Posts Tagged 'mitigation'



The potential role of Posidonia oceanica for mitigating acidification on coastal waters of Europe

Ocean acidification is a major environmental concern that has significant ecological., economic, and social implications. The plantation and restoration of seagrass meadows in coastal waters, specifically Posidonia oceanica, is one possible method to combat ocean acidification and has the potential to have a significant positive impact on the marine environment and the overall state of the biosphere. As there has been a decline of Posidonia oceanica of about 30% in the Mediterranean Sea over the past three decades to about 1.2 mio ha in the Mediterranean Sea, the positive effects of the sea grass have diminished due to anthropogenic influence. Still, its importance as a carbon sink should not be underestimated. By using recent literature and different studies that have been analysed of the capacity of sea grass to mitigate the impacts of ocean acidification and the effects on the marine ecosystems, supported by several experiments that have been conducted, this thesis demonstrated the importance of Posidonia oceanica. The experiments showed that seagrass ecosystems have higher pH than ecosystems without seagrass, with a mean difference of 0.43. As the pH is interlocked with the CO2-levels and the oxygen levels, also experiments on these factors have been conducted. In general, the concentration of oxygen with P. oceanica present is 2mg/L higher than without. Equally, the CO2 concentration was lower with P. oceanica present. The Posidonia oceanica meadows present in the Mediterranean Sea are able to fixate about 13,3 mio tons of CO2, which is equal to 0,3% of Europeans CO2 emissions. About 2,8 mio tons of CO2 are sequestered by the sea grass, which is about 0,07% of European CO2 emissions. Furthermore, recent plantation efforts show the successful restoration of seagrass meadows and their overall benefits for the regional environment. Overall, this paper provides valuable insights into the potential role of seagrass meadows in mitigating ocean acidification and improving marine biosystems while providing specific numbers to support its findings.

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Mesocosm experiments in ocean alkalinity enhancement research

An essential prerequisite for the implementation of ocean alkalinity enhancement (OAE) applications is their environmental safety. Only if it can be ensured that ecosystem health and ecosystem services are not at risk will the implementation of OAE move forward. Public opinion on OAEs will depend first and foremost on reliable evidence that no harm will be done to marine ecosystems and licensing authorities will demand measurable criteria against which environmental sustainability can be determined. In this context mesocosm experiments represent a highly valuable tool in determining the safe operating space of OAE applications. By combining realism and biological complexity with controllability and replication they provide an ideal OAE test bed and a critical stepping stone towards field applications. Mesocosm approaches can also be helpful in testing the efficacy, efficiency and permanence of OAE applications. This chapter outlines strengths and weaknesses of mesocosm approaches, illustrates mesocosm facilities and suitable experimental designs presently employed in OAE research, describes critical steps in mesocosm operation, and discusses possible approaches for alkalinity manipulation and monitoring. Building on a general treatise on each of these aspects, the chapter describes pelagic and benthic mesocosm approaches separately, given their inherent differences. The chapter concludes with recommendations for best practices in OAE-related mesocosm research.

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Seawater carbonate system considerations for ocean alkalinity enhancement research

Ocean alkalinity enhancement (OAE) is a proposed marine carbon dioxide removal (mCDR) approach that has the potential for large-scale uptake of significant amounts of atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2). Removing anthropogenic legacy CO2 will be required to stabalise global surface temperatures below the 1.5–2 °C Paris Agreement target of 2015. In this chapter we describe the impacts of various OAE feedstocks on seawater carbonate chemistry, as well as pitfalls that need to be avoided during sampling, storage and measurement of the four main carbonate chemistry parameters, i.e. dissolved inorganic carbon (DIC), total alkalinity (TA), pH and CO2 fugacity (fCO2). Finally, we also discuss considerations in regard to calculating carbonate chemistry speciation from two measured parameters.

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Coccolithophores and diatoms resilient to ocean alkalinity enhancement: a glimpse of hope?

It is increasingly apparent that adequately mitigating anthropogenic climate interference will require ocean carbon dioxide removal (CDR) strategies. Ocean alkalinity enhancement (OAE) is an abiotic ocean CDR approach that aims to increase the ocean’s CO2 uptake capacity through the dispersal of pulverized mineral or dissolved alkali into the surface ocean. However, OAE’s effect on marine biota is largely unexplored. Here, we investigate the impacts of moderate (~700 μmol kg−1) and high (~2700 μmol kg−1) limestone-inspired alkalinity additions on two biogeochemically and ecologically important phytoplankton functional group representatives: Emiliania huxleyi (calcium carbonate producer) and Chaetoceros sp. (silica producer). The growth rate and elemental ratios of both taxa showed a neutral response to limestone-inspired alkalinization. While our results are encouraging, we also observed abiotic mineral precipitation, which removed nutrients and alkalinity from solution. Our findings offer an evaluation of biogeochemical and physiological responses to OAE and provide evidence supporting the need for continued research into how OAE strategies affect marine ecosystems.

