Posts Tagged 'methods'

Synthesis Product for Ocean Time Series (SPOTS) – a ship-based biogeochemical pilot

The presented pilot for the Synthesis Product for Ocean Time Series (SPOTS) includes data from 12 fixed ship-based time-series programs. The related stations represent unique open-ocean and coastal marine environments within the Atlantic Ocean, Pacific Ocean, Mediterranean Sea, Nordic Seas, and Caribbean Sea. The focus of the pilot has been placed on biogeochemical essential ocean variables: dissolved oxygen, dissolved inorganic nutrients, inorganic carbon (pH, total alkalinity, dissolved inorganic carbon, and partial pressure of CO2), particulate matter, and dissolved organic carbon. The time series used include a variety of temporal resolutions (monthly, seasonal, or irregular), time ranges (10–36 years), and bottom depths (80–6000 m), with the oldest samples dating back to 1983 and the most recent one corresponding to 2021. Besides having been harmonized into the same format (semantics, ancillary data, units), the data were subjected to a qualitative assessment in which the applied methods were evaluated and categorized. The most recently applied methods of the time-series programs usually follow the recommendations outlined by the Bermuda Time Series Workshop report (Lorenzoni and Benway, 2013), which is used as the main reference for “method recommendations by prevalent initiatives in the field”. However, measurements of dissolved oxygen and pH, in particular, still show room for improvement. Additional data quality descriptors include precision and accuracy estimates, indicators for data variability, and offsets compared to a reference and widely recognized data product for the global ocean: the GLobal Ocean Data Analysis Project (GLODAP). Generally, these descriptors indicate a high level of continuity in measurement quality within time-series programs and a good consistency with the GLODAP data product, even though robust comparisons to the latter are limited. The data are available as (i) a merged comma-separated file that is compliant with the World Ocean Circulation Experiment (WOCE) exchange format and (ii) a format dependent on user queries via the Environmental Research Division’s Data Access Program (ERDDAP) server of the Global Ocean Observing System (GOOS). The pilot increases the data utility, findability, accessibility, interoperability, and reusability following the FAIR philosophy, enhancing the readiness of biogeochemical time series. It facilitates a variety of applications that benefit from the collective value of biogeochemical time-series observations and forms the basis for a sustained time-series living data product, SPOTS, complementing relevant products for the global interior ocean carbon data (GLobal Ocean Data Analysis Project), global surface ocean carbon data (Surface Ocean CO2 Atlas; SOCAT), and global interior and surface methane and nitrous oxide data (MarinE MethanE and NiTrous Oxide product).

Aside from the actual data compilation, the pilot project produced suggestions for reporting metadata, implementing quality control measures, and making estimations about uncertainty. These recommendations aim to encourage the community to adopt more consistent and uniform practices for analysis and reporting and to update these practices regularly. The detailed recommendations, links to the original time-series programs, the original data, their documentation, and related efforts are available on the SPOTS website. This site also provides access to the data product (DOI: https://doi.org/10.26008/1912/bco-dmo.896862.2, Lange et al., 2024) and ancillary data.

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Expanding seawater carbon dioxide and methane measuring capabilities with a Seaglider

Warming, ocean acidification, and deoxygenation are increasingly putting pressure on marine ecosystems. At the same time, thawing permafrost and decomposing hydrates in Arctic shelf seas may release large amounts of methane (CH4) into the water column, which could accelerate local ocean acidification and contribute to climate change. The key parameters to observing and understanding these complex processes and feedback mechanisms are vastly undersampled throughout the oceans. We developed carbon dioxide (CO2) and CH4 gliders, including standard operational procedures with the goal that CO2 and CH4 measurements become more common for glider operations. The Seagliders with integrated Contros HydroC CO2 or CH4 sensors also include conductivity, temperature, depth, oxygen, chlorophyll-a, backscatter, and fluorescent dissolved organic matter sensors. Communication via satellite allows for near-real time data transmission, sensor adjustments, and adaptive sampling. Several sea trials with the CO2 Seaglider in the Gulf of Alaska and data evaluation with discrete water and underway samples suggest near ‘weather quality’ CO2 data as defined by the Global Ocean Acidification Network. A winter mission in Resurrection Bay, Alaska provides first insights into the water column inorganic carbon dynamics during this otherwise undersampled season. The CH4 Seaglider passed its flight trials in Resurrection Bay and is ready to be deployed in an area with greater CH4 activity. Both sensing systems are available to the science community through the industry partners (Advanced Offshore Operations and -4H-JENA) of this project.

