Posts Tagged 'policy'

Chapter 22 – Environmental ethics and the case of ocean acidification

Ocean acidification (OA) is a paradigm case of an encroaching long-term environmental problem that is mainly caused by CO2-emissions and will have diverse and often uncertain impacts on marine organisms and ecosystems. SDG 14 (‘Life below water’) demands to halt or slow down OA. Since occurrence of OA is remote to our daily terrestrial life, it has not been in the focus of moral attention so far. This chapter emerged from the BIOACID research programme at Kiel University. It examines five sources of normativity in environmental ethics, addresses problems of uncertainty and framing, and interprets the metaphor of ‘ocean health’ with recurrence to an updated version of Aldo Leopold’s principle. The chapter argues that basic non-anthropocentric approaches, such as biocentrism, ecocentrism, and holism, face severe problems with respect to marine environments and can’t serve as solid groundings for an ocean ethics. The chapter proposes that a deep anthropocentric environmental ethics can provide an appropriate grounding for ambitious marine stewardship policies, including ocean acidification. Finally, the chapter proposes to define a critical threshold for OA which should not be passed.

22.1 Introduction

This chapter addresses ocean acidification (OA) from an environmental ethics perspective. Ocean acidification is seen as a paradigm case for post-normal science. At its core, the chapter adopts and substantiates several ethical building blocks from a discourse-pragmatic approach, as (a) common heritage of humankind, (b) strong sustainability, (c) Aldo Leopold’s principle, and (d) ecosystem services, with a special eye on cultural services. The idea to attribute inherent moral value to marine organisms and ecological systems is seen critically.

This chapter emerged from the research programme BIOACID (Biological Impacts of Ocean Acidification) being conducted at Kiel University. Within the final period of the BIOACID research programme, a work package on environmental ethics was included to address the underlying normative issues. This project resulted in a monograph: Frederike Böhm and Konrad Ott, Impacts of Ocean Acidification: An Analysis from an Environmental Ethics Perspective (Böhm & Ott, 2019).1 The following chapter presents the essential lines of reasoning of this book and adds new thoughts. It is organized as follows: Section 22.2 gives a brief overview of the scientific dimension. Section 22.3 presents a post-normal-science framing of OA. Section 22.4 deals with interrelated sources of normativity which stem from environmental ethics. Section 22.5 addresses the problem of defining a planetary boundary for OA.

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Chapter 21 – How can we curb ocean acidification in a time of multiple competing crises?

Since the 1972 Stockholm Conference, many global environmental agreements have been struck for climate, biodiversity, and sustainable development goals. Still, the planets environment has continued to decline, including on the ocean. One result has been ocean acidification, caused by the uptake of 30–40 per cent of all carbon dioxide from the atmosphere. On its face, this ocean CO2 uptake sounds positive. However, with a continuous increase of CO2 in the atmosphere, this also means an increase in the ocean, which alters its chemistry in ways that may disrupt oceanic biodiversity through making waters more acidic. When coupling this with other major global crisis, we see that we have only adopted global environmental agreements that protect humans from our own nature-induced change – and not ensured that we take our ethical obligation to nature itself by protecting it from human use. This chapter looks at the risk perception literature and considers how the science–policy interface can be exploited to convey the importance of ocean acidification, and whether the anthropogenic lens is what will always be necessary to ensure action to protect something from ourselves.

21.1 Introduction

Around the end of the eighteenth century, with the design of the steam engine by James Watt, the geological age of the Anthropocene started (Crutzen 2006). This has led to unprecedented changes in the natural environment, the most serious of which is climate change. We have tried to change our paths since then though. In fact, more than 50 years have now passed since the 1972 Stockholm Conference (Rockström et al. 2021) – the United Nations Conference on the Human Environment. This was when global leaders for the first time made the environment and the triple planetary crisis of climate, nature, and pollution a focus issue. At that time, in 1972, they warned – and this still holds true today – that ‘Through ignorance or indifference we can do massive and irreversible harm to the earthly environment on which our life and well-being depend’ (United Nations 1973).

Since then, state leaders have created the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) entered into force both a climate and biodiversity agreement (United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) and the Convention on Biological Diversity (CBD)) with many iterations; signed the UN 17 Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) in 2015 with corresponding targets, as part of the realization of Agenda 2030; and in 2022 and 2023, state leaders also signed the Kunming-Montreal Global Biodiversity Framework (GBF) and the Agreement under the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea on the conservation and sustainable use of marine biological diversity in areas beyond national jurisdiction (BBNJ). Still, we have continued to saturate Earth’s capacity to support future generations (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change 2018). The planet is more polluted than earlier, there are fewer fish in the ocean, the temperature is increasing, methane levels are at their highest in 800,000 years, polar regions are melting, plastics are ubiquitous, and the ocean is more acidic than ever (Barnes & Kaiser 2009; Hönisch et al. 2012; Worm & Branch 2012; MacLeod et al. 2021; Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change 2022).

