A basin-wide assessment of pH changes in the Mediterranean Sea based on reanalysis products

Ocean acidification, driven by increasing atmospheric CO2 concentrations, poses a growing threat to marine ecosystems and biogeochemical processes. The Mediterranean Sea, characterized by complex circulation patterns and distinct hydrographic sub-basins, represents a sensitive region for assessing basin-scale pH variability. However, long-term in situ pH observations remain spatially sparse and unevenly distributed, limiting the assessment of coherent spatiotemporal trends across the basin. Here, we present a basin-wide spatiotemporal assessment of pH trends in the Mediterranean using an 18-year biogeochemical reanalysis dataset from the Copernicus Marine Environment Monitoring Service. Our analysis reveals a consistent vertical structuring of pH trends, with negative trends in surface waters and contrasting, often neutral to weakly positive tendencies at depth. The magnitude and vertical extent of these trends vary regionally and are closely linked to local circulation regimes, water-mass formation processes, and remineralization dynamics. In deep-water formation regions such as the Adriatic, Ionian, and Aegean Seas, negative pH trends extend throughout much of the water column, whereas in the Levantine Basin, mesoscale circulation structures confine pH changes primarily to a relatively thin surface layer. These results demonstrate that basin-scale analyses based on high-quality, publicly accessible biogeochemical reanalysis products, such as CMEMS, can provide a spatially integrated perspective on long-term pH variability, complementing existing observational records by bridging spatial and temporal gaps. The framework presented here offers a reproducible approach for systematically assessing depth and region resolved pH trends.

Saygu İ., Bengil F. & Mavruk S., in press. A basin-wide assessment of pH changes in the Mediterranean Sea based on reanalysis products. Environmental Sciences Europe. Article.


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