Posts Tagged 'North Atlantic'

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Temperature and pH-dependent potassium currents of muscles of the stomatogastric nervous system of the crab, Cancer borealis

Published 13 March 2026 Science Closed
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HIGHLIGHTS

  • Cancer borealis stomach muscles are sensitive to temperature and pH.
  • Warming or alkalizing hyperpolarizes fibers and reduces synaptic response amplitude.
  • qRT-PCR detects K2P gene transcripts CbKCNK1 and CbKCNK2 in muscles.
  • CbKCNK1 and CbKCNK2 are candidates for the temperature and pH-dependent conductances.

SUMMARY

Marine crustaceans such as the crab Cancer borealis experience fluctuations in temperature and pH, yet their stomatogastric neuromuscular system must remain functional for feeding. We examined 16 of ∼40 stomach muscle pairs and found that warming consistently hyperpolarized muscle fibers (∼10 mV per 10°C) and reduced excitatory junctional potentials and currents. Muscle responses were also strongly influenced by extracellular pH, with an optimal range between pH 6.7 and 8.8; outside this window, abnormal activity emerged. Voltage-clamp analysis of gastric muscle gm5b revealed a temperature- and pH-sensitive conductance with a reversal potential near the potassium equilibrium potential and insensitivity to tetraethylammonium and barium, arguing against classical voltage-gated potassium channels. Quantitative RT-PCR detected expression of two putative two-pore domain potassium (K2P) channels in these muscles. Together, these results suggest that muscle excitability in C. borealis is shaped by temperature- and pH-sensitive potassium currents consistent with contributions from K2P channels.

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Trophic status and climatic stressors in the shallow coral reefs of the Cuban marine shelf

Published 12 March 2026 Science Closed
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The “Bojeo a Cuba” expedition (summer 2023) provided a synoptic, national-scale snapshot of oceanographic conditions around Cuba’s shallow coral reefs during a regional marine heatwave. At 66 sites across six regions, we evaluated key climatic stressors (sea surface temperature, pH, alkalinity) and trophic status indicators. Satellite-derived SST during each site’s sampling week revealed significantly warmer waters on the southern shelf (mean = 30.93 °C) than the northern shelf (mean = 29.21 °C, P < 0.01). In situ SST was consistently high (mean = 30.52 °C), documenting the heatwave’s intensity. pH (mean = 8.12) and total alkalinity (mean = 2343 µmol kg⁻¹) indicated a currently balanced carbonate system. Concentrations of dissolved inorganic nitrogen and phosphorus were below our methods’ quantification limits (1.61 µmol L⁻¹ for P-PO₄³⁻), while chlorophyll-a (mean = 0.04 µg L⁻¹) consistently classified waters as oligotrophic. This study establishes a critical summer baseline, confirming oligotrophic conditions while documenting the severity of thermal stress during the 2023 heatwave—the most immediate and uniform threat to Cuban reefs. Our findings underscore the vulnerability of these ecosystems to extreme warming events within the context of long-term Caribbean warming trends.

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Glacial meltwater impacts marine carbonate chemistry on Iceland’s continental shelf

Published 6 March 2026 Science Closed
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Increased meltwater runoff from glaciers may drive localized ocean acidification and impact carbon dioxide (CO2) uptake in the coastal ocean. However, the paucity of carbonate system observations from continental shelves receiving inputs from glaciers limits our understanding of cryosphere‐ocean connectivity. Here, we contrast meltwater impacts on seawater carbonate chemistry and stable isotopes (δ13C‐DIC) off marine‐ and land‐terminating glacier outflows off Iceland. On the shelf outside a marine‐terminating glacier, glacial meltwater reduced the seawater buffer capacity of receiving surface waters through dilution of total alkalinity, and increased CO2 uptake through salinity‐driven drawdown of pCO2. Primary production acted as a counterbalance to the lowered [TA‐DIC]. On the shelf area receiving meltwater from large glacial river deltas, CO2 uptake was almost halved and the saturation state of aragonite was 0.2 units lower than on the marine‐terminating glacier shelf. Reduced net autotrophy due to higher turbidity and upwelling of low‐pH deep waters off the delta‐dominated shelf likely explain those differences. The diverging carbonate dynamics on the two shelves build on previous observations that land‐terminating glaciers can reduce the buffer capacity as well as CO2 uptake potential of nearshore surface waters in comparison to marine‐terminating glaciers. The future retreat of many marine‐terminating glaciers onto land is likely to modify how meltwater will impact coastal seawater carbonate chemistry.