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Development of an autonomous on-site dissolved inorganic carbon analyzer using conductometric detection

Highlights

  • Development of an autonomous DIC analyzer based on Conductometric technique using a cell with 4 hollow brass electrodes.
  • CO2 extraction from seawater using a gas diffusion cell with a “Tube In A Tube” configuration and a gas permeable membrane.
  • Formulation of mathematical temperature and salinity correction to determine accurate DIC concentration.
  • Demonstration of the analyzer performance in the southwest Baltic Sea.

Abstract

Background

The increase in anthropogenic CO2 concentrations in the Earth’s atmosphere since the industrial revolution has resulted in an increased uptake of CO2 by the oceans, leading to ocean acidification. Dissolved Inorganic Carbon (DIC) is one of the key variables to characterize the seawater carbonate system. High quality DIC observations at a high spatial-temporal resolution is required to improve our understanding of the marine carbonate system. To meet the requirements, autonomous DIC analyzers are needed which offer a high sampling frequency, are cost-effective and have a low reagent and power consumption.

Results

We present the development and validation of a novel analyzer for autonomous measurements of DIC in seawater using conductometric detection. The analyzer employs a gas diffusion sequential injection approach in a “Tube In A Tube” configuration that facilitates diffusion of gaseous CO2 from an acidified sample through a gas permeable membrane into a stream of an alkaline solution. The change in conductivity in the alkaline medium is proportional to the DIC concentration of the sample and is measured using a detection cell constructed of 4 hollow brass electrodes. Physical and chemical optimizations of the analyzer yielded a sampling frequency of 4 samples h−1 using sub mL reagent volumes for each measurement. Temperature and salinity effects on DIC measurements were mathematically corrected to increase accuracy. Analytical precision of ±4.9 μmol kg−1 and ±9.7 μmol kg−1 were achieved from measurements of a DIC reference material in the laboratory and during a field deployment in the southwest Baltic Sea, respectively.

Significance

This study describes a simple, cost-effective, autonomous, on-site benchtop DIC analyzer capable of measuring DIC in seawater at a high temporal resolution as a step towards an underwater DIC sensor. The analyzer is able to measure a wide range of DIC concentrations in both fresh and marine waters. The achieved accuracy and precision offer an excellent opportunity to employ the analyzer for ocean acidification studies and CO2 leakage detection in the context of Carbon Capture and Storage operations.

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The combined effects of warming, ocean acidification, and fishing on the northeast Atlantic cod (Gadus morhua) in the Barents Sea

With a biomass of ∼4 million tonnes, and annual catches of 900 000 tonnes, the northeast Atlantic (NEA) cod stock in the Barents Sea is the world’s largest. Scientists have been trying to explain the variability in recruitment of this stock for over 100 years, in particular connecting it to spawning stock biomass and environmental factors such as temperature. It has been suggested that the combination of ocean acidification and global warming will lead to a significant decrease in the spawning stock biomass and an eventual (end of this century) collapse of the NEA cod stock in the Barents Sea. We show that a temperature- and OA-driven decline in recruits will likely lead to a smaller cod stock, but not to a collapse. Instead, the level of fishing pressure and, not least, the choice of the recruitment function applied in simulations and how it relates to temperature, is extremely important when making such forecasts. Applying a non-linear relationship between temperature and spawning stock biomass—as has been done in studies that predict a collapse of the NEA cod stock—does not improve accuracy and, in addition, adds a large decrease in number of recruits that is not biologically supported.

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Water pollution is fueling ocean acidification. Environmentalists urge California to act

The Hyperion Water Reclamation Plant in Playa del Rey is one of a number of wastewater treatment plants that send treated effluent into the waters off California’s coast. (Gary Coronado / Los Angeles Times)

As the burning of fossil fuels and other human activities continue to increase the levels of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere, the ocean is absorbing a large portion of the CO2, which is making seawater more acidic.

The changing water chemistry in the ocean has far-reaching effects for plankton, shellfish and the entire marine food web.

And here’s one important fact about ocean acidification: It’s not happening at the same rate everywhere.

The California coast is one of the regions of the world where ocean acidification is occurring the fastest. And researchers have found that local sources of pollution are part of the problem.

In particular, effluent discharged from coastal sewage treatment plants, which has high nitrogen levels from human waste, has been shown to significantly contribute to ocean acidification off the Southern California coast. These nitrogen-filled discharges also periodically contribute to algae blooms, leading to hypoxia, or oxygen-deprived water that is inhospitable for marine life.