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Broaden research on ocean alkalinity enhancement to better characterize social impacts

Ocean alkalinity enhancement (OAE) is being considered as a way of achieving large-scale removals of carbon dioxide from the atmosphere. Research on the risks and benefits of different OAE approaches is expanding apace, but it remains difficult to anticipate and appraise the potential impacts to human communities that OAE might generate. These impacts, however, will be critical to evaluating the viability of specific OAE projects. This paper draws on the authors’ involvement in interdisciplinary assessment of OAE (1) to identify the factors that currently limit characterization of potential social impacts and (2) to propose ways of reconfiguring OAE research to better consider these.

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Severe 21st-century ocean acidification demands continuance and expansion of Antarctic Marine Protected Areas

Antarctic coastal waters are home to several established or proposed Marine Protected Areas (MPAs) supporting exceptional biodiversity, which is threatened by anthropogenic climate change. Despite a particular sensitivity to ocean acidification (OA), little is known about the future carbonate chemistry of high-latitude Southern Ocean waters. Here, we use a high resolution ocean–sea ice–biogeochemistry model with realistic ice-shelf geometry to investigate 21st-century OA in Antarctic MPAs under four emission scenarios. By 2100, we project surface pH declines of up to 0.42 (total scale), corresponding to a 161% increase in hydrogen ion concentration relative to the 1990s. End-of-century aragonite undersaturation is ubiquitous across MPAs under the three highest emission scenarios. Vigorous vertical mixing of anthropogenic carbon on the continental shelves produces severe OA within the Weddell Sea, East Antarctic, and Ross Sea MPAs. Our findings call for continuity and expansion of Antarctic MPAs to reduce pressures on ecosystem integrity.

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Demonstration of direct ocean carbon capture using hollow fiber membrane contactors

The focus of membrane carbon capture to date has been primarily on point source capture, such as power plants and industrial capture. However, membrane technology can also play a role in negative emissions technology, such as direct air capture and direct ocean capture. Direct ocean capture has a few potential advantages over direct air capture, such as avoiding land use and coupling with offshore wind and offshore storage. The use and feasibility of hollow fiber membrane contactors (HFMCs) for direct ocean carbon capture with benign aqueous basic carbon dioxide solvents is assessed here through a multifaceted approach. A 1D HFMC model incorporates fluid dynamics and the chemical kinetics of both ocean water and aqueous sodium hydroxide solvent in order to simulate CO2 flux behavior in two flow configurations. Lab scale experiments of this system then guide a model refinement and validation process until experimental behaviors are predicted through computation. A preliminary technoeconomic assessment then uses computational and experimental results to estimate the carbon capture cost when the system is scaled to remove 0.98 Mtonnes CO2/year. Computational results suggest that higher seawater flow rates and temperatures relative to the sodium hydroxide solvent improve CO2 flux. The technoeconomic assessment suggests that HFMCs may only be cost-competitive if seawater pH is decreased at the membrane interface, thereby increasing the local concentration of dissolved carbon dioxide. These findings indicate that local pH swing on the seawater side will be necessary to feasibly remove carbon dioxide from seawater using HFMCs.

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Seawater alkalinity enhancement with magnesium hydroxide and its implication for carbon dioxide removal

For the first time we used lab and wind-wave tank experiments to prove the concept of using Mg(OH)2 for the ocean alkalinity enhancement and carbon dioxide removal approach (OAE-CDR). Experiment results showed up to 370 μmol kg−1 seawater total alkalinity (TA) increase without precipitation, stable enhanced TA, and OAE-CDR efficiency (ΔDIC/ΔTA) consistent with theoretical calculation. Based on the experimental results, we calculated the global Mg(OH)2 OAE-CDR efficiency and CO2 sink from this approach. The efficiency is in favor of lower initial DIC to TA ratio, lower temperature, and higher atmospheric CO2, and therefore is the lowest at the equator (0.7–0.8) and increases with latitude (1.0–1.2 above 70 N/S). However, factoring in the ocean’s surface area, low latitude regions can absorb more atmospheric CO2. We conservatively estimate that 44. 4 × 109 ton of CO2 (~ 3.3 times of current annual CO2 sink in the ocean) could be removed from the atmosphere with 175 μmol kg−1 Mg(OH)2 (equivalent to 350 μmol kg−1 of TA) added to the top 10 m of the ocean.