In fact, six of nine planetary boundaries that are needed for humans to be able to develop and thrive for generations to come have been breached already (Richardson et al. 2023). Then, in 2025, the ocean acidification boundary was crossed (Findlay et al. 2025). This is a boundary that is also specifically mentioned in the SDGs, with target 3 of SDG14 Life below water specifying the need to ‘Minimize and address the impacts of ocean acidification, including through enhanced scientific cooperation at all levels’. It was in fact the only by-product of climate change and greenhouse gas emission that was singled out to be included under this goal (United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs 2022). Still, there is a lack of concrete knowledge of how breaching this boundary will impact either non-human populations or the corresponding human population that depends on these (Buckley et al. 2017).

In light of this, the current chapter considers ocean acidification within the planetary boundaries framework and assesses the lack of responses that led to, and may further exacerbate, the breaching of this boundary. We argue that this in part can be explained by the human-centric perspective of global environmental governance, where effective governance is linked to risk perception within a human context. In terms of ocean acidification, we argue that humans still have a low personal risk perception, coupled with a lack of knowledge (or interest) about it, which directly hinders its agenda setting and implementation of effective governance. We conclude with considering whether the increased saliency of biodiversity challenges, as brought to the surface with the signing of the GBF in 2022, can bring more attention to the role of stressors such as ocean acidification on sustainability and the consequences the breach of this planetary boundary can have on not only humans but also non-human populations.

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Chapter 20 – Introduction to the ocean acidification boundary

The oceans mirror many of the environmental problems described in the planetary boundaries framework and reported widely in the media, such as overfishing and deep-sea mining (biosphere integrity), plastic islands or microplastics (novel entities), shipping (atmospheric aerosol loading), or dead zones lacking oxygen (biogeochemical flows). Less present in the media is the problem of ocean acidification addressed by the planetary boundary. Like the atmosphere, the oceans are sinks for CO2 produced by the burning of fossil fuels.

CO2 absorption changes the chemistry of the oceans, lowering their pH. The resulting acidification also leads to fewer of the calcium carbonate shells produced by numerous creatures sinking carbon to the ocean floor before they dissolve back into the water. The boundary’s control variable relates to this by describing the ‘carbonate ion concentration in surface seawater’ and, more specifically, the ‘average global surface ocean saturation state with respect to aragonite’ (Richardson et al. 2023). Aragonite is one of the most abundant forms of calcium carbonate. The boundary is at more than 80 per cent of the pre-industrial aragonite concentration, defined as 3.44. In 2023, the level was 81 per cent, meaning the ocean boundary was, at that time, still one of the few that had not been crossed. Thus, Pelejero et al. (2010: 332) describe ocean acidification as the ‘“evil twin” of global warming’ – it is a moot question, though, as to which is of the two is more evil. This also means that reducing greenhouse gas emissions will reduce the pressure on ocean acidification.

Acidification of the oceans and declining concentrations of calcium carbonate are becoming a problem for marine life. Many creatures depend on the presence of these calcium compounds in the water to build their shells or skeletons. Lower pH not only erodes the existing structures of these creatures, but they also find less calcium to rebuild them. These include plankton, corals, crustaceans, and molluscs, which are vital to marine biodiversity, marine food chains, and, ultimately, human food security (Rockström et al. 2009). So, the control variable of the ocean boundary is the global average saturation state of calcium carbonate in surface water. The framework sets the preindustrial Holocene base value at 3.44 and the boundary value at 2.75. Since 2009, the actual values have fluctuated between 2.8 and 2.9 (Richardson et al. 2023). In 2025, the ocean acidification boundary was first recognized as having been crossed (Findlay et al. 2025).

Both chapters on ocean acidification take the problem structure of the ocean acidification boundary as the starting point of their ethical reflections. Konrad Ott describes it as post-normal, that is, a situation when problem-solving has to cope with uncertain facts, disputed values, high-stakes, and urgent decisions (Funtowicz & Ravetz 1993). Ott explores the issue of ocean acidification from an environmental ethics perspective. He discusses different ways of justifying why ocean acidification is an ethical problem and what follows from this. In doing so, he aims to show how well the most common environmental ethical approaches can address the issue. They mostly differ in their scope of the moral community, that is, to whom we have direct moral obligations: to humans only, or also to individual animals, species, or ecosystems? Depending on the answer one gives, the reasons for protecting oceans will change. Ultimately, Ott intends to specify the normative building blocks of deep anthropocentrism as his preferred approach to the issue.

