Climate change is altering marine ecosystems through concurrent changes in temperature, carbonate chemistry, and dissolved oxygen. These changes are particularly important in coastal upwelling systems, where organisms already experience naturally variable environmental conditions. This dissertation integrates synthesis, experimentation, and modeling to evaluate how ocean change influences marine invertebrates and the fisheries they support. First, I conducted a meta analysis examining the effects of ocean acidification and deoxygenation on marine invertebrates. Both stressors produced broadly negative effects on fitness-related
traits, including survival, growth, development, and reproduction. Although vulnerability varied among taxa, responses were not strongly structured across broad taxonomic groups, suggesting that species-specific traits and environmental history are important determinants of sensitivity. Second, I investigated the effects of multi-stressor upwelling conditions on juvenile Dungeness crab (Metacarcinus magister). Crabs maintained net calcification across a range of moderate conditions but exhibited significant declines under the most severe treatments, indicating threshold responses to environmental stress. Short-term environmental variability had little effect relative to mean conditions, suggesting that exposure severity is a stronger driver of performance than exposure pattern. Finally, I incorporated experimentally observed reductions in calcification into a size-structured yield-per
recruit model to evaluate potential fishery consequences. Reduced growth delayed attainment of legal harvest size and decreased projected fishery yield, demonstrating how sublethal physiological responses can scale to population and management-relevant outcomes. Together, these chapters show that ocean change can affect biological systems across levels of organization, from individual performance to fishery productivity. By linking broad patterns of vulnerability to species-specific responses and applied fishery outcomes, this dissertation provides a framework for understanding and managing the impacts of global change in coastal
marine ecosystems.
Walker, B. J., 2026. Biological impacts of ocean change in upwelling systems: from organismal responses to fishery outcomes. PhD thesis, University of California Santa Cruz, 167 p. Thesis (access restricted).
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