blooms co-occurred nocturnal acidification (8.71 to 13.6 hr d−1) and hypoxia (0.52 to 3.88 hr d−1).
  • Dinophysis blooms co-occurred with high pCO2 (1,000 – 3,500 µatm) and undersaturated aragonite (Ωar < 1).
  • The co-occurrence of nocturnal hypoxia, acidification, Ωar undersaturation, and HABs coupled is a significant threat for marine life.

Abstract

While harmful algal blooms (HABs), hypoxia, and ocean acidification are common occurrences in coastal zones, research investigating the co-occurrence and interactions between these processes has been lacking. Here, we documented the initiation, peak, and demise of eight distinct HAB events caused by Alexandrium catenella and Dinophysis acuminata over a two-year period in two estuaries (Northport Harbor and Cold Spring Harbor, NY, USA). We concurrently characterized the dynamics of carbonate chemistry, including pCO2 and the saturation state of aragonite (Ωar), pH, dissolved oxygen (DO), and general environmental conditions in space and time. HABs occurred in succession and reached high densities with A. catenella blooms exceeding 104 cells L−1 being succeeded by D. acuminata blooms exceeding 106 cells L−1A. catenella blooms occurred during spring months under generally normoxic conditions with moderate levels of pCO2 (400 – 1,000 µatm), only brief periods of acidification (pH < 7.5), mostly saturating conditions for aragonite, and an absence of hypoxia. In contrast, D. acuminata blooms, which occurred in summer, consistently co-occurred with bouts of extended nocturnal acidification (8.71 to 13.6 hr d−1) and hypoxia (0.52 to 3.88 hr d−1) coupled with higher levels of pCO2 (1,000 – 3,500 µatm), and undersaturating conditions for aragonite (Ωar < 1). During both blooms, nearshore locations hosted higher cell densities, lower pH and DO, and higher pCO2 compared to open water regions. The co-occurrence of multiple stressors including nocturnal hypoxia, acidification, Ωar undersaturation, and HABs, coupled with strong diel cycling of DO, pH, and pCO2, especially during D. acuminata blooms, represents a significant and previously unrecognized threat for marine life.

Continue reading ‘Development of hypoxia and acidification during harmful algal blooms: dynamic multi-stressor conditions in NY, USA, estuaries’

Brown algae as winners: divergent resilience to high light under acidified conditions shapes macroalgal communities around a carbon dioxide vent

To investigate the effects of ocean acidification (OA) on macroalgae, we conducted in situ surveys along a natural CO2 vent gradient in Shikine Island, Japan, together with complementary laboratory culture experiments. The in-situ surveys revealed that near the CO2 vent (where pH dropped by 0.37), macroalgal diversity and species-richness were less than half those at the reference sites under ambient pH conditions. Nevertheless, the rates of CO2 assimilation of several common macroalgae increased from the reference site to the areas near the CO2 vent. This enhancement coincided with decreased photosynthetic CO2 affinity, reflecting that the acidified area down-regulated CO2-concentrating mechanisms in the algae. Measured photosystem II activity revealed that macroalgae at reference sites had lower electron transport rate and light utilization efficiency. The laboratory culture experiments, in which the dominant species (Gelidium elegans and Dictyopteris undulata), were cross-exposed to ambient and elevated CO2 conditions, further demonstrated that the stress near the CO2 vent significantly exacerbated photoinhibition under high light stress. Our results demonstrate that reduced pH and high sunlight act synergistically to impair macroalgal photosynthesis through exacerbated photoinhibition. This effect was more pronounced in red algae (e.g., G. elegans) than in brown algae (e.g., D. undulata). These different physiological responses provide a mechanistic explanation for an observed community shift, from red algal dominance in ambient pCO2 areas to brown algal dominance near the vent. Our findings imply that future OA, when combined with high-light stress, may selectively disadvantage high-light-sensitive species, thereby altering macroalgal community structure in coastal waters.

Continue reading ‘Brown algae as winners: divergent resilience to high light under acidified conditions shapes macroalgal communities around a carbon dioxide vent’

Strong effects of sun exposure on oyster shell corrosion and compensatory calcification: a factor confounding coastal acidification responses

The dynamics of calcium carbonate structures in marine organisms (skeletons and shells) has become increasingly important due to heightened interest in marine environmental acidification. Research into molluscan shell corrosion and calcification in response to acidification is typically carried out in laboratory-controlled settings, which often overlooks the intricate interactions found in natural environments. Mollusks inhabiting intertidal zones are especially susceptible to intense shell weathering caused by tidal cycles of heating, cooling, wetting, and drying, exacerbated by solar radiation during periods of air exposure. We investigated the effect of sun exposure (solar radiative heating) on both outer shell corrosion and inner shell compensatory calcification in the tropical oyster, Saccostrea scyphophilla. Shell properties were compared between oysters from neighboring populations in sun-exposed and shaded habitats. Habitat temperatures were measured using iButtons, and right shell valve corrosion was quantified. Compensatory calcification was assessed through measurements of shell thickness, shell density, shell compression strength, and mineralogical properties. Our results revealed that oysters in the sun that experience global irradiance, higher temperature peaks and broader daily temperature ranges (averaging an increase of 10 °C) show considerably greater outer shell surface corrosion (87%) compared to shaded oysters (31%) that experience only diffuse irradiance. Sun-exposed shells also become thickened in the midsection and around the adductor muscle, and they are slightly stronger, indicating compensation for the outer shell loss. These findings highlight the need for caution when interpreting molluscan shell dynamics based on laboratory marine acidification protocols that fail to account for the many natural environmental factors influencing shell formation and dissolution.

Continue reading ‘Strong effects of sun exposure on oyster shell corrosion and compensatory calcification: a factor confounding coastal acidification responses’

Aragonite saturation state in the East China Sea during fall 2022: roles of temperature, biology, and mixing

This work presents a comprehensive spatial distribution of aragonite saturation state (Ωara) during fall 2022 across the entire shelf of the East China Sea (ECS), a marginal sea of the North Pacific. Our observations revealed pronounced spatial heterogeneity in Ωara. Specifically, surface Ωara was higher in the southeastern ECS in (3.22−3.41), which is influenced by the Taiwan Warm Current and the Kuroshio, than the northern ECS (2.23−2.60), which is affected by the Yellow Sea and the Changjiang River. The lowest Ωara values (1.73−2.20) occurred beneath the mixed layer on the southeastern ECS shelf. Correlation analyses and a one-dimensional diagnostic model identified biological activity and temperature as primary controls on the spatial variability of Ωara. For example, on the southeastern ECS shelf, within the mixed layer, both biological activities and temperature increased Ωara, accounting for ~45% and ~33% of the total absolute contribution of each process. While below the mixed layer, these two processes decreased Ωara, accounting for approximately -38% and -24% of the total absolute contribution. Additionally, water mass mixing substantially influenced Ωara within interaction zones, such as in the intrusion areas of the Yellow Sea and Changjiang River waters. Projections indicate that under future elevated atmospheric carbon dioxide conditions (RCP6.0 and RCP8.5), sea surface Ωara will continue to decline, but the magnitude of decline will be smaller in the northern ECS than in the southeastern ECS, reflecting the carbonate system’s intrinsic buffering effect.

Continue reading ‘Aragonite saturation state in the East China Sea during fall 2022: roles of temperature, biology, and mixing’

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