Rachel Haug Fossbakk, too, addresses the issue of decision-making relating to uncertainty and risk perception. She argues that the human response to ocean acidification is inadequate. This is despite the fact that there is already enough knowledge to act. Her hypothesis is that action requires an adequate perception of risk, which many people do not have when it comes to ocean acidification. She concludes by asking who has a responsibility to act, and on what ethical basis. Rachel Haug Fossbakk then advocates an ecocentric perspective by which she understands a situation ‘where humans are part of nature and need to live sustainably as part of it on the same term as other species’.

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ISO 18191:2026 – Water quality — Determination of pHT in seawater — Method using the purple indicator of m-cresol

This document specifies a spectrophotometric determination of the pHT of seawater on the total hydrogen ion concentration pH scale. The total hydrogen ion concentration, [H+]T, is expressed as moles per kilogram of seawater. The method is suitable for assaying oceanic levels of pHT from 7.4 to 8.2 for normal seawater of practical salinity ranging from 20 to 40.

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From climate data to regulatory decisions: integrating climate AI into marine EIAs

Climate change is increasingly reshaping the sustainable development of the ocean through ocean warming, deoxygenation, acidification, and other compounding stressors. Against this backdrop, environmental impact assessment (EIA) has become a pivotal governance instrument for anticipating and reducing the climate-related impacts of human activities at sea. From the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS) to the Agreement on Biodiversity Beyond National Jurisdiction (the BBNJ Agreement), regulatory expectations for marine EIAs are moving toward more structured thresholds, procedural workflows, and reporting obligations. At the same time, rapid advances in climate artificial intelligence (climate AI), such as machine-learning forecasting, deep-learning nowcasting, and agentic AI workflows, are expanding the ability to produce timely, high-resolution, and probabilistic climate information from heterogeneous climate data streams. These capabilities can strengthen climate-related EIAs by combining short-term forecasting and nowcasting for early warning, long-term observation and monitoring for dynamic baselines, and scenario-based climate modelling for impact estimation and decision support. Climate AI can therefore be integrated throughout the EIA workflow rather than appended as an auxiliary layer, translating climate data into regulatory evidence under changing marine-climate conditions. To ensure regulatory robustness and accountability, implementation should be grounded in evidence standards and quality assurance, transparent and auditable documentation, human oversight, responsibility allocation, and formal mechanisms for cross-institutional data sharing. We argue that a standards-driven, AI-enabled EIA framework can improve the relevance, reviewability, and robustness of marine EIA decisions, supporting long-term ocean sustainability under accelerating climate risks.

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The Third World Ocean Assessment


Share the knowledge on the ocean

The ocean is the foundation of life on Earth. But its health is at grave risk as ecosystems and habitats approach or surpass critical tipping points. In the search for solutions, ocean science is indispensable. The third World Ocean Assessment offers the most comprehensive evaluation to date, providing Governments, institutions and the public with the evidence needed to shape coordinated, effective action.

Five years ago, the previous Assessment found persistent degradation of marine ecosystems. This third Assessment documents a deepening crisis, as climate change, pollution, overfishing and biodiversity loss put ocean systems under severe strain. Its findings demand urgent action, through stronger multilateral cooperation, greater ambition and decisions grounded in the best available science.

This Assessment comes midway through the United Nations Decade of Ocean Science for Sustainable Development and the United Nations Decade on Ecosystem Restoration. It takes stock of what we have learned, how far we have come and what more is needed to secure a healthy, resilient ocean for current and future generations.

The entry into force of the Agreement under the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea on the Conservation and Sustainable Use of Marine Biological Diversity of Areas Beyond National Jurisdiction in January 2026 marks a historic milestone for ocean stewardship and multilateral cooperation. Now we must translate that momentum, and the latest science, into decisive action for a healthy and resilient ocean.

May this Assessment strengthen our resolve to protect the ocean and, in doing so, help safeguard our climate, our food systems, our prosperity and our future.

António Guterres, Secretary-General of the United Nations

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Policy brief: ocean acidification & food security

Key insights

Policymakers and researchers can better understand, mitigate, and adapt to the impact of ocean acidification on food security, ensuring a more sustainable future for blue foods and the communities that depend on them if they:

  1. Ensure baseline measurements of acidification are taken across different ocean basins.
  2. Research the impact of ocean acidification on fisheries, shellfish, coral and plankton and priortize seafood
    species of local importance.
  3. Explore knowledge gaps in ocean acidification science and research through a food security lens.
  4. Align and integrate ocean acidification and food security research with regional and national policy objectives.
  5. Leverage international frameworks to direct research, policy and financing support to more adequately assist
    nations in prolonged responses to the impacts of ocean acidification on food security

Key takeaways:

By implementing these recommendations, policymakers and researchers can better understand, mitigate, and adapt to the impact of ocean acidification on food security, ensuring a more sustainable future for blue foods and the communities that depend on them:

  • Ensure baseline measurements of acidification are taken across different ocean basins.
  • Research the impact of ocean acidification on fisheries, shellfish, coral and plankton and prioritize seafood species of local importance.
  • Explore knowledge gaps in ocean acidification science and research through a food security lens.
  • Align and integrate ocean acidification and food security research with regional and national policy objectives.
  • Leverage international frameworks to direct research, policy and financing support to more adequately assist nations in prolonged responses to the impacts of ocean acidification on food security.