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Applying omics techniques to examine microscopic life fueling Gulf region ecosystems 

Published 6 March 2026 Press releases Closed
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Scientists at NOAA’s Atlantic Oceanographic & Meteorological Lab and the Northern Gulf Institute applied omics techniques to provide the first basin-scale assessment of the microbial communities at the base of marine ecosystems across the Gulf region. The new study from Dr. Luke Thompson’s group, conducted by Dr. Sean Anderson and co-authors, is the largest environmental DNA (eDNA) or microbiome survey of the Gulf of America ever performed.

Scientists collected environmental DNA (eDNA) – genetic material from whole microbes or shed by marine life into the environment – during the 2021 Gulf and Ocean Monitoring Ecosystems and Carbon Cruise (GOMECC). These samples unlock crucial new insights into the microscopic life across an entire basin – from nearshore coastal ecosystems out to the open Gulf. By analyzing the microbial communities throughout the water column, we can better understand how they are being impacted by changing environmental conditions. 

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Changes in the composition of these microbial communities in any given region has cascading effects, influencing the biodiversity and feasibility of commercially viable species to survive and flourish in a specific region. Understanding how microbial diversity throughout the water column varies with changing conditions – changes in salinity, temperature, nutrient levels – could unlock key insights and provide early indicators of how entire ecosystems will be impacted by exacerbated environmental stressors, including ocean acidification. 

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Modelling seawater pCO2 and pH in the Canary Islands region based on satellite measurements and machine learning techniques

Published 4 March 2026 Science Closed
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Recent advancements in remote sensing systems, combined with new machine-learning model-fitting algorithms, have enabled the estimation of seawater carbon dioxide partial pressure (pCO2,sw) and pH (pHT,is) in the waters around the Canary Islands (13–19° W; 27–30° N). Continuous time-series data collected from moored buoys and Voluntary Observing Ships (VOS) between 2019 and 2024 were used to train and validate the models, providing a robust observational basis for satellite-derived estimates.

Among all models tested, bootstrap aggregation (bagging) performed best, achieving an RMSE of 2.0 µatm (R2>0.99) for pCO2,sw and 0.002 for pHT,is. Multilinear regression (MLR), neural networks (NN) and categorical boosting (CatBoost) also showed good predictive skill, with RMSE values between 5.4 and 10 µatm for pCO2,sw (360–481 µatm) and 0.004–0.008 for pHT,is (7.97–8.07). Using the most reliable model, we identified an increasing trend in pCO2,sw of 3.51±0.31 µatm yr−1, exceeding the atmospheric CO2 growth rate (2.3 µatm yr−1), alongside an acidification trend of −0.003 ± 0.001 yr−1.

Over the 2019–2024 period, rising atmospheric CO2 and increasing sea surface temperatures (reaching up to 0.2 °C yr−1 during the unprecedented 2023 marine heatwave) likely contributed to these trends. The Canary Islands region shifted from a weak CO2 source (0.90 Tg CO2 yr−1) in 2019 to 4.5 Tg CO2 yr−1 in 2024. After 2022, eastern sites that previously acted as annual CO2 sinks became net sources.

Continue reading ‘Modelling seawater pCO2 and pH in the Canary Islands region based on satellite measurements and machine learning techniques’

Interactive effects of ocean acidification and settlement biofilm on the early development of the European abalone Haliotis tuberculata

Published 3 March 2026 Science Closed
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Highlights

  • Interactive effects of OA and settlement biofilm were investigated on juvenile abalone.
  • Post-larval density and total length decreased significantly under lower pH.
  • Biofilm composition induced indirect effects through changes in diatom biomass.
  • (pH × Ulvella) interaction affected abalone shell resistance and colouration.

Abstract

Ocean acidification (OA) and associated shifts in carbonate chemistry represent major threats to marine organisms, particularly calcifiers. OA effects can be influenced by other environmental variables, including the biotic environment. This study investigated the effects of OA and algal density, acting through an Ulvella-conditioned settlement biofilm, on post-larval and juvenile abalone (Haliotis tuberculata). In a three-month full factorial experiment, abalone were exposed from metamorphosis onward to two pH conditions (ambient 8.0 and reduced 7.7) and two initial densities of the green alga Ulvella lens on settlement plates. Biofilm biomass and composition were characterised using spectral reflectance and HPLC pigment analysis. Biological (density, length), physiological (respiration rate), behavioural (hiding response) and shell parameters (colour, surface corrosion, strength) of abalone were measured. Biofilm biomass and composition assessed with pigment proxies remained relatively stable under both pH conditions, though greater variability in algal biomass occurred at low initial Ulvella density. Post-larval density and total length decreased significantly under low pH, while high Ulvella density reduced juvenile length at 80 days, likely due to competition between algal groups. A pH × Ulvella interaction affected shell fracture resistance and colouration, but not metabolism or behaviour, indicating that juvenile abalone maintained vital functions. Overall, the results confirm the sensitivity of early H. tuberculata stages to moderate OA (−0.3 pH unit) and highlight indirect macroalgal effects through changes in diatom cover. In natural environment, the capacity of abalone to cope with future OA will depend on complex trade-offs between direct acidification effects and food-related biotic interactions.