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Comprehensive assessment of copper’s effect on marine organisms under ocean acidification and warming in the 21st century

Highlights

  • The MLR models between pH, temperature and Cu toxicity were developed.
  • The WQC of Cu for 2020, 2099-RCP2.6, 2099-RCP4.5, and 2099-RCP8.5 were derived.
  • Cu in the Ocean of East China poses a moderate ecological risk.
  • Ocean acidification and warming can increase the effects of Cu on marine organisms.
  • Cu’s ecological risk in 2099 under RCP2.6 is significantly lower than that of RCP8.5.

Abstract

Copper (Cu) has sparked widespread global concern as one of the most hazardous metals to aquatic animals. Ocean acidification (OA) and warming (OW) are expected to alter copper’s bioavailability based on pH and temperature-sensitive effects; research on their effects on copper on marine organisms is still in its infancy. Therefore, under representative concentration pathways (RCP) 2.6, 4.5, and 8.5, we used the multiple linear regression-water quality criteria (MLR-WQC) method to assess the effects of OA and OW on the ecological risk posed by copper in the Ocean of East China (OEC), which includes the Bohai Sea, Yellow Sea, and East China Sea. The results showed that there was a positive correlation between temperature and copper toxicity, while there was a negative correlation between pH and copper toxicity. The short-term water quality criteria (WQC) values were 1.53, 1.41, 1.30 and 1.13 μg·L−1, while the long-term WQC values were 0.58, 0.48, 0.40 and 0.29 μg·L−1 for 2020, 2099-RCP2.6, 2099-RCP4.5 and 2099-RCP8.5, respectively. Cu in the OEC poses a moderate ecological risk. Under the current copper exposure situation, strict intervention (RCP2.6) only increases the ecological risk of copper exposure by 20 %, and no intervention (RCP8.5) will increase the ecological risk of copper exposure by nearly double. The results indicate that intervention on carbon emissions can slow down the rate at which OA and OW worsen the damage copper poses to marine creatures. This study can provide valuable information for a comprehensive understanding of the combined impacts of climate change and copper on marine organisms.

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Hidden impacts of ocean warming and acidification on biological responses of marine animals revealed through meta-analysis

Conflicting results remain on the impacts of climate change on marine organisms, hindering our capacity to predict the future state of marine ecosystems. To account for species-specific responses and for the ambiguous relation of most metrics to fitness, we develop a meta-analytical approach based on the deviation of responses from reference values (absolute change) to complement meta-analyses of directional (relative) changes in responses. Using this approach, we evaluate responses of fish and invertebrates to warming and acidification. We find that climate drivers induce directional changes in calcification, survival, and metabolism, and significant deviations in twice as many biological responses, including physiology, reproduction, behavior, and development. Widespread deviations of responses are detected even under moderate intensity levels of warming and acidification, while directional changes are mostly limited to more severe intensity levels. Because such deviations may result in ecological shifts impacting ecosystem structures and processes, our results suggest that climate change will likely have stronger impacts than those previously predicted based on directional changes alone.

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Response of ocean acidification to atmospheric carbon dioxide removal

Artificial CO2 removal from the atmosphere (also referred to as negative CO2 emissions) has been proposed as a potential means to counteract anthropogenic climate change. Here we use an Earth system model to examine the response of ocean acidification to idealized atmospheric CO2 removal scenarios. In our simulations, atmospheric CO2 is assumed to increase at a rate of 1% per year to four times its pre-industrial value and then decreases to the pre-industrial level at a rate of 0.5%, 1%, 2% per year, respectively. Our results show that the annual mean state of surface ocean carbonate chemistry fields including hydrogen ion concentration ([H+]), pH and aragonite saturation state respond quickly to removal of atmospheric CO2. However, the change of seasonal cycle in carbonate chemistry lags behind the decline in atmospheric CO2. When CO2 returns to the pre-industrial level, over some parts of the ocean, relative to the pre-industrial state, the seasonal amplitude of carbonate chemistry fields is substantially larger. Simulation results also show that changes in deep ocean carbonate chemistry substantially lag behind atmospheric CO2 change. When CO2 returns to its pre-industrial value, the whole-ocean acidity measured by [H+] is 15%-18% larger than the pre-industrial level, depending on the rate of CO2 decrease. Our study demonstrates that even if atmospheric CO2 can be lowered in the future as a result of net negative CO2 emissions, the recovery of some aspects of ocean acidification would take decades to centuries, which would have important implications for the resilience of marine ecosystems.