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Dialogue, inclusion, and adaptation in a remote marine sanctuary: evidence from Flower Garden Banks

Interdisciplinary, stakeholder-engaged research is increasingly being used for managing climate change in social-ecological systems. We apply a Collaborative Adaptive Experimental Governance lens to the Flower Garden Banks National Marine Sanctuary, a remote, relatively pristine coral reef system ~130–190 km offshore in the Gulf of Mexico, where biodiversity protection coexists with recreation and offshore energy. We coupled participatory social science with climate and ecosystem modeling to inform dialogue with decision-makers and users. First, we generated scenarios using Community Earth System Model2-LE ocean temperature and aragonite saturation state to characterize warming and acidification; translated heat stress into a variability-based coral bleaching index; and projected demersal and pelagic fish biomass. We then conducted 37 semi-structured interviews (managers, oil and gas, commercial and recreational fisheries, dive operators, Non-governmental organizations, and science/education), employed multi-coder reliability, and triangulated findings with policy and legal documents. Results highlight the centrality of the Sanctuary Advisory Council in structuring inclusive dialogue, co-producing recommendations, and supporting outreach in distant coastal communities. Multi-level coordination among NOAA, the Gulf of Mexico Fishery Management Council, and the Bureau of Ocean Energy Management enabled boundary expansion and reconciled conservation with industry and fishing interests. Key barriers to adaptive responses include offshore remoteness and logistics, limited public awareness, funding constraints, trust deficits, and procedural delays; pressures that intersect with warming, acidification, and episodic hypoxia. Our study shows that remote marine protected areas can operationalize inclusive, experimental governance to align science and management, but sustained investment in monitoring, restoration capacity, boundary-spanning outreach, and cross-agency coordination is needed.

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Climate change impact on the socioeconomic conditions and well-being of the South Asian small-scale fishermen: a review

Climate change is a major threat to the small-scale fishing communities, particularly in South Asia, a region characterized by widespread coastlines, extreme population density, and high dependence on marine resources for food, income, and employment. This review synthesizes findings from peer-reviewed articles published between 2000 and 2025 to analyse the climate change impact on socioeconomic conditions and well-being of the small-scale fishermen. The review identifies a range of climatic stressors, such as rising sea surface temperatures, ocean acidification, sea level rise, and extreme weather events, that are severely disrupting marine ecosystems and fish availability. These ecological shifts directly affect the livelihoods, income stability, and food security of fishing communities, escalating existing vulnerabilities like poverty, indebtedness, and limited occupational mobility. The study categorizes the impacts into physical, economic, and social dimensions, highlighting issues such as declining catch volumes, increased operational costs, infrastructure destruction, and disruptions in food supply and nutrition. It also examines local and regional adaptation responses, ranging from ecosystem-based solutions, such as mangrove restoration and cage aquaculture, to institutional and behavioural shifts, including migration, livelihood diversification, and early warning systems. While some adaptations enhance resilience, others pose sustainability challenges. This review highlights the pressing need for targeted policy interventions that support sustainable adaptation, enhance institutional frameworks, and prioritize vulnerable fishing communities in climate resilience planning.

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Navigating the souring seas: the global experimentalist governance of ocean acidification

Navigating the Souring Seas explores how ocean acidification (OA)-a significant yet under-governed environmental threat-is being addressed on the global stage. Bridging science, law, and international policy, this interdisciplinary book introduces global experimentalist governance as an innovative and adaptable framework for tackling complex and uncertain issues like OA. It provides a clear overview of the scientific background of OA and maps the international governance landscape, identifying it as a regime complex. Through detailed interview-based case studies of the Ocean Acidification Alliance and the International Maritime Organization, the book evaluates real-world efforts to govern OA and highlights how experimentalist features, such as flexibility, learning, and multilevel collaboration, can enhance their effectiveness. Accessible and timely, this book is essential reading for scholars, students, policymakers, and environmental practitioners seeking practical, forward-looking governance strategies for ocean and climate challenges. It offers both theoretical insight and concrete recommendations for improving global environmental governance.