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Decadal biogeochemical predictions for the bottom marine environment of the Northeast U.S. Continental Shelf

Published 27 February 2026 Science Closed
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The Gulf of Maine and the surrounding Northeast U.S. Continental Shelf are experiencing rapid marine environmental change arising from complex regional dynamics that challenge near-term (1–10 years) predictive capabilities for valuable living marine resources. Here, using a high-resolution regional ocean model, we demonstrate skilful decadal forecasts of ocean bottom habitat characteristics including bottom temperature, dissolved oxygen (O2), pH and aragonite saturation state (Ωar). Bottom temperature and pH predictions show substantial skill driven primarily by radiatively forced warming and carbon uptake trends, while bottom O2 and Ωar predictions benefit more from initialization due to stronger internal variability. Retrospective forecasts successfully predicted observed historical changes in water masses and environmental properties, including recent cooling/freshening transitions driven by replacement of Warm Slope Water with Labrador Slope Water. This water mass variability also modulates biogeochemical conditions and ocean acidification buffering capacity, with our recent forecasts indicating that benefits from the expected respite from rapid warming might be tempered by challenges posed by rapid acidification. The demonstrated predictability of coupled physical-biogeochemical processes supports developing integrated prediction systems for climate-informed marine resource management.

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Wind control of the interannual ocean‐biogeochemical variability in the South Atlantic Bight

Published 23 February 2026 Science Closed
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Abstract

In the South Atlantic Bight (SAB), changes in the Gulf Stream (GS), particularly its strength and proximity to the coast, are thought to be primary factors determining the shelf-break upwelling rate. However, it is still not entirely clear if and to what extent those factors influence cross-shelf nutrient fluxes and shape the ocean biogeochemistry at interannual and longer timescales. Here, we use a high-resolution regional ocean-biogeochemical model and an ocean reanalysis product (1993–2022), along with a satellite-derived chlorophyll data set (1997–2022), to investigate the interannual ocean-biogeochemical variability in the SAB. Regional model outputs suggest that year-to-year changes in phytoplankton production are indeed largely driven by upwelling of cold and nutrient-rich water to the shelf-break. The upwelling variability, reflected in bottom temperature and vertically integrated production patterns, is strongly linked to surface velocity changes in the GS near the shelf break, but weakly related to the depth-integrated GS transport. The GS’s velocity changes, and the temperature and production anomalies, are well correlated to the alongshore wind stress, suggesting that local wind is the leading driver of the shelf-break upwelling variability at interannual timescales. Those relationships are also supported by circulation patterns from ocean reanalysis and satellite chlorophyll anomalies. Finally, examining the simulated shelf-slope interchanges in the carbonate system, we find that shelf-break upwelling significantly increases bottom acidification, a pattern linked to the low carbonate concentration in the slope waters. This study thus provides new insight for understanding and predicting GS and winds impacts on biogeochemical patterns from the SAB.

Plain Language Summary

The ocean current known as the Gulf Stream (GS) can induce upwelling of subsurface cold and nutrient-rich waters into the coastal margin of the South Atlantic Bight, influencing coastal temperature and phytoplankton growth. Previous studies suggested that the GS strength and its proximity to the coast are key factors determining the intensity of upwelling events. However, the degree to which these factors impact the year-to-year changes in phytoplankton production and other ocean properties remains unclear. Here we use numerical models of ocean currents and seawater biogeochemistry, as well as chlorophyll records derived from satellite measurements, to investigate that impact. The patterns showed that interannual changes in coastal temperature, phytoplankton production, water acidity, and dissolved oxygen are strongly modulated by upwelling changes in the outer edge of the continental margin (about 70 m depth in this region). This interannual upwelling variability is tightly coupled to variations in the surface alongshore GS velocity close to that outer edge, which is modulated by alongshore wind variability. Our study characterizes GS patterns associated with high and low productivity years, and highlights the role of surface wind as ultimate driver of the interannual upwelling variability in the South Atlantic Bight.

