Submarine groundwater discharge drives massive carbon outwelling and impacts ocean acidification buffering in a mangrove-dominated bay of the Beibu Gulf, China

Mangrove ecosystems are critical blue carbon sinks, yet the role of submarine groundwater discharge (SGD) in carbon outwelling and coastal acidification buffering remains a major knowledge gap. This study integrates radium isotopes (224Ra and 228Ra) and carbonate system parameters to quantify SGD-driven carbon fluxes and their impacts on ocean acidification buffering in Tieshan Bay, a mangrove-fringed semi-enclosed bay in Beibu Gulf, China. Field measurements revealed SGD fluxes of (3.93 ± 1.52) × 107 m3/d (11.6 ± 4.5 cm/d), delivering 31-fold more dissolved inorganic carbon [DIC, (1.06 ± 0.13) × 108 mol/d] and 21-fold more total alkalinity [TA, (7.25 ± 0.89) × 107 mol/d] than local rivers. Notably, SGD exhibited a low TA/DIC ratio (0.68 ± 0.14), which mechanistically weakens the bay’s buffering capacity against acidification by reducing the efficiency of the carbonate system to neutralize atmospheric CO2. Furthermore, bicarbonate dominated SGD-derived DIC (84.7% ± 14.3%), enhancing long-term carbon sequestration potential but concurrently suppressing carbonate saturation states via dilution of carbonate ions [SGD: (27.4 ± 28.1) µmol/L vs. bay: (80.3 ± 22.4) µmol/L]. These findings demonstrate SGD’s dual role as a major carbon outwelling vector and a driver of coastal acidification, redefining blue carbon budgets in mangrove ecosystems.

Li H., Liu J., Zhang F. & Du J., in press. Submarine groundwater discharge drives massive carbon outwelling and impacts ocean acidification buffering in a mangrove-dominated bay of the Beibu Gulf, China. Acta Oceanologica Sinica. doi: 10.1007/s13131-025-2616-8. Article.

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