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HELCOM strategic approach to ocean acidification

Acidification of the global oceans is a major trend. In the past, a well-documented trend of increasing alkalinity has partly counter acted drivers of acidification in the Baltic Sea. However, decrease in pH has been observed in areas of intense respiration of organic matter and hypoxia. General long-term projection indicates intensified acidification of the Baltic Sea.

There is uncertainty in how ocean acidification may impact the Baltic Sea ecosystem in the future. Developing a shared view of the current evidence base would be a first step in HELCOM. This could inform future work on adapting policies or developing new measures. In order to understand ocean acidification of the Baltic Sea, there is a need to better understand the carbon-cycle. Monitoring and measurements of carbon parameters are central to the assessment of eutrophication, a topic which has been a focus area of HELCOM for decades. Alkalinity of the Baltic Sea waters is a key element to be addressed and is a focus area for this strategic approach. There could be differences in alkalinity between surface- and deep-waters that would need to be better understood, and there are knowledge gaps in how the Baltic Sea functions in terms of alkalinity sources and sinks.

The HELCOM Baltic Sea Action Plan 2021 sets the scene for this HELCOM strategic approach to ocean acidification; “Although acidification is currently not a major trend in the Baltic Sea ecosystem, it is an advancing and significant trend in the world’s oceans, directly connected to carbon dioxide emissions. The long-term forecast for the Baltic Sea also projects an increased acidification, but neither the carbon chemistry of the Baltic Sea nor possible impacts of acidification on biota are fully understood yet, and mitigation measures have not been considered so far. “

The role of HELCOM is to facilitate a science-policy dialogue on how ocean acidification affects the Baltic Sea ecosystem and related services, and to explore options for adaptation to this pressure and encourage actions to reduce CO2 emissions by taking action on climate change.

HELCOM also has a role in coordinating environmental monitoring in the Baltic Sea. An overarching aim of this strategic approach is to develop a future monitoring programme that is optimised on the regional scale in terms of spatial and temporal scope.

This strategic approach describes how HELCOM will use its existing structures to assess and address the emerging pressure of ocean acidification. HELCOM will collaborate with other organisations and institutions to create an evidence base to inform policy actions and measures. HELCOM will coordinate work between its subsidiary bodies to ensure best available scientific knowledge is used to create a coherent response to ocean acidification.

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Ocean acidification: the silent threat to marine biodiversity

Ocean acidification (OA) is one of the quietest yet most profound changes unfolding in our seas. Caused mainly by the ocean’s absorption of excess carbon dioxide from the atmosphere, it steadily lowers seawater pH and depletes carbonate ions — the essential building blocks for shells, skeletons, and coral reefs. These chemical shifts ripple through marine ecosystems, weakening coral structures, slowing the growth of shellfish, disrupting plankton communities, and ultimately destabilising the food webs that sustain biodiversity and human livelihoods. Although OA is recognised as a global problem, its effects are not uniform. Some regions, particularly the Indian Ocean and other tropical waters, remain poorly studied despite being home to rich biodiversity and millions of people whose lives depend on healthy coastal ecosystems. This paper focuses on OA as a “silent” driver of biodiversity loss and addresses two major gaps: the lack of strong policy and governance integration, and the scarcity of regional data for Indian and tropical waters. To explore how OA is framed in global agreements such as the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS) and the Paris Agreement, and examine its treatment in India’s environmental laws, including the Environment (Protection) Act, Coastal Regulation Zone rules, and the Biological Diversity Act. While these frameworks provide important protections, none directly target OA or mandate systematic monitoring. The shortage of long-term, high-resolution data on pH and carbonate chemistry in Indian waters makes it difficult to gauge the scale of the threat or design locally relevant solutions. The lack of species-specific studies in this region adds further uncertainty to impact predictions. This is mainly upon doctrinal studies. This study calls for integrating OA into national marine policies, creating dedicated monitoring networks in the Indian Ocean, and fostering interdisciplinary research that links chemical changes to ecological shifts and community livelihoods. Closing these gaps is vital not only for protecting marine biodiversity but also for ensuring food security and economic stability for coastal populations.