Key Points

  • A regional ocean model is used to investigate interannual variability of ocean-biogeochemistry in the South Atlantic Bight
  • Year-to-year changes in primary production, chlorophyll, and carbonate system patterns respond to shelf-break upwelling anomalies
  • Shelf-break upwelling is closely linked to the Gulf Stream velocity near the shelf break, modulated by alongshore wind variability
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A biogeochemical perspective on acidification and buffering capacity in the Piscataqua Estuary

Published 18 February 2026 Science Closed
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Coastal acidification is influenced not only by rising atmospheric CO2 and river-ocean mixing, but also by metabolic processes that alter seawater carbonate chemistry and buffering capacity. This study examines how sedimentary biogeochemical processes contribute to carbonate system variability in the Piscataqua Estuary, a tidally dynamic channel connecting Great Bay to the Gulf of Maine. The biogeochemical processes considered include sedimentary aerobic respiration, denitrification, sulfate reduction, and carbonate dissolution or precipitation. Two incubation experiments were conducted in September and October of 2024 at the University of New Hampshire’s Coastal Marine Laboratory (CML) to quantify changes in pH, dissolved inorganic carbon (DIC), and total alkalinity (TA) in the overlying water arising from sediment-water biogeochemical exchange. Sediment cores were collected to be paired with overlying water from slack low and slack high tides during each month. Across both experiments, sediment cores consistently exhibited greater acidification and larger shifts in DIC and TA concentrations compared to water-only cores, indicating strong sedimentary biogeochemical influence. Among the processes considered, sulfate reduction is likely the most influential driver of carbonate system variability, contributing to increases in both DIC and TA. Linking experimental results to in-situ measurements at CML revealed that variability observed over individual ebb or flood tides primarily reflected processes associated with tidal advection (ie, river-ocean mixing and water-column biogeochemical activity). However, when evaluating net changes over both tidal transitions (ebb and flood), contributions from sedimentary biogeochemical processes were comparable in magnitude to those of the other processes during September and October. Sedimentary biogeochemical processes also appear to exert more consistent contributions to DIC and TA than water-column biogeochemical processes. Together, these findings demonstrate that sedimentary biogeochemical processes play a major role in regulating carbonate system variability in the Piscataqua Estuary. This study underscores the importance of examining carbonate system variability across multiple timescales to obtain a more comprehensive understanding of estuarine carbonate dynamics. Additional experimental work is needed to further resolve the influence of metabolic processes on coastal carbonate systems under changing environmental conditions.

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Shrinking shellfish? Risk of acidic water in the Indian River Lagoon

Published 17 February 2026 Press releases Closed
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Researchers, Boat

FAU researchers measured aragonite saturation – a key indicator of water’s ability to support calcifying organisms like clams and oysters – throughout the Indian River Lagoon.

Florida’s Indian River Lagoon (IRL), one of the state’s most ecologically productive estuaries, is facing a growing but invisible threat that could reshape its marine ecosystems. Over the past decade, the lagoon has suffered severe degradation caused by nutrient pollution, excessive freshwater runoff, harmful algal blooms (HABs), and declining water quality. These changes have led to the loss of tens of thousands of acres of seagrass and have negatively impacted shellfish, fish, dolphins, manatees and other key species.

A new study from Florida Atlantic University’s Harbor Branch Oceanographic Institute now reveals that these pressures are also contributing to coastal acidification, a chemical shift in the water that threatens the ability of shell-building marine organisms to grow and thrive. 

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To understand these changes, FAU Harbor Branch researchers studied the IRL from 2016 to 2017, measuring Ωarag and other water chemistry factors. They examined how nutrients, freshwater inputs, and other environmental conditions affect the lagoon’s ability to support shell-building marine life.

The study used two approaches. First, researchers conducted a broad survey across the lagoon, from nutrient-rich northern areas to southern regions affected by freshwater inflows. Second, they did weekly sampling at three central sites with different salinity and land-use conditions: an urban-influenced canal, a river mouth affected by urban and agricultural runoff, and a relatively natural reference site with strong ocean exchange.

Results of the study, published in the journal Marine Pollution Bulletin, revealed clear patterns. Northern sites with high nutrient concentrations and frequent HABs had lower aragonite saturation. Southern sites, influenced by freshwater discharges, also had lower Ωarag, primarily due to reduced salinity and dilution of aragonite. In the weekly surveys, Ωarag was positively correlated with salinity and negatively correlated with nutrient levels, confirming that both freshwater input and nutrient pollution play a role in controlling water chemistry.