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Ocean afforestation’s effect on deep-sea biogeochemistry

If climate change is left unchecked it will lead to unprecedented deterioration of human health, economy and ecology. According to the IPCC, in order to avoid severe consequences, global warming will need to be limited to 1.5°C. However, the 1.5°C warming will be exceeded if current trends continue, which is why the need for Carbon Dioxide Removal (CDR) has become increasingly apparent. Ocean afforestation is currently one of the most promising CDR approaches, with the least competition for space, high carbon sequestration potential and high technical feasibility. Ocean afforestation approaches attempt to sequester carbon by sinking seaweed to deep-sea areas. This research looks at the consequences of the seaweed input to deep-seafloor. An early diagenetic model called RADI is used to predict the fate of the carbon and the effect on biogeochemistry. The model was adapted to include new sources of sedimentary organic matter, such as seaweed (Sargassum, Saccharina, Macrocystis) and Sugarcane bagasse, which are currently considered potential candidates for ocean afforestation purposes. Sargassum, an invasive free-floating species, has a large sequestration potential and is readily available. Sinking Sargassum in pulse, large amounts over short times, leads to high carbon retention in the sediment (up to 25% after two years) but leads to hypoxic conditions in the sediment for at least two years after addition. Continuous Sargassum sinking also leads to carbon sequestration but with a much less invasive impact on the seafloor. The carbon from continuous sinking does not remain in the sediment but is remineralized and flows out to the bottom water as inorganic carbon. Saccharina, an edible coastal species, could be used to grow on free floating organic buoy. Having the additional sequestration benefit from the carbon fixed in the organics. Carbon retention is highest for the pulse addition of this seaweed (33% after two years), compared to a continuous approach (30%) in which the seaweed is added over longer timescales in small amounts. Since this pulse input also leads to hypoxic conditions in the sediment, the continuous approach is more favourable for this approach. Macrocystis, the giant kelp known for forming ecosystems, is a fast-growing coastal species. This species requires harvesting and baling for use in carbon sequestration. Carbon retention is much higher for pulse addition (30%). Sugar cane bagasse is an agricultural residue with high carbon content. Sinking this residue to anoxic basins, has been proven to retain more carbon than in oxygenated bottom waters. This can be confirmed with the results which showed a carbon retention of up to 50% after two years. The effect on the benthic biome is also less intense since the low oxygen conditions already necessitate a specialized microbiome. Sugarcane bagasse is furthermore the only addition capable of increasing bottom water pH. Whereas all seaweed approaches had higher dissolved inorganic carbon than alkalinity flow to the bottom water, resulting in net acidification. This research provides a first look into the effects of ocean afforestation on deep sea biogeochemistry, and illustrates the importance of the composition, quantity and input duration of the seaweed used.

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Ocean alkalinity enhancement through restoration of blue carbon ecosystems

Blue carbon ecosystems provide a wide range of ecosystem services, are critical for maintaining marine biodiversity and may potentially serve as sites of economically viable carbon dioxide removal through enhanced organic carbon storage. Here we use biogeochemical simulations to show that restoration of these marine ecosystems can also lead to permanent carbon dioxide removal by driving ocean alkalinity enhancement and atmosphere-to-ocean CO2 fluxes. Most notably, our findings suggest that restoring mangroves, which are common in tropical shallow marine settings, will lead to notable local ocean alkalinity enhancement across a wide range of scenarios. Enhanced alkalinity production is linked to increased rates of anaerobic respiration and to increased dissolution of calcium carbonate within sediments. This work provides further motivation to pursue feasible blue carbon restoration projects and a basis for incorporating inorganic carbon removal in regulatory and economic incentivization of blue carbon ecosystem restoration.