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California’s 2026 Coast and Ocean Assessment

Key Messages

  1. California’s coastal ocean moderates our climate, holds potential solutions to climate change, and is directly impacted by a changing climate. California’s coast and ocean are also critical natural resources and economic assets, generating $51.3 billion in gross domestic product and supporting more than 500,000 jobs.
  2. The public and policymakers can get a broad, state-level understanding of the overall status of the coast and ocean through this synthesis of complex data into single statewide metrics and subsequent aggregation of those evaluations in this report. At the same time, some categories are better understood through downscaled or local evaluations.
  3. This coast and ocean assessment is the result of the work of more than 120 scientific experts from academic institutions, state and federal agencies, NGOs, and Tribes. The widespread support that it has garnered exemplifies the value of leveraging buy-in from a broad scientific community that stands poised to continue to support in delivering the best available science to policymakers.
  4. State-federal partnerships provide essential infrastructure: evaluations for 13 of the 19 categories leveraged federal data, and the evaluations of five categories were fully reliant on the specialized expertise and in-kind time of federal scientists.
  5. Distilling data into single metrics for each category enabled us to flexibly incorporate multiple data types, retain geographic information while providing statewide coverage, and present findings that are both accurate and easily understood. This approach also ensures forward compatibility to incorporate new data as they become available and repeat this
    analysis in the future.
  6. The 2014-2015 marine heatwave was a seminal event that disrupted California’s ocean ecosystems, including loss of species and ecosystem services, declining populations, and geographic range shifts. We can expect more warm years like this in the future.
  7. The state has a valuable role to play in strengthening the ocean monitoring and evaluation enterprise, such as expanding monitoring in Northern California, coordinating networks and standardizing methods, supporting innovative monitoring technologies to better track cryptic species, and identifying where strategic investments can fill data gaps.

See summary of ocean acidification findings.

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State of the global climate 2025

The temperature of the Earth changes in response to the rate at which energy enters and leaves the Earth system. Increasing concentrations of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere such as carbon dioxide, methane and nitrous oxide, all of which reached their highest level in 800 000 years in 2024 (the last year for which we have consolidated global figures), reduce the rate at which energy leaves the Earth system. This imbalance – the Earth’s energy imbalance, a new indicator in this year’s report – leads to an accumulation of excess energy.

One of the longest observational records of climate change is that of global mean near-surface temperature. The past three years are the three warmest years in the 176-year combined land and ocean observational record. The year 2025 is the second or third warmest year, depending on the dataset used, slightly cooler than the record warmth of 2024, due in part to the transition from El Niño at the start of 2024 to La Niña in 2025. The warming seen at the surface and throughout the troposphere represents just 1% of the excess energy trapped by greenhouse gases.

The vast majority of the excess energy – around 91% – has been absorbed by the ocean in the form of heat. Ocean heat content reached a new record high in 2025, reflecting the continued increase in energy.

Another 3% of the excess energy warms and melts ice. In a global set of reference glaciers with long-term measurements, eight of the ten most negative annual glacier mass balances since 1950 have occurred since 2016. The ice sheets on Antarctica and Greenland have both lost significant mass since satellite records began.

The extent of sea ice in the Arctic has decreased in all seasons since satellite measurements began in 1979, and the annual maximum extent in 2025 was the lowest or second lowest in the observed records. Sea-ice extent around Antarctica showed a small long-term increase until 2015, but since then, extents throughout the annual cycle have dropped considerably, and the past four years have seen the four lowest Antarctic sea-ice minima on record.

The warming ocean and melting of ice on land from glaciers and ice sheets have both contributed to the long-term rise in global mean sea level. The rate of global sea-level rise has increased since satellite measurements began in 1993.

The remaining ~5% of the excess energy is stored in the continents, increasing the temperature of the land mass and thereby affecting terrestrial processes.

As well as absorbing the majority of the energy trapped by increasing concentrations of greenhouse gases, the ocean has also absorbed around 29% of the anthropogenic emissions of carbon dioxide in the past decade. While this helps to buffer the effects of climate change, it also alters the chemical composition of the ocean water, reducing the pH in a process known as ocean acidification.

These rapid large-scale changes in the Earth system have cascading impacts on human and natural systems, contributing to food insecurity and displacement where hazards intersect with high vulnerability and limited adaptive capacity.

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Ocean acidification and blue food security: mapping two overlapping regime complexes

The dual challenges of blue food security and ocean acidification (OA) have become increasingly urgent concerns for global sustainability. Blue foods, which provide key nutrients, are threatened by OA, posing risks to biodiversity, fisheries, and the livelihoods of communities that depend on them. The pressure of OA highlights the urgency of addressing blue food security through the lens of OA. Understanding the governance landscape that shapes responses is crucial, yet existing literature has largely considered the OA and blue food security regimes separately. This paper analyzes whether and how the international governance of OA and blue food security intersect by mapping their regime complexes. The central research question investigates how international regimes interact in governing this nexus. The analysis finds that the two regime complexes overlap in many areas, including fisheries/marine resources and climate change. Although many actors and instruments mention both topics, significant governance fragmentation persists. Case studies on the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) and the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) reveal that neither institution provides a comprehensive framework for governing the nexus of OA and blue food security resilience. The FAO lacks an explicit mandate for OA governance. If mentioned, OA is relegated to a list of stressors. The UNFCCC addresses OA only indirectly through CO2 mitigation efforts, and its instruments, while referencing food production, generally do not link it explicitly to OA. This results in fragmented authority, unclear responsibility, and limited integration across policy domains. Furthermore, a discrepancy exists where blue food security is recognized as a topic of legal and political urgency, while OA often only gains scientific attention. We conclude that further joint integration of OA and blue food security in legal and policy frameworks is necessary to enhance coherence and coordination across these regimes.