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Trends and drivers of CO2 parameters, from 2006 to 2021, at a time-series station in the Eastern Tropical Atlantic (6°S, 10°W)

The seawater fugacity of CO2 (fCO2) has been monitored hourly at an instrumented mooring at 6°S, 10°W since 2006. The mooring is located in the South Equatorial Current and is affected by the equatorial Atlantic cold tongue. This site is characterized by large seasonal sea surface temperature variations (>4°C). The fCO2 is measured by a spectrophotometric sensor deployed at about 1.5 meters deep. Measurements of seawater fCO2, sea surface temperature (SST) and sea surface salinity (SSS) are used to calculate total dissolved inorganic carbon (TCO2) and pH. Total alkalinity (TA) is calculated using an empirical relationship with SSS determined for this region. Satellite chlorophyll-a concentrations at 6°S, 10°W are low (<0.2 mg m-3) but some peaks over 0.8 mg m-3 are sometimes detected in August. Nevertheless, the site is a permanent source of CO2 to the atmosphere, averaging 4.7 ± 2.4 mmol m-2d-1 over 2006-2021. Despite the weakening of the wind, the CO2 flux increases significantly by 0.20 ± 0.05 mmol m-2d-1 yr-1. This suggests that the source of CO2 is increasing in this region. This is explained by seawater fCO2 increasing faster than the atmospheric increase during 2006-2021. Most of the seawater fCO2 increase is driven by the increase of TCO2, followed by SST. The fCO2 increase leads to a pH decrease of -0.0030 ± 0.0004 yr-1. The SST anomalies (SSTA) at 6°S, 10°W are correlated to the Tropical Southern Atlantic (TSA) index and to the Atlantic 3 region (ATL3) index with a correlation coefficient higher than 0.75. The strong positive phase of both ATL3 and TSA, observed towards the end of the time-series, is likely contributing to the strong increase of seawater fCO2.

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Quantifying the impacts of multiple stressors on the production of marine benthic resources

Coastal ecosystems are among the most heavily affected by climate change and anthropogenic activities, which impacts their diversity, productivity and functioning and puts many of the key ecosystem services that they provide at risk. Although empirical studies have moved beyond single-stressor-single-species experiments with limited extrapolation potential and have increasingly investigated the cumulative effects of simultaneously occurring multiple stressors, consistent generalities have not yet been identified. Upscaling from controlled experiments to natural ecosystems, therefore, remains an unsolved challenge. Disentangling the independent and cumulative effects of multiple stressors across different levels of biological complexity, revealing the underlying mechanisms and understanding how coastal ecosystems may respond to predicted scenarios of global change is critical to manage and protect our natural capital.

In this thesis, I advance multiple stressor research by applying complementary approaches to quantify the impact of multiple stressors on marine benthic resources and thereby help predict the consequences of expected climate change for coastal habitats. First, I present the newly developed experimental platform QIMS (Quantifying the Impacts of Multiple Stressors) that overcomes some of the shortfalls of previous multiple stressor research (Chapter 2). Second, in a novel empirical study, I investigate the independent and combined effects of moderate ocean warming and acidification on the functioning and production of mussels and algae, considering the effects of interspecific interactions in the presence or absence of the respective other species (Chapter 3). Third, I synthesise monitoring data from Dublin Bay (representative of a typical metropolitan estuary) using conditional interference and a Bayesian Network model and provide alternative system trajectories according to different climate change scenarios. From this new model, I deepen the understanding of the complex linkages between environmental conditions and the diversity and functioning of Dublin Bay to support local decision making and management (Chapter 4).

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Remotely sensed retrieval of air-sea carbon flux and acidification risk in Chinese Bohai Sea based on a semi-analytical mechanism model with hour-level GOCI image and ERA5 reanalysis data

Highlights

  • We proposed a local MeSAA algorithm to gain pCO2sw in the Chinese Bohai Sea
  • The diurnal, daily, and monthly changes of pCO2swfCO2, pH, and Ωarag were gained
  • Bohai Sea was a carbon source with positive fCO2 values (0.5–6 mmol C·m−2·day−1)
  • Three bays of Bohai Sea were in a high acidification risk with low Ωarag(1.15–1.3)
  • Uncertainty of mapping at different time scales(hourly and daily) were analyzed
  • Advantage of hour-level GOCI imagery in improving assessment accuracies was verified