Continue reading ‘Shrinking shellfish? Risk of acidic water in the Indian River Lagoon’

Acute microbial and nutrient responses to elevated temperature and pCO2: a coastal UK microcosm study

Published 13 February 2026 Science Closed
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The coastal ocean’s ecosystem resilience is consistently hampered by the compounding impacts of projected climate change and anthropogenic perturbation. In this microcosm study, we investigated how elevated temperature and pCO2, together with episodic nutrient pollution and a short-term marine heatwave, affect the nano- and picoplanktonic community of primary producers and subsequent changes in coastal biogeochemistry. Our study demonstrates that future elevated temperature and pCO2 conditions impact the planktonic community, first by a ∼ 50 % decreased autotrophic abundance, and second by a shift from larger eukaryotic to smaller cells. When combined with a heatwave, total primary producers experienced an additional 37–38 % decrease, indicative of a negative synergistic effect beyond either stressor alone. Picoeukaryotes were particularly sensitive, declining by 44–50 %. Short-term nutrient pollution under ambient conditions induced a 41 % increase in cell abundance, but failed to stimulate biomass under elevated temperature and pCO2, and instead led to altered organic matter dynamics, including significantly lower carbon fixation. These findings emphasize the need for further evaluation of multi-stressor interactions to better understand biogeochemical vulnerability, nutrient retention, and ecological functioning in coastal ecosystems undergoing rapid climatic and anthropogenic change.

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Carbon concentration mechanisms in Canary Islands macroalgae and their implications for future benthic community structure under ocean acidification

Published 12 February 2026 Science Closed
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In recent decades, due to the anthropogenic CO2 concentration increase in the atmosphere, the chemistry of seawater has been seriously altered, producing the phenomenon known as Ocean Acidification (OA). Of all the dissolved inorganic carbon (DIC) present in seawater, only 1% is in the form of CO2. However, if anthropogenic CO2 emissions to the atmosphere continue, it will no longer be a limiting resource. Part of the response of marine photosynthetic organisms to these changes depends on their carbon physiology. The presence and effectiveness of carbon concentration mechanisms (CCM) can define the production and growth of macroalgae under OA conditions. Although CCMs are not essential when the seawater concentration of inorganic carbon is high, species that do not use them can see their performance improved. Our goal was to determine the presence or absence of CCMs in a total of 19 species of common macroalgae in the Canary Islands through a pH drift experiment and to establish their primary production rates through incubations and measurements of the O2 variation. Samples of each species were incubated during 8, 24 and 32 h in isolated containers and under controlled lighting and temperature conditions. Of the 19 species studied, 11 presented CCM and 8 did not present CCM. Five of the eight species that did not show the presence of CCMs in the present study are present in the CO2 seeps of Fuencaliente and one of them, H. scoparia is a dominant species.

Continue reading ‘Carbon concentration mechanisms in Canary Islands macroalgae and their implications for future benthic community structure under ocean acidification’

Microbial community dynamics over large spatial and environmental gradients in a subtropical ocean basin

Published 9 February 2026 Science Closed
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Microbes are fundamental to ocean ecosystem function, yet they remain understudied across broad spatial and environmental scales in dynamic regions like the Gulf of America/Gulf of Mexico (GOM). We employed DNA metabarcoding to characterize prokaryotes (16S V4–V5) and protists (18S V9) across 51 stations, spanning 16 inshore–offshore transects and three depths. Cluster analysis revealed three clusters corresponding to depth zones that integrated vertical and horizontal sampling: photic zone (inshore near surface–bottom and offshore surface), deep chlorophyll maximum (offshore), and aphotic zone (offshore near bottom). We applied group-specific generalized additive models (GAMs) to log-transformed abundance data of major taxa in the photic zone, identifying key environmental factors that explained 42%–82% of the variation in abundance. SAR11 and SAR86 were positively associated with temperature and dissolved inorganic carbon, while cyanobacterial genera (Prochlorococcus and Synechococcus) were differently impacted by nutrients, salinity, and pH in ways that often followed their expected ecological niches. Representatives of protist parasites (Syndiniales) and grazers (Sagenista) showed group-specific nonlinear associations with salinity, oxygen, nutrients, and temperature. Using GAMs, we expanded the spatial resolution of DNA sampling and predicted surface log abundances at 84 cruise sites lacking amplicon data. Indicator analysis was performed with sequence-level data, revealing several protists that were indicative of more acidic waters and the absence of any significant prokaryote indicators. Our results provide the first basin-scale survey of microbes in the GOM and highlight the need for coordinated omics and environmental sampling to improve predictions of microbial responses to changing conditions.