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The ocean as system

Carbon dioxide released into the atmosphere and absorbed by water lowers its pH level, making the ocean more acidic and less able to sustain life. In 2009 a group of scientists included this ocean acidification (OA) as one of nine planetary boundaries that must remain within safe bounds if the earth is to remain stable and resilient. That study recognised that ocean health is integral to the overall health of the planet. A more recent study concluded that by 2020 the planetary boundary for OA had already been crossed. It is the seventh of the boundaries to have been breached.

For over two decades, governments and international organisations have recognised the danger that OA poses to marine life, and by extension to economies and societies. Supported by a large volume of scientific research detailing the threat, measures to combat OA have been incorporated into numerous national policies and international agreements, including the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). But the crossing of the planetary boundary is a clear indicator that those efforts have failed.

Policy fragmentation, at both international and national levels, is a major reason for the lack of progress on OA. Seen in conflicting objectives, duplication and weak accountability for results, such fragmentation is, an issue across ocean management as a whole. Many experts believe that a more holistic, systems-based approach to ocean management can integrate OA action more effectively alongside parallel efforts to address other stressors of ocean and planetary health. In this article, they discuss why such an approach has potential to eventually turn the tide.

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Integrated ocean carbon research: a vision primed for implementation

Executive Summary

The mission of the ‘Integrated Ocean Carbon Research’ (IOC-R) programme is to enhance our understanding of the ocean as a changing sink for human-produced CO2 and its climate change mitigation capacity, as well as the vulnerability of ocean ecosystems to increasing CO2 levels. The IOC-R programme aims to provide an actionable foundation for addressing the challenges of ocean carbon research. In doing so, it is contributing to the objectives of the United Nations (UN) Decade of Ocean Science for Sustainable Development by integrating the latest scientific findings and observational data for ocean carbon.

Supported by interdisciplinary research, the understanding of the ocean carbon cycle has advanced significantly since the last release of a report from the IOC-R community (IOC of UNESCO, 2021; Sabine et al., 2024). However, major knowledge and observational gaps remain, leading to considerable uncertainties in model projections. These hamper the development of climate change adaptation and mitigation strategies, including those involving ocean based solutions.

The IOC-R programme itself is co-sponsored by five international research and coordination programmes which have a strong involvement and focus on ocean carbon (Global Carbon Project1, SOLAS2, IMBeR3, CLIVAR4and IOCCP5) and the Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission of UNESCO (IOC)6.

This IOC-R report is a global community effort with 72 authors and 13 reviewers from 23 countries. The report aims to guide the scientific focus of these programmes, as well as GOOS7, and to highlight new global cross-cutting priorities of ocean carbon research that help national and international ocean science funding entities determine future areas of investment. It will accomplish this by identifying knowledge gaps and coordinated research approaches to increase understanding about the ocean carbon cycle in a changing world.

The IOC-R community has defined five focus areas for ocean carbon research (Figure ES1), which will be further developed and explained in the report (Section 3):

  1. Evolution of the ocean carbon sink under a changing climate,
  2. The changing role of biology in the ocean carbon cycle,
  3. Carbon exchanges across the land-ocean-ice continuum,
  4. The impact of ocean industrial processes on the ocean bio logical carbon cycle,
  5. Future changes in the carbon cycle from deliberate ocean-based climate interventions.

5.b Capacity development

Among the organizations supporting integrated ocean carbon research, nine programmes and organizations, including science networks and programmes, Ocean Decade activities and UN organizations were identified as having a specific mandate in capacity development (Table 1). Many of these focus on human and technical capacity development, as well as awareness raising. However, only a few organizations put emphasis on research policies.

Continue reading ‘Integrated ocean carbon research: a vision primed for implementation’

Ocean acidification in Canada: the current state of knowledge and pathways for action

Ocean acidification (OA) generally receives far less consideration than other climate stressors and related hazards, such as global warming and extreme weather events. Canada is uniquely vulnerable to OA given its extensive coastal oceans, the oceanographic processes in its three basins, accelerated warming and sea-ice melt, and extensive coastal communities and maritime economic sectors. Canada’s coastline is also home to extensive and diverse First Nations peoples with distinct histories, rights, title, laws, governance and whose traditions and cultures are extrinsically linked to the sea. However, there are currently very limited pathways to support OA action, mitigation, and/or adaptation in Canada, particularly at the policy level. Here, we present a first synthesis of the current state of OA knowledge across Canada’s Pacific, Arctic, and Atlantic regions, including monitoring, modelling, biological responses, socioeconomic and policy perspectives, and examples of existing OA actions and efforts at local and provincial levels. We also suggest a step-wise pathway for actions to enhance the coordinated filling of OA knowledge gaps and integration of OA knowledge into decision-making frameworks. The goals of these recommendations are to improve our ability to respond to OA in Canada, and minimize risks to coastal marine environments and ecosystems, vulnerable sectors, and communities.