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Carbon dioxide mineralization by electrode separation for quick carbon reduction and sequestration in acidified seawater

Aiming to sequestrate the excessive carbon dioxide and convert the acidified seawater, an improved method of carbon dioxide mineralization is developed based on electrode separation mechanism and extra oxygen-supplying technique. By electrode separation the neutralizations of the anodic acidity and the cathodic alkalinity, as well as the precipitation and the dissolution of calcium carbonate (CaCO3), are prevented. In addition, the extra-supplied oxygen prevents the evolution of hydrogen, which enhances the electric conductivity of the porous cathode and the deposition of CaCO3. A series of indoor physical experiments were conducted and the results show that the acidified seawater was successfully converted to alkaline in 72h. The speed of carbon mineralizing sequestration is significantly enhanced by supplying extra oxygen. The carbon dioxide mineralization speed increases with the immerse ratio of the aerator due to the more reacted oxygen and the less hydrogen evolution, which gives more porous space in the cathode for more conductive seawater and more deposition of CaCO3. The extra-supplied oxygen increases the CaCO3 -deposition by 100-214% under excessive atmospheric- CO2 conditions and 117-200% under normal atmospheric- CO2 conditions, respectively. This method has an application potential for quick conversion of locally acidified seawater in emergent circumstances.

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Potential role of seaweeds in climate change mitigation

Highlights

  • Seaweed carbon accounting is yet to be fully constrained.
  • Seaweed products have the potential to lower industrial emissions.
  • Seaweed farms sequester carbon at site but at a limited scale to date.
  • Quantifying carbon seqestration from wild seaweed restoration remains ellusive.
  • Sinking seaweed has scalability but carries many risks and uncertainties.

Abstract

Seaweed (macroalgae) has attracted attention globally given its potential for climate change mitigation. A topical and contentious question is: Can seaweeds’ contribution to climate change mitigation be enhanced at globally meaningful scales? Here, we provide an overview of the pressing research needs surrounding the potential role of seaweed in climate change mitigation and current scientific consensus via eight key research challenges. There are four categories where seaweed has been suggested to be used for climate change mitigation: 1) protecting and restoring wild seaweed forests with potential climate change mitigation co-benefits; 2) expanding sustainable nearshore seaweed aquaculture with potential climate change mitigation co-benefits; 3) offsetting industrial CO2 emissions using seaweed products for emission abatement; and 4) sinking seaweed into the deep sea to sequester CO2. Uncertainties remain about quantification of the net impact of carbon export from seaweed restoration and seaweed farming sites on atmospheric CO2. Evidence suggests that nearshore seaweed farming contributes to carbon storage in sediments below farm sites, but how scalable is this process? Products from seaweed aquaculture, such as the livestock methane-reducing seaweed Asparagopsis or low carbon food resources show promise for climate change mitigation, yet the carbon footprint and emission abatement potential remains unquantified for most seaweed products. Similarly, purposely cultivating then sinking seaweed biomass in the open ocean raises ecological concerns and the climate change mitigation potential of this concept is poorly constrained. Improving the tracing of seaweed carbon export to ocean sinks is a critical step in seaweed carbon accounting. Despite carbon accounting uncertainties, seaweed provides many other ecosystem services that justify conservation and restoration and the uptake of seaweed aquaculture will contribute to the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals. However, we caution that verified seaweed carbon accounting and associated sustainability thresholds are needed before large-scale investment into climate change mitigation from seaweed projects.

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Response of ocean acidification to atmospheric carbon dioxide removal

Artificial CO2 removal from the atmosphere (also referred to as negative CO2 emissions) has been proposed as a potential means to counteract anthropogenic climate change. Here we use an Earth system model to examine the response of ocean acidification to idealized atmospheric CO2 removal scenarios. In our simulations, atmospheric CO2 is assumed to increase at a rate of 1% per year to four times its pre-industrial value and then decreases to the pre-industrial level at a rate of 0.5%, 1%, 2% per year, respectively. Our results show that the annual mean state of surface ocean carbonate chemistry fields including hydrogen ion concentration ([H+]), pH and aragonite saturation state respond quickly to removal of atmospheric CO2. However, the change of seasonal cycle in carbonate chemistry lags behind the decline in atmospheric CO2. When CO2 returns to the pre-industrial level, over some parts of the ocean, relative to the pre-industrial state, the seasonal amplitude of carbonate chemistry fields is substantially larger. Simulation results also show that changes in deep ocean carbonate chemistry substantially lag behind atmospheric CO2 change. When CO2 returns to its pre-industrial value, the whole-ocean acidity measured by [H+] is 15%-18% larger than the pre-industrial level, depending on the rate of CO2 decrease. Our study demonstrates that even if atmospheric CO2 can be lowered in the future as a result of net negative CO2 emissions, the recovery of some aspects of ocean acidification would take decades to centuries, which would have important implications for the resilience of marine ecosystems.