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How oysters are impacted by environmental conditions and farming practices

Published 29 January 2026 Web sites and blogs Closed
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The Rhode Island aquaculture industry is more robust than ever. The value of aquaculture products was $8,795,493 in 2024 and 89 active aquaculture farms covered 392.5 acres, according to a report by the Rhode Island Coastal Resources Management Council.

Eastern oysters account for approximately 99% of the state’s aquaculture production, the report noted. Jacqueline Rosa, who is pursuing her master’s degree in oceanography from GSO, spent 18 months conducting field work on how water quality and farming practices impact these mollusks.

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Jacqueline Rosa (center) uses a water quality sensor to measure key parameters, including temperature, salinity, and pH during weekly sampling at Wickford Oyster Company in 2024. Rosa is accompanied by oyster farmers John McKillop (left) and Kevin Tuttle. (Photo courtesy of Gage Whilden)

To examine the environmental conditions, Rosa deployed two sensors at Wickford Oyster Company’s 4-acre farm in May 2024, one at the surface of the water and one at the bottom of the water column.

Rosa revisited the farm each week to collect water samples from the surface and the bottom. She brought the samples to the Ocean Carbon Laboratory at the Graduate School of Oceanography for analysis.

“I tested the samples for pH, salinity, alkalinity, and dissolved inorganic carbon,” said Rosa, who is from Newtown, Connecticut. “These carbonate chemistry parameters help us understand trends in ocean acidification and how changing conditions may impact calcifying organisms. Shifts in carbonate chemistry can influence shell formation, growth rates, and survival, particularly during early-life stages, making these measurements critical for understanding potential stressors for farmed oysters.”

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Persistence of extreme low pH in a coralline algae habitat

Published 27 January 2026 Science Closed
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Abstract

The extent of projected ocean acidification is partly dependent on the natural variability of marine carbonate chemistry—which is higher in coastal systems than in the open ocean. However, there are limited empirical studies quantifying the rate, magnitude and drivers of coastal environmental variability, preventing accurate assessments for how species and their associated communities may respond to projected climate change. Here, we quantified the annual variability of pH, temperature and dissolved oxygen in a coralline algae reef, a globally distributed biodiverse habitat that may be one of the most sensitive to projected climate change. We found that coralline algae and their communities are exposed to pH values as low as those projected for 2100 (even under a low emission scenario) for 63% of the year, including most of autumn and all of winter. Annual fluctuations in pH ranged by 0.46 units, with identifiable patterns at diel to seasonal timescales driven by various biogeochemical factors. Biologically driven patterns in dissolved oxygen and pH were coupled at multiple periodicities, and temperature was coupled to pH during the winter. Tidal cycling additionally modulated biological forcing of pH, increasing the complexity of intra-seasonal pH variability. Forecasting this environmental variability to the future led to projections of new pH extremes well beyond all IPCC emission scenarios. However, persistent long-term exposure to low pH may increase the acclimation and adaptation potential of coralline algae and their associated communities, providing a level of optimism for the continued survival of this habitat despite sensitivity to projected climate change.

Plain Language Summary

Here, we studied how the underwater environment naturally changes during the year on a coastal reef made of coralline algae, a type of red seaweed that builds reef habitats and supports diverse marine life. These reefs are thought to be especially vulnerable to climate change, particularly ocean acidification, which lowers the pH of seawater. Unlike the open ocean, coastal areas naturally experience more variability in pH, temperature, and oxygen. Monitoring these throughout the year, we found that the coralline algae reef already experiences pH levels as low as those expected for the year 2100. In fact, for about two-thirds of the year, including all of winter, the reef was exposed to these low pH conditions. We found that pH levels also varied a lot throughout the day and between seasons, influenced by biological activity of the algae and animals living in the reef, the ebb and flow of the tide, and water temperature. With some optimism, since long-term exposure to low pH is already experienced, these algae and their ecosystems may already be somewhat adapted to future conditions. This gives hope that they will be more resilient to future climate change than previously thought.

Key Points

  • Coralline algae are naturally exposed to pH at or below future climate projections, especially during autumn and winter
  • This is driven by an interaction between physical factors (temperature, tidal cycling) and biological processes (community metabolism)
  • Given future climate projections, these pH lows may become more extreme, but prolonged exposure may increase coralline algae resilience
Continue reading ‘Persistence of extreme low pH in a coralline algae habitat’

Coastal eutrophication and freshwater inputs drive acidification in the Indian River Lagoon, Florida

Published 22 January 2026 Science Closed
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Highlights

  • First quantification of acidification throughout the IRL using Ωarag.
  • A positive relationship was found between Ωarag and salinity.
  • Ωarag had a negative relationship with dissolved nutrients.
  • Nutrients, algal blooms, and freshwater are drivers of acidification in the IRL.
  • Ωarag is important to understand eutrophication in estuaries.