Abstract

Marine carbon sinks act as a buffer against global warming, but raise the risk of acidification, especially in the marginal shelf seas which are rich in terrigenous carbon input. The Chinese Bohai Sea performs generally as a weak carbon source while carbon fluxes (fCO2), pH, and aragonite saturation states (Ωarag) vary in time and space under intensive land-sea interaction. However, there are still 1) insufficient spatiotemporal resolution in existing remotely sensed retrieval of carbon flux, 2) inadequate analytic mechanism for existing empirical models, which are not suitable for case II waters in Bohai Sea, and 3) limited research on remotely sensed retrieval of acidification risk expressed as pH and Ωarag. Thus, we proposed a semi-analytical mechanism algorithm (MeSAA) to gain seawater partial pressure of CO2 (pCO2sw) with hour-level GOCI imagery and seawater carbonate equilibrium equation (CO2SYS). With the assistance of ERA5 reanalysis data, the gained pCO2sw was then used to obtain fCO2 by using the sea-air CO2 partial pressure difference (ΔpCO2) method. Similarly, with the assistance of remotely sensed retrieval, two indices, pH and Ωarag were also gained from CO2SYS to identify the acidification risk. The results showed that Bohai Sea was a weak carbon source with the positive values of fCO2 (0.5–6 mmol C·m−2·day−1) and total emission (0.956 Tg C·yr−1). It suffered from a high acidification risk, especially in three bays with low values of Ωarag (1.15–1.3) from May to September 2011. Although photosynthetic carbon sequestration was intensive near shore, it could not consume the large amount of the rich carbon input, and resulting a monthly increase for pCO2sw and fCO2 and a monthly decrease for pH and Ωarag from May to September. The distribution of pCO2sw was in accord with a former study, but the values were not. The local parameter adjustment of MeSAA in the Bohai Sea was analyzed for this issue, so did the effect of uncertainty analysis of mapping at different time scales (hourly and daily). Moreover, the contrast of absolute deviation and relative deviation on different time scales verified the advantage of hour-level GOCI imagery in improving assessment accuracies. This study gained a more precise change trend of pCO2swfCO2, pH, and Ωarag in the Bohai Sea from May to September 2011, which would be beneficial to the study of the carbon cycle in the marginal sea of the shelf under the conditions of climate change.

Continue reading ‘Remotely sensed retrieval of air-sea carbon flux and acidification risk in Chinese Bohai Sea based on a semi-analytical mechanism model with hour-level GOCI image and ERA5 reanalysis data’

Characterization of an undocumented CO2 hydrothermal vent system in the Mediterranean Sea: implications for ocean acidification forecasting

A previously undocumented shallow water hydrothermal field from Sicily (Southern Tyrrhenian Sea, Italy) is here described, based on a multidisciplinary investigation. The field, covering an area of nearly 8000 m2 and a depth from the surface to -5 m, was explored in June 2021 to characterise the main physico-chemical features of the water column, describe the bottom topography and features, and identify the main megabenthic and nektonic species. Twenty sites were investigated to characterise the carbonate system. Values of pH ranged between 7.84 and 8.04, ΩCa between 3.68 and 5.24 and ΩAr from 2.41 to 3.44. Geochemical analyses of hydrothermal gases revealed a dominance of CO2 (98.1%) together with small amounts of oxygen and reactive gases. Helium isotope ratios (R/Ra = 2.51) and δ13CCO2 suggest an inorganic origin of hydrothermal degassing of CO2 and the ascent of heat and deep-seated magmatic fluids to the surface. Visual census of fishes and megabenthos (mainly sessile organisms) allowed the identification of 64 species, four of which are protected by the SPA/BIO Protocol and two by the International Union for Conservation of Nature. The macroalgae Halopteris scoparia and Jania rubens and the sponge Sarcotragus sp. were the dominant taxa in the area, while among fishes Coris julis and Chromis chromis were the most abundant species. This preliminary investigation of San Giorgio vent field suggests that the site could be of interest and suitable for future experimental studies of ocean acidification.

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An update of data compilation on the biological response to ocean acidification and overview of the OA-ICC data portal

Studies investigating the effects of ocean acidification on marine organisms and communities are increasing every year. Results are not easily comparable since the carbonate chemistry and ancillary data are not always reported in similar units and scales and calculated using similar sets of constants. To facilitate data comparison, a data compilation hosted at the data publisher PANGAEA was initiated in 2008 and is updated on a regular basis (https://doi.pangaea.de/10.1594/PANGAEA.962556, Ocean Acidification International Coordination Centre, 2023). By November 2023, a total of 1501 data sets (over 25 million data points) from 1554 papers have been archived. To easily filter and access relevant biological response data from this compilation, a user-friendly portal was launched (https://oa-icc.ipsl.fr) in 2018. Here we present the updates of this data compilation since its second description by Yang et al. (2016) and provide an overview of the “OA-ICC portal for ocean acidification biological response data” launched in 2018. Most of the study sites from which data have been archived are in the North Atlantic Ocean, North Pacific Ocean, South Pacific Ocean and Mediterranean Sea, while polar oceans are still relatively poorly represented. Mollusca and Cnidaria are still the best represented taxonomic groups. The biological processes most reported in the datasets were growth and morphology. Other variables that can potentially be affected by ocean acidification and are often reported include calcification/dissolution, primary production/photosynthesis, and biomass/abundance. The majority of the compiled datasets have considered ocean acidification as a single stressor, but their relative contribution decreased from 68 % before 2015 to 57 % today, showing a clear tendency towards more data archived from multifactorial studies.

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Detection of impurities in m-cresol purple with Soft Independent Modeling of Class Analogy for the quality control of spectrophotometric pH measurements in seawater

Highlights

  • We developed a chemometric model to detect impurities in a pH indicator dye.
  • The model was developed for m-cresol purple, a widely used dye for seawater pH.
  • The model can verify a dye is pure enough for “climate quality” pH measurements.
  • Other spectrophotometric methods can also be used to assess dye purity.

Abstract

Accurate spectrophotometric pH measurements in seawater are critical to documenting long-term changes in ocean acidity and carbon chemistry, and for calibration of autonomous pH sensors. The recent development of purified indicator dyes greatly improved the accuracy of spectrophotometric pH measurements by removing interfering impurities that cause biases in pH that can grow over the seawater pH range to > 0.01 above pH 8. However, some batches of purified indicators still contain significant residual impurities that lead to unacceptably large biases in pH for oceanic and estuarine climate quality measurements. While high-performance liquid chromatography (HPLC) is the standard method for verifying dye purity, alternative approaches that are simple to implement and require less specialized equipment are desirable. We developed a model to detect impurities in the pH indicator m-cresol purple (mCP) using a variant of the classification technique Soft Independent Modeling of Class Analogy (SIMCA). The classification model was trained with pure mCP spectra (350 nm to 750 nm at 1 nm resolution) at pH 12 and tested on independent samples of unpurified and purified mCP with varying levels of impurities (determined by HPLC) and measured on two different spectrophotometers. All the dyes identified as pure by the SIMCA model were sufficiently low in residual impurities that their apparent biases in pH were < 0.002 in buffered artificial seawater solutions at a salinity of 35 and over a pH range of 7.2 to 8.2. Other methods that can also detect residual impurities relevant to climate quality measurements include estimating the impurity absorption at 434 nm and assessing the apparent pH biases relative to a reference purified dye in buffered solutions or natural seawater. Laboratories that produce and distribute purified mCP should apply the SIMCA method or other suitable methods to verify that residual impurities do not significantly bias pH measurements. To apply the SIMCA method, users should download the data and model developed in this work and measure a small number of instrument standardization and model validation samples. This method represents a key step in the development of a measurement quality framework necessary to attain the uncertainty goals articulated by the Global Ocean Acidification Observing Network (GOA-ON) for climate quality measurements (i.e., ±0.003 in pH).

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New version of the R package seacarb available

The R package seacarb calculates parameters of the seawater carbonate system and includes functions useful for ocean acidification research. It has just been updated to v3.3.3. It is recommended to use this version rather than any of the earlier ones. The new or updated functions are listed below (thanks to James Orr). The seacarb ChangeLog provides more details:

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More frequent abrupt marine environmental changes expected

Abstract

We quantify an elevated occurrence of abrupt changes in ocean environmental conditions under human-induced climate forcing using Earth system model output through a novel analysis method that compares the temporal evolution of the forcings applied with the development of local ocean state changes for temperature, oxygen concentration, and carbonate ion concentration. Through a multi-centennial Earth system model experiment, we show that such an increase is not fully reversible after excess greenhouse gas emissions go back to zero. The increase in occurrence of regional abrupt changes in marine environmental conditions has not yet been accounted for adequately in climate impact analyses that usually associate ecosystem shifts large-scale variability or extreme events. Estimates for remaining greenhouse gas emission targets need thus to be more conservative.

Key Points

  • There is an elevated occurrence of abrupt changes in key ocean state variables under human-induced climate forcing
  • The occurrence of abrupt changes in the upper ocean peaks around the maximum of the rate of change in human-induced forcing
  • A multi-centennial legacy is expected for abrupt shifts in environmental conditions, long after a stop of anthropogenic CO2 emissions
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A comprehensive assessment of electrochemical ocean alkalinity enhancement in seawater: kinetics, efficiency, and precipitation thresholds

Ocean alkalinity enhancement (OAE) is a promising approach to marine carbon dioxide removal (mCDR) that leverages the large surface area and carbon storage capacity of the oceans to sequester atmospheric COas dissolved bicarbonate (HCO3). The SEA MATE (Safe Elevation of Alkalinity for the Mitigation of Acidification Through Electrochemistry) process uses electrochemistry to convert some of the salt (NaCl) in seawater or brine into aqueous acid (HCl), which is removed from the system, and base (NaOH), which is returned to the ocean with the remaining seawater. The resulting increase in seawater pH and alkalinity causes a shift in dissolved inorganic carbon (DIC) speciation toward carbonate and a decrease in the surface-ocean pCO2. The shift in the pCO­2 results in enhanced CO2 uptake or reduced CO2 loss by the seawater due to gas exchange. The net result of this process is the increase of surface-ocean DIC, where it is durably stored as mostly bicarbonate and some carbonate. In this study, we systematically test the efficiency of CO2 uptake in seawater treated with NaOH at beaker (1 L), aquaria (15 L), and tank (6000 L) scales to establish operational boundaries for safety and efficiency in scaling up to field experiments. Preliminary results show CO2 equilibration occurred on order of weeks to months, depending on circulation, air forcing, and air bubbling conditions within the test tanks. An increase of ~0.7–0.9 mol DIC/ mol added alkalinity (in the form of NaOH) was observed through analysis of seawater bottle samples and pH sensor data, consistent with the value expected given the values of the carbonate system equilibrium calculations for the range of salinities and temperatures tested. Mineral precipitation occurred when the bulk seawater pH exceeded 10.0 and Ωaragonite exceeded 30.0. This precipitation was dominated by Mg(OH)2 over hours to 1 day before shifting to CaCO3, aragonite precipitation. These data, combined with models of the dilution and advection of alkaline plumes, will allow for estimation of the amount of carbon dioxide removal expected from OAE pilot studies. Future experiments should better approximate field conditions including sediment interactions, biological activity, ocean circulation, air-sea gas exchange rates, and mixing-zone dynamics.

Continue reading ‘A comprehensive assessment of electrochemical ocean alkalinity enhancement in seawater: kinetics, efficiency, and precipitation thresholds’

From models to management: oceanographic processes shaping the spatial patterns and progression of ocean acidification and hypoxia in the California Current System

The California Current System, situated off the US West Coast, experiences natural exposure to acidified and oxygen-poor conditions due to coastal upwelling, which brings low pH, low oxygen water from depth to the nearshore environment. The addition of anthropogenic ocean acidification and hypoxia (OAH) is therefore pushing conditions below biological thresholds, resulting in a variety of harmful effects ranging from behavior impacts to shell dissolution and mortality. It is therefore important to characterize the progression of ocean acidification and hypoxia in the California Current, where exposure to corrosive and hypoxic conditions is spatially variable and episodic in nature, making it a challenge to describe these patterns and their biophysical drivers through observational data alone. Here, a high resolution (~3 km) coupled physical-biogeochemical model is used to characterize the recent and projected spatial and temporal patterns in exposure to reduced pH and oxygen conditions, along with their physical and biogeochemical drivers. Results from Chapter 1 demonstrate that historical (1988-2010) alongshore variability in pH and oxygen is driven by a complex interplay of upwelling and primary production, modulated by the alongshore and cross-shore regional circulation. Results from Chapter 2 establish that historical variability in the interannual severity of exposure to corrosive conditions is driven by combined changes in source water properties and upwelling intensity, respectively associated with decadal basin scale variability and interannual regional scale forcing. Chapters 3 and 4 utilize downscaled regional climate projections to investigate the future (2000-2100) progression of ocean acidification and hypoxia hot spots, the emergence of these features, and their implications for marine resource management. Results from Chapter 3 highlight that where and when hot spots and refugia for pH and oxygen emerge depends on the metrics used to quantify them. If one is managing for OAH and cares about where and when conditions become distinct from their historical range, the projections suggest hot spots will be located in areas of historically weaker upwelling due to their narrow range of variability. In contrast, if one is managing for OAH and cares about where and when conditions will drop below specific biological thresholds, the projections suggest hot spots will be located in areas of historically stronger upwelling due to their lower baseline pH and oxygen conditions. Chapter 4 synthesizes information from the projections and displays it in an online interactive management tool, where users can explore future OAH change based on their species or region of interest. As a whole, these four chapters provide the first comprehensive mechanistic description of the physical and biogeochemical drivers shaping historical and future alongshore and interannual OAH variability in the central California Current region, while disseminating this information to marine resource managers in an accessible format.

Continue reading ‘From models to management: oceanographic processes shaping the spatial patterns and progression of ocean acidification and hypoxia in the California Current System’

The increasing importance of satellite observations to assess the ocean carbon sink and ocean acidification

The strong control that the emissions of carbon dioxide (CO2) have over Earth’s climate identifies the need for accurate quantification of the emitted CO2 and its redistribution within the Earth system. The ocean annually absorbs more than a quarter of all CO2 emissions and this absorption is fundamentally altering the ocean chemistry. The ocean thus provides a fundamental component and powerful constraint within global carbon assessments used to guide policy action for reducing emissions. These carbon assessments rely heavily on satellite observations, but their inclusion is often invisible or opaque to policy. One reason is that satellite observations are rarely used exclusively, but often in conjunction with other types of observations, thereby complementing and expanding their usability yet losing their visibility. This exploitation of satellite observations led by the satellite and ocean carbon scientific communities is based on exciting developments in satellite science that have broadened the suite of environmental data that can now reliably be observed from space. However, the full potential of satellite observations to expand the scientific knowledge on critical processes such as the atmosphere-ocean exchange of CO2 and ocean acidification, including its impact on ocean health, remains largely unexplored. There is clear potential to begin using these observation-based approaches for directly guiding ocean management and conservation decisions, in particular in regions where in situ data collection is more difficult, and interest in them is growing within the environmental policy communities. We review these developments, identify new opportunities and scientific priorities, and identify that the formation of an international advisory group could accelerate policy relevant advancements within both the ocean carbon and satellite communities. Some barriers to understanding exist but these should not stop the exploitation and the full visibility of satellite observations to policy makers and users, so these observations can fulfil their full potential and recognition for supporting society.

Continue reading ‘The increasing importance of satellite observations to assess the ocean carbon sink and ocean acidification’

Atmospheric CO2 estimates for the Late Oligocene and Early Miocene using multi-species cross-calibrations of boron isotopes

Abstract

The boron isotope (δ11B) proxy for seawater pH is a tried and tested means to reconstruct atmospheric CO2 in the geologic past, but uncertainty remains over how to treat species-specific calibrations that link foraminiferal δ11B to pH estimates prior to 22 My. In addition, no δ11B-based reconstructions of atmospheric CO2 exist for wide swaths of the Oligocene (33–23 Ma), and large variability in CO2 reconstructions during this epoch based on other proxy evidence leaves climate evolution during this period relatively unconstrained. To add to our understanding of Oligocene and early Miocene climate, we generated new atmospheric CO2 estimates from new δ11B data from fossil shells of surface-dwelling planktic foraminifera from the mid-Oligocene to early Miocene (∼28–18 Ma). We estimate atmospheric CO2 of ∼680 ppm for the mid-Oligocene, which then evolves to fluctuate between ∼500–570 ppm during the late Oligocene and between ∼420–700 ppm in the early Miocene. These estimates tend to trend higher than Oligo-Miocene CO2 estimates from other proxies, although we observe good proxy agreement in the late Oligocene. Reconstructions of CO2 fall lower than estimates from paleoclimate model simulations in the early Miocene and mid Oligocene, which indicates that more proxy and/or model refinement is needed for these periods. Our species cross-calibrations, assessing δ11B, Mg/Ca, δ18O, and δ13C, are able to pinpoint and evaluate small differences in the geochemistry of surface-dwelling planktic foraminifera, lending confidence to paleoceanographers applying this approach even further back in time.

Key points:

  • We measure δ11B on multiple species of planktic foraminifera to generate new CO2 reconstructions for the late Oligocene and early Miocene
  • Using a novel cross-calibration approach, we reconstruct CO2 of 500–680 ppm for the mid-late Oligocene and 420–700 ppm for the early Miocene
  • Mean CO2 values tend to trend higher than other proxy estimates, but generally lower than paleoclimate model simulations
Continue reading ‘Atmospheric CO2 estimates for the Late Oligocene and Early Miocene using multi-species cross-calibrations of boron isotopes’

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