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Ocean acidification and the Anthropocene: an emergency response

This chapter considers the threat of ocean acidification from the perspective of both harm to ocean ecological systems and positive climate feedbacks. A survey of current governance responses demonstrates an alarming failure. No international governance regime currently accounts for ocean acidification by requiring significant and additional reductions in CO2 emissions. In an oceans context, acidification is treated as a gradual background stressor along with a range of climate change impacts. Against this backdrop and employing the Anthropocene concept, together with emerging realization that we face a planetary emergency, this chapter proposes a radical change of approach. It proposes that we begin with emergency closure of a large swath of the ocean – namely areas beyond national jurisdiction. While not an end in itself, emergency closure of the Earth’s largest ecological system is a critical place to begin confronting what the Anthropocene means, the implications for all life, and how humanity must govern itself. Change here may seed a very different understanding of what is required as we confront the reality of an Earth system as a global ecological commons on the verge of abrupt, irreversible, and destructive changes. At the very least, such an emergency response may (not will) slow the rate of accumulating harm while we formulate entirely new human responses fully commensurate with the complex and urgent existential crisis of our making.

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Assessing the impacts of simulated ocean alkalinity enhancement on viability and growth of cultures of near-shore species of phytoplankton

Over the past 250 years, atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations have risen steadily from 277 ppm to 405 ppm, leading to the exacerbation of the effects of climate change. As a result, new technologies are being developed to remove carbon from the atmosphere, such as negative emission technologies (NETs). One proposed NET is Ocean Alkalinity Enhancement (OAE), which would mimic the ocean’s natural weathering processes and sequester carbon dioxide from the atmosphere. An analysis of published data investigating the effects of elevated pH on phytoplankton growth rate and experimental assessment of pH dependence of viability and growth rate was used to assess the potential impacts of OAE. Viability was assessed with a modified Serial Dilution Culture – Most Probable Number assay. Chlorophyll a fluorescence was used to test for changes in growth rates and photosynthetic competence. The results from this study suggest that there will be no significant impact on the viability or growth rates of Thalassiosira pseudonana or Pavlova lutheri with short-term (10 minute) exposure to elevated pH. However, when long-term (days) exposure occurs there is a significant decrease in growth rates with elevated pH. Short-term exposure is anticipated to more closely mirror the natural systems in which OAE will be implemented because of system flushing and replenishment of nutrients. These preliminary findings suggest that there will be little to no impact on a variety of taxonomic groups of phytoplankton when OAE occurs in naturally flushed systems.

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Adaptive governance of coral reefs: cases of Florida and the Caribbean

Coral reefs are one of the most imperiled yet one of the most valuable ecosystems on the planet, providing food, medicine, and property protection to hundreds of millions of coastal people all over the world. Coral reefs are being lost at an unprecedented rate throughout their range. In the Florida Reef Tract alone, 98% of hard coral has died due to heat waves, disease, and poor water quality, making modern reefs almost unrecognizable. Given the stress that coral reefs are facing due to human and natural causes, there are two key knowledge gaps that are essential to address: the significance of the losses of culturally important benefits that coral reefs provide to people, and the ways that people are adapting to the rapid loss of coral reefs. This dissertation aims to address both gaps.

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Ocean acidification as a governance challenge in the Mediterranean Sea: impacts from aquaculture and fisheries

Despite the progress in the international and regional governance efforts at the level of climate change, ocean acidification (OA) remains a global problem with profoundly negative environmental, social, and economical consequences. This requires extensive mitigation and adaptation effective strategies that are hindered by current shortcomings of governance. This multidisciplinary chapter investigates the risks of ocean acidification (OA) for aquaculture and fisheries in the Mediterranean Sea and its sub-basins and the role of regional adaptive governance to tackle the problem. The identified risks are based on the biological sensitivities of the most important aquaculture species and biogenic habitats and their exposure to the current and future predicted (2100) RCP 8.5 conditions. To link OA exposure and biological sensitivity, we produced spatially resolved and depth-related pH and aragonite saturation state exposure maps and overlaid these with the existing aquaculture industry in the coastal waters of the Mediterranean basin to demonstrate potential risk for the aquaculture in the future. We also identified fisheries’ vulnerability through the indirect effects of OA on highly sensitive biogenic habitats that serve as nursery and spawning areas, showing that some of the biogenic habitats are already affected locally under existing OA conditions and will be more severely impacted across the entire Mediterranean basin under 2100 scenarios. This provided a regional vulnerability assessment of OA hotspots, risks and gaps that created the baseline for discussing the importance of adaptive governance and recommendations for future OA mitigation/adaptation strategies. By understanding the risks under future OA scenarios and reinforcing the adaptability of the governance system at the science-policy interface, best informed, “situated” management response capability can be optimised to sustain ecosystem services.