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A systematic review of the ocean acidification research in India: research trends, gaps and recommendations

Ocean acidification, a consequence of climate change, has become a significant threat to marine organisms. Globally, tremendous efforts have been made to understand its impact on different ecological and biological processes. In India, this research area is still not fully explored, but expanding at an exponential rate. Hence, it is essential to consolidate the fragmented knowledge into a systematic review, which will assist future researchers to develop their work. In this study, we utilized the Scopus, Web of Science and Ocean Acidification-International Coordination Centre bibliography to conduct a systematic review of ocean acidification research in India. We used the Biblioshiny package in R to conduct a bibliometric analysis, identify spatial and temporal research trends, and highlight the growth of literature in ocean acidification research, as well as existing knowledge gaps. We used the following keywords: ocean acidification, lowered pH, acidifying ocean, elevated carbon dioxide, elevated CO2, marine carbonate chemistry, shell decalcification and affiliation as India to obtain relevant publications. We selected 353 publications by applying relevance filtering and adherence to PRISMA guidelines. Almost one-third of the publications were non-primary articles. Among research articles, only 71 publications were found to investigate the response of marine organisms to ocean acidification. Majority of them involved single stressors, for a short term on very limited taxa. Lack of molecular-level investigation, multifactorial experimental design, and long-term observations were major gaps. This review aims to support researchers, policymakers, and other stakeholders involved in the planning, monitoring, and developing adaptation strategies. Finally, it provides recommendations for future research and policy development.

Continue reading ‘A systematic review of the ocean acidification research in India: research trends, gaps and recommendations’

Effectiveness and scalability of coastal nature-based solutions under climate impact drivers: a systematic review

Highlights

  • A structured review filters 117 coastal NbS studies to 35 CID-relevant and 14 implementation-informative cases
  • Coastal NbS are evaluated through their implementation components under multiple climate impact drivers
  • NbS foundational and measurement processes dominate reviewed NbS practices, while learning, governance, and economic processes remain weak
  • Scalability emerges from processes completeness rather than ecosystem type or NbS intervention design
  • Key implementation gaps are identified that limit the resilience, transferability, and policy uptake of coastal NbS

Abstract

Nature-based Solutions (NbS) are increasingly promoted for enhancing coastal resilience to climate change, yet most evaluations focus on biophysical outcomes while overlooking the project-level processes that influence long-term effectiveness and scalability. This study applies an implementation-based analytical framework to assess how coastal NbS respond to multiple Climate Impact Drivers (CIDs), including sea-level rise, ocean warming, storm intensity, precipitation variability, and ocean acidification.

A structured qualitative review of 117 coastal NbS studies was conducted, of which 35 were CID-relevant and only 14 contained sufficient process-level information for detailed analysis. Eight Implementation Components (ICs)—baseline assessment, stakeholder engagement, comparative analysis, economic analysis, performance indicators, monitoring, adaptive management, scalability and replicability—were identified and analysed using Jaccard similarity indices to quantify their co-occurrence. These ICs are related to implementation planning, governance, monitoring, learning, and scalability. The ICs were further mapped to the International Union for Conservation of Nature (IUCN) Global Standard for NbS to evaluate their conceptual alignment with recognised quality criteria.

Results show that ICs such as baseline assessment, monitoring, and performance indicators dominate current NbS practice, whereas learning-orientated and enabling processes—particularly comparative analysis, adaptive management, stakeholder engagement, and economic assessment—are weakly integrated. This structural imbalance limits cross-site learning, adaptive capacity, and scalability under interacting climate pressures. NbS interventions exhibiting more complete process architectures demonstrate greater alignment with IUCN criteria related to governance, feasibility, and long-term sustainability.

The study demonstrates that scalability is an emergent property of process completeness rather than a function of ecosystem type or intervention outcomes. This study establishes a quantitative-conceptual framework that integrates CIDs, ICs, and NbS standards, offering a transferable methodology for identifying implementation deficiencies and enhancing the design of resilient, policy-relevant coastal NbS.

Continue reading ‘Effectiveness and scalability of coastal nature-based solutions under climate impact drivers: a systematic review’

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