Abstract

The additive effects of eutrophication and acidification in coastal environments have a wide range of implications for the health of organisms and ecosystems. In the eutrophic waters of the Indian River Lagoon (IRL), FL, USA, decreases in overall shellfish size have been reported, which may be related to coastal acidification. To better understand the relationship between acidification and eutrophication in the IRL, environmental parameters, dissolved nutrients, and aragonite saturation state (Ωarag) were monitored along the entire IRL in the 2016–2017 wet and dry seasons. Additionally, three sites in the central IRL were sampled approximately weekly from June 2016–June 2017 to observe temporal variability. For the IRL-wide survey, northern sites with higher dissolved nutrient concentrations had lower Ωarag due to nutrient pollution and harmful algal blooms, while southern sites with lower salinity had lower Ωarag related to freshwater inputs (i.e., discharges and rainfall). In the time series sampling, there was a positive correlation between Ωarag with salinity and negative correlations with dissolved nutrient concentrations. This work suggests that freshwater inputs and associated dissolved nutrients and organics have implications for acidification in the IRL, which will be important considerations for restoration efforts in the IRL and beyond.

Continue reading ‘Coastal eutrophication and freshwater inputs drive acidification in the Indian River Lagoon, Florida’

Chronic exposure to low pH negatively impacts blue mussels (Mytilus edulis) from an intertidal zone

Published 20 January 2026 Science Closed
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In intertidal ecosystems, mussels experience daily fluctuations in pH due to the biological activity, intertidal currents, freshwater inflow and anthropogenic influences. This study aimed to determine whether these short-term fluctuations enable blue mussels (Mytilus edulis) to endure long-term exposure to low pH using biological indicators (mortality rates, oxidative stress and enzyme activities). Mussels were collected from an intertidal zone in the western coast of Morocco and exposed for 6 months to seawater pH ranging from 6.6 to 8.0. Our results showed that mortality rates increased exponentially with decreasing pH, while growth rates declined linearly. At pH 6.6, mortality was observed after approximately 15 days and reached 22% at 6 months. Low pH negatively impacted the function of metabolic enzymes (glyceraldehyde-3-phosphate dehydrogenase and succinate dehydrogenase), and caused oxidative stress (elevated lipid peroxidation and protein oxidation) in the mantle, digestive gland, and whole tissues. Additionally, the activity of antioxidant enzymes catalase and superoxide dismutase increased in response to higher levels of reactive oxygen species at low pH. These findings suggest that, although mussels can inhabit intertidal zones with short-term pH fluctuations, this does not equip them with the ability to deal with chronic exposure to low pH (6.6), significantly impairing their fitness.

Continue reading ‘Chronic exposure to low pH negatively impacts blue mussels (Mytilus edulis) from an intertidal zone’

Northern shrimp exhibit origin-specific proteomic remodelling under ocean acidification, with limited response to ocean warming

Published 19 January 2026 Science Closed
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Highlights

  • Ocean acidification, but not warming, drives proteomic response in Northern Shrimp.
  • Shrimp from different origins show distinct molecular responses to ocean acidification.
  • St. Lawrence shrimp display the strongest protein changes to ocean acidification.
  • Local conditions shape how shrimp cope with global change drivers.
  • Conservation plans must consider regional differences in shrimp responses.

Abstract

The Northern shrimp (Pandalus borealis) is an ecologically important species and the target of one of the world’Canas largest shellfish fisheries. Yet, its habitats are rapidly changing due to human-driven climate change, with temperatures projected to increase by ∼4 °C and seawater pH to decline by 0.3 pH units the end of the century. These stressors may cause interactive effects, with responses differing among origins due to local adaptation or long-term acclimatisation. We investigated the impacts of ocean warming and acidification (individually and combined) on the proteome of female P. borealis from four geographic origins. Shrimp proteomes responded to ocean acidification, but not to warming, with marked origin-specific differences. Comparing the most favourable condition (2 °C, pH 7.75) to low pH (7.35) across tested temperatures, we detected 109 differentially abundant proteins (DAPs) in shrimp from the Saint Lawrence Estuary (SLE), six in those from the Northeast Newfoundland Coast (NNC) and Eastern Scotian Shelf (ESS), and three in the Esquiman Channel (EC). SLE shrimp showed widespread downregulation across metabolic, genetic information processing, and signalling pathways, suggesting higher sensitivity to acidification relative to other origins, where responses were muted. These findings highlight intraspecific variation in proteomic responses to ocean acidification in this commercially valuable crustacean. They confirm ocean acidification as a major concern in the context of rapid environmental change and suggest that uniform conservation strategies may be ineffective. Instead, management efforts should account for origin-specific sensitivities, reflecting the complex adaptive landscape shaping the resilience of P. borealis and other exploited marine species.

Continue reading ‘Northern shrimp exhibit origin-specific proteomic remodelling under ocean acidification, with limited response to ocean warming’

Explainable machine learning models for coastal pH forecasting at aquaculture-relevant thresholds in Eastern Canada

Published 19 January 2026 Science Closed
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Highlights

  • Benchmark of ML models for coastal pHSWS forecasting.
  • Models trained on rare high-frequency data from Eastern Canada.
  • XGBoost balances sensitivity and precision at pHSWS < 7.75
  • SHAP shows Julian day dominance as composite environmental driver.
  • Promising low-cost framework for aquaculture acidification early warning.

Abstract

Ocean acidification poses a growing threat to marine ecosystems and aquaculture productivity, particularly in under-monitored coastal regions such as Eastern Canada. Existing pH prediction frameworks typically rely on multi-year records combining extensive carbonate chemistry, physical, and biological parameters. While these models can achieve high accuracy, their data requirements make them costly, complex, and challenging to implement for local, site-specific acidification forecasting in aquaculture contexts. To address this limitation, this study benchmarks several machine learning models for coastal pHSWS prediction using only three routinely measured environmental variables (temperature, salinity, sea level), from which we derived moving-average descriptors, local gradients, and two temporal indicators, resulting in a compact set of 11 input features. Six different models and a multivariate linear regression baseline were trained on one of the most complete and extended high-frequency datasets available (BSSS2018) and evaluated across four independent datasets: one from the same site but six months earlier (BSSS2017), and three from nearby bays in northeastern New Brunswick collected between 2017 and 2019. Among all tested models, XGBoost emerged as the most reliable and interpretable, achieving the best trade-off between sensitivity and precision at the operational acidification threshold (pHSWS < 7.75). Its performance remained acceptable within-site but declined across bays due to environmental and seasonal discrepancies, underscoring the importance of training data representativeness. SHAP-based explainability confirmed that Julian day was the dominant predictor, integrating the composite effects of seasonal environmental variability. Overall, this study demonstrates that using only low-cost, routinely measured features provides a promising foundation for short-term coastal pH forecasting, particularly for aquaculture monitoring needs. Despite limited inter-bay generalization, the proposed framework shows that interpretable machine learning models can deliver actionable early-warning insights under realistic data constraints. It constitutes one of the first data-driven benchmarks explicitly tested at aquaculture-relevant thresholds, highlighting a scalable and transparent approach toward operational acidification forecasting.

Continue reading ‘Explainable machine learning models for coastal pH forecasting at aquaculture-relevant thresholds in Eastern Canada’

Developing indicators of risk to environmental variability based on species dependency in U.S. fishing communities in the Northeast and Southeast Regions

Published 13 January 2026 Science Closed
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Fishing communities worldwide have or are likely to experience social, economic, and cultural impacts from environmental variability. Changes in marine fisheries will require adaptation by fishing communities and fisheries managers alike. Here, Community Environmental Variability Risk Indicators (CEVRI) were developed to assess risk to environmental change for fishing communities in the U.S. Northeast and Southeast Regions based on spatial and temporal trends between 2000 and 2022. To accomplish this, we analyzed commercial landings value as it relates to species level Climate Vulnerability Assessment (CVA) scores for species considered commercially, recreationally, and ecologically important. The CVA considers the vulnerability of species to 12 sensitivity and 12 exposure factors relating to important environmental factors within the regional context. Here, we used three sensitivity factors: Stock Size/Status, Ocean Acidification, and Temperature, as well as Total Sensitivity and Total Vulnerability. Community level scores were used to analyze intra and inter region variation, and to understand trends in community risk as revenue dependence on different species changes through time. In general, communities in the Gulf of America/Florida Keys sub-region presented lower risk to the factors analyzed than the South Atlantic sub-region and the Northeast. Ocean Acidification was the sensitivity factor with the highest levels of risk for communities. The findings of this study have important applications to inform decision-making and to help communicate environmental variability associated risks to broader audiences, thus further developing the ability of stakeholders to understand and assess cumulative impacts and complex trade-offs affecting the sustainability of marine ecosystems and resources.

Continue reading ‘Developing indicators of risk to environmental variability based on species dependency in U.S. fishing communities in the Northeast and Southeast Regions’

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