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Aquaculture mapping in the context of climate change

The development of aquaculture is facing unprecedented pressures from climate change, resource constraints, environmental pollution, energy consumption, and other factors. For coping with these challenges and for ensuring sustainable development of aquaculture, spatial planning in aquaculture activities become more and more important. An ecosystem-based approach for aquaculture mapping is needed to strategically and comprehensively balance the location, aquaculture type, and stakeholders’ interests. In this chapter, we aim to describe the definition, key steps, and methods of aquaculture zoning, especially in the context of climate change (e.g., global warming, ocean acidification, hypoxia/anoxia, sea level rising, and extreme events). We also provide two case studies of aquaculture mapping in China.

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What conservation strategies support the adaptive capacity of coastal ecosystems in three island states facing a changing climate in Micronesia?

Coastal ecosystems, such as coral reefs, mangroves, and seagrass beds, are highly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. The degradation and loss of these ecosystems, stemming from the increased impacts of climate change-related drivers, threaten the well-being of island communities in Micronesia, as they are very reliant on and connected with these coastal ecosystems. Supporting the adaptive capacity of ecosystems through climate adaptive conservation, and thus better equipping them to recover from and adapt to the potential impacts, in turn reduces the vulnerability of the social-ecological system. This thesis identified five main climate change-related drivers that impact coastal systems across three selected states in Micronesia. First, based on a conceptual social-ecological systems (SES) framework, a literature review and analysis were conducted to identify and select three ecosystem adaptive capacity (AC) elements: Heterogeneity, connectivity, and ecosystem functioning. Building on that, second, a literature review aided the identification of climate adaptive conservation strategies and related actions that can support the adaptive capacity of ecosystems. Following a qualitative content analysis, eight climate adaptive conservation strategies and 26 activities were selected and categorized. Third, the extent of (1) the strategy effectiveness, (2) their integration in conservation policy and planning documents, and (3) their implementation on a national scale were evaluated through a semi-quantitative expert consultation in each of the selected states, exemplified with coral reefs.

The findings from this research showed that while the climate adaptive strategies and activities were considered effective in supporting the adaptive capacity of coral reefs in Micronesia, the extent of their implementation ranked low. Strategies, such as “Addressing non-climatic drivers” were considered highly effective, however their implementation fell comparably short. Contrary, targeting heterogeneity was considered of least importance. Thus, as their regional implementation ranked low, the ability of the strategies to support coral adaptive capacity was limited for all three countries. Particularly, the upscaling and mainstreaming of these strategies was considered crucial by the experts. Therefore, this research proposed to prioritize addressing non-climatic drivers, supporting coral reef restoration, and recommended to integrate communities in the design of climate adaptive conservation. Further to apply actionable co-produced science to advance the evidence base and applicability of the strategies in supporting ecosystem AC.

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Resilience of a giant clam subsistence fishery in Kiribati to climate change

Changes in sea surface temperature have historically impacted the habitat of giant clams in Kiribati. In many islands of Kiribati, the four species of giant clam have largely withstood these environmental changes, through adaptive responses to anthropogenic pressures. The Kiribati giant clam fishery is a data-limited multi-species fishery, so in adopting and applying a comprehensive resilience framework to highlight attributes conferring and limiting resilience across the ecological, governance, and socio-economic aspects of the fishery we used knowledge co-production and the precautionary principle approach to better inform place-based attempts to operationalise resilience measures. We found that the resilience of the fishery to marine heatwaves and ocean acidification, as highlighted by local stakeholders, will depend on the ability of fisheries stakeholders to act collectively, with flexibility, to implement adaptive governance. Climate change, coupled with human impacts, have reduced ecological resilience in the urbanised island of South Tarawa, in contrast to the more remote or sparsely populated islands. In South Tarawa, governance and social processes are less flexible, leading to declines in the local subsistence clam fishery. Conversely, on several remote outer islands, where the social-ecological system has shown promise in combating these anthropogenic influences (e.g., through adaptive community-based fisheries management), the ecological resilience has improved, and the subsistence clam fishery has persisted. Our case study demonstrates the importance of a participatory approach and local knowledge when assessing climate resilience and identifies pathways of resilience in other small-scale fisheries, especially when data are